Forget medals, top ten placements were pretty rare in that period. If you look at the years after Buttle left, the next-highest placements:That is a realistic statement by Slipchuk. No other Canadian man won a medal of any color during that decade but they knew they could pretty much always count on Patrick to come through.
Not to sound negative, but I'd actually be pretty impressed if Roman managed 11th, and I think he would be too (if there weren't Worlds spots on the line).Going by SB scores, 2 USA, 3 JPN, 2 CHN, 2 RUS, 1 FRA are expected to slot ahead of Roman, which would put him 11th. Will be interesting to watch Euros and 4CC to see how this lines up.
Nam and Keegan have shown they are top-ten capable, but that's depending on how everyone skates.
In a discipline as volatile as men's, season's best scores are of course an unreliable means of determining placement - it's far from evident that, e.g., Jason Brown or Keiji Tanaka would replicate (or even come close) to their season's best, based on how their events have been going this season to date, in particular.
Absolutely, my point was just that compared to something like ice dance, just stacking people by their season's best is not especially revealing. There's a cluster of guys who are very likely to finish top 5, then there's a bunch of people who could be sixth or sixteenth depending on the day; Roman is in that latter camp.I mean sure, Keiji, Jason, or both, could tank, but they could also improve. See, eg, Shoma.
then there's a bunch of people who could be sixth or sixteenth depending on the day; Roman is in that latter camp.
I fully believe in Roman's ability to miss the free skate.Ah, the optimism. If Boyang, Nam, Han Yan, and last year's Grand Prix Final bronze medalist can get below sixteenth, Roman too has the potential. It's absolutely amazing what can be achieved in different events in the men's competition.
As much as I think Keegan or Nam would likely get better results at Worlds, there is no denying that Roman absolutely earned that spot. His win was by a huge margin and 100% deserved. And he medalled on the GP circuit this season, whereas Keegan did not.
I personally don't think that Keegan plans on continuing through to 2022, so it makes sense to give Roman the opportunity to have this experience over him. Yes, it will be an insane amount of pressure, and Roman might not get us 2 spots for next year, but Nam hasn't been that dependable at Worlds in the past either.
We will hopefully see it at 4CC -- but again, men's event. Keegan had a fantastic 4CC last season (really, he should have been the bronze medalist), but Worlds was decidedly less than fantastic. So however this ends up shaking up, it's neither a guarantee of success nor an indicator that whichever two are not sent would have been better choices.I'm not at all convinced that Keegan or Nam would likely get better results at Worlds, especially given how they skated at Nationals. Roman has never been a GP medalist and national champion before, and I think he deserves a chance. What his GP medal gave him was confidence. It showed at Nats, and will hopefully show again at Worlds.
So however this ends up shaking up, it's neither a guarantee of success nor an indicator that whichever two are not sent would have been better choices.
I'm not at all convinced that Keegan or Nam would likely get better results at Worlds, especially given how they skated at Nationals. Roman has never been a GP medalist and national champion before, and I think he deserves a chance.
Skate Canada's comments on Stephen are here.I noticed Gogolev is on the entries list for the Bavarian Open, so whatever injury kept him out of Canadians must not have been very serious? (Or perhaps they just put him on the list in hopes he will be ready, to give him more experience before JW.)
The most notable absence in the men’s event in Mississauga was rising talent Stephen Gogolev, the silver medalist at 2019 nationals and the 2018 Junior Grand Prix Final champion. The official word from Skate Canada is the 15-year-old phenom — who has had a major growth spurt and now stands 5-foot-5 — was unable to compete at nationals because of a bone bruise on his right ankle. However, he is expected to be ready for the World Junior Championships March 2-8 in Estonia and will be joined by Joseph Phan, the fourth-place finisher in the senior men’s event at nationals.
Skate Canada officials will attend in California next week to meet with Gogolev and his coach Rafael Arutyunyan to assess his progress. “He’s healthy; he’s back on the ice. His stuff is all there, but we are just being careful not to push him too soon. Junior Worlds is still a month and a half away,” said Slipchuk.
In terms of Roman being a smarter bet for the future, it seems like Nam has been around forever, but he and Roman are only a year apart in age. Nam has had a lot more international senior opportunities, but he also started and gained success in the senior ranks earlier, went through a period of growth and difficulty, and only really started emerging from that and regaining consistency last season. I think a lot of people wrote him off too early and personally think he is still young enough to continue making improvements in both the technical and program components/skating skills sides.
And one of those times Nam missed the free was when he was sent over someone who actually qualified for Worlds (no matter how the decision was spun).True - Nam went to Worlds 5 times, placed as high as 5th and as low as not making the free (twice). Perhaps he has been more consistent recently but I don't think overall he has been an icon for consistency and reliability which is what Skate Canada needs this time round.
As for the USFSA, it's funny how Adam Rippon's Olympic dream came at the cost of another skater, Ross Miner, too.