I agree with 
@Karen-W . Alysa will need the kindness of the tech panel to score well in the SP. Mariah won't, and her score is a much more known quantity.
		
 
Huh? When did Mariah become consistent?  I must have missed it. 
2021–22 season
Heading into the Olympic season, Bell prepared new programs for the occasion. For the short program, she recruited 
RuPaul's Drag Race contestant 
Cordero Zuckerman to work with 
Adam Rippon on a stylistic homage to 
vogue set to the music of 
Lady Gaga. Her free skate to 
Joni Mitchell's "
Both Sides Now", music Bell had considered using before, was meant to reflect the highs and lows of her career: "Skating to 'Hallelujah' at nationals was an incredible feeling — but I can still know what it was like the following year, to get off the ice and see myself in
 fifth."
[47] However, following her bronze medal showing at the 
Skating Club of Boston's Cranberry Cup international event and 
feedback from American officials, she subsequently dropped both programs, reviving her "Hallelujah" program and creating a new short program.
[48]
Bell's two 
Grand Prix assignments were the final two events of the series, starting with the 
2021 Internationaux de France, where she placed 
sixth. She was 
tenth in the short program and 
fourth in the free skate.
[49] At her second event the following week, the 
2021 Rostelecom Cup, Bell was
2021–22 season
Heading into the Olympic season, Bell prepared new programs for the occasion. For the short program, she recruited 
RuPaul's Drag Race contestant 
Cordero Zuckerman to work with 
Adam Rippon on a stylistic homage to 
vogue set to the music of 
Lady Gaga. Her free skate to 
Joni Mitchell's "
Both Sides Now", music Bell had considered using before, was meant to reflect the highs and lows of her career: "Skating to 'Hallelujah' at nationals was an incredible feeling — but I can still know what it was like the following year, to get off the ice and see myself in fifth."
[47] However, following her bronze medal showing at the 
Skating Club of Boston's Cranberry Cup international event and feedback from American officials, she subsequently dropped both programs, reviving her "Hallelujah" program and creating a new short program.
[48]
Bell's two 
Grand Prix assignments were the final two events of the series, starting with the 
2021 Internationaux de France, where she placed sixth. She was tenth in the short program and fourth in the free skate.
[49] At her second event the following week, the 
2021 Rostelecom Cup, Bell was third in the short program despite not landing a triple-triple combination, dropping to fourth after the free skate. She said "t
echnical content is a little bit lower right now, but I plan to put the triple-triple back in later during the season."[50]
in the short program despite not landing a triple-triple combination, dropping to 
fourth after the free skate. She said "technical content is a little bit lower right now, 
but I plan to put the triple-triple back in later during the season."
[50]
I kind of think Mariah may need more than the kindness of judges.  I am not sure where you got your supporting facts.