For the GPF. I think Rippon has a slightly better chance than Brown. But he holds his fate in his hands. Brown has to sit back and watch: Based on scores this year, SA could conceivably be: 1. Chen - 290+ 2. Voronov - 270 3. Jin - 265 4. Rippon - 260 5. Yan - 250 (But he is inconsistent) There is a good chance that the top 4 above make the final, squeezing out Jason Brown Barring some sort of injury or illness, Chen should make it. I am not sure if Voronov has found his stride or NHK was a once-in-a-lifetime thing. But, he only needs to finish 5th to make the GPF. I think even if he drops a bit from his NHK performance, he makes the final. There is a chance Jin or even Rippon (home turf) could beat him at SA. Jin could beat Voronov. I am expecting more in this competition because he is a slow starter at the beginning of the season and gets progressively better. Rippon performing well should get 4th, but maybe higher if someone like Voronov doesn't do well. He is skating on home turf. As to the others at SA, Yan looks good and is the one in my mind who could spoil Rippon's chances. While Mura is top notch on a good day (scored 268 at 2016 4CC), he has been having a whole lot of problems lately, and Kovtun is the Master of inconsistency. I have no idea where he will place or what we will see from him. He must be feeling a ton of pressure in Russia and that is not conducive to great performances. OTOH, he can pack a wallop on a good day. He scored 266 at Euros last year. Hendrickx is a nice performer but I don't think he will figure amongst the top. Miner's top score is 248 from two years ago and he scored 233 at Finlandia. USFSA itself probably has him pegged as #5 or #6 American. I don't think he is going to upset the apple cart. Reynolds hasn't been a real threat for quite a few years, either.