I think many of the young senior/aging out juniors will be the top teams for 2026
Many?
A very low percentage of each year's "crop" of junior dance teams make it long term. Intriguingly 6 of the top 7 dance teams at the Olympic Games did all stick together after placing among the top 10 at a Junior Worlds. I don't think it's an accident that those particular teams stuck it out, made it to 2018, and placed high. And 2026 seems like a very logical target for the current top junior teams. Seven years out. Considering how few junior teams actually make it long term, though, your comment struck me as something worth looking back at, relative to the teams that just
were teams at the 2018 Olympics. So . . . scrolling back 7 years prior would have been 2011.
-None of the top 10 teams at the 2011 Junior Worlds existed as of last year.
-The Shibs made it out of the top 10 from 2009 & 2010.
-No one from the top 10 in 2008.
-Weaver & Poje and Bobrova & Soloviev made it out of the top 10 from 2007.
-Virtue & Moir and Cappellini & Lanotte made it out of 2006. (There were two other teams in the top ten there that made it to an Olympics, just not 2018).
In the other direction (from those Junior Worlds closer in time following the 2011 Junior Worlds:
-Papadakis & Cizeron from 2012 and 2013.
-No one from 2014.
-Nazarova & Nikitin from 2014 and 2015.
-Lauriault & Le Gac from 2016.
-No one from 2017 or 2018.
Obviously some of the top junior dance teams from 2012-2018 are together and still working their way up the Nationals ranks (and Stepanova & Bukin would have qualified for the Olympics had they not been banned).
But 0-2 out your average Junior Top 10.
There’s something very dazzle dazzle big grins about the Finnstep isn’t there? I don’t think it’s a pattern you can do with a serious or sexy face lol.
It's a quickstep. Per the following article, which is citing a description from icedance.com rather than any formal description from the ISU:
https://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2014/02/quick-guide-ice-dance/358117/
"The Finnstep is,
according to Ice-Dance.com, "a ballroom type Quickstep, and should be danced very lightly, so to speak 'over-the-top.' This dance is not serious, so it can even be performed a bit comically."
(I think you could have a sexy quickstep, as it's totally possible to have fun fast-paced numbers with a flirtatious sexy side to them. You have to have a quickstep hold, though, so that's probably why the word "flirty" works better than "sexy" when I think about a quickstep. As far as serious goes, it doesn't strike me as likely to work in the standard way we think of a serious look, but a tongue-in-cheek type of seriousness might).
Sales/Wamsteeker already announced that they are doing a Mamma Mia RD, by the way:
https://www.instagram.com/halessales/
That's nice. Different for them.
For context. I was responding to someone who predicted a swift rise for L/L like the one V/M and P/C experienced. I was disagreeing pointing out that while I think they are very talented and strong technically I don't think they possess the quality of those other two teams that make panels swoon. AND that any technical advantage they might have over current senior teams could be lost in the GOE range panels can play with now (ie...we have seen lower levels scoring same/similar as higher levels) I never once considered their Junior GOE/PCS would carry through to senior.
Understood. I think it was still worth clarifying, though, for anyone reading the thread that just because teams earn lower GOE and PCS the year they move up doesn't mean they've regressed or that politics are at work. It just implies that the standards for GOE and PCS are higher in seniors. On the plus side for all of the teams moving to seniors, the base value in the FD goes up.