I think Russian Fed deep down probably doesn’t care who goes to the Olympics because whichever 3 are likely to sweep anyway lol.
On a serious note, the only internal Russian politics I see at Nationals is whether it will be an all Tutberize team or whether Mishin gets a spot on that team.
One thing no one is mentioning is how Liza’s PCS this year have ballooned ridiculously. I love her but she’s very slow, the transitions and ice coverage have not really improved yet she is suddenly out scoring skaters like Kostornaia (who has regressed quite a lot to be fair in her PCS).
I have a feeling the Russian Fed does want Liza on this team that PCS push is quite something but right now she would need Anna S or Trusova to bomb nationals for that to happen.
Re who wins the Olympics, I agree with previous posters that Olympics bring odd results. I didn’t anticipate Lipinsky, Huges, Arakawa, or Baiul for that matter. None were favorites in November pre Olympics or skating that well in preparation.