Wow I stayed out of FSU for a weekend and this thread happens
Anyways, called it all along that delivering at Nationals isn't going to be enough on its own since Ilia's international scores aren't high enough compared to Jason's and a ChSq was not worth 17 points. It ultimately comes down to whether to value Ilia's 13 points here at Nationals over Jason, or Jason's 17 points advantage in median score. It turns out cancelling JGPF was indeed very damanging to Ilia.
That said, the team of Nathan, Vincent and Jason is perfectly within the criteria set out since the beginning of the season. Strategically though, what a dumb decision this is.
The criteria have Nathan and Vincent on another tier, so that's fine - they qualify (regardless of the latter's poor skating in the free). Between Jason and Ilia though - Jason has been a quality skater all these years and scored high despite not having a quad - and so he almost always maintained his world team position. It's like Michelle retaining her title year after year because Sasha simply couldn't rise to the occasion at Nationals from 2000 to 2005 (esp 2003 onwards). And then there's this year when suddenly someone truly rises to the occasion and outskates Jason to the point that the PCS and GOE advantage can't matter anymore. And they still went with Jason.
Criteria be damned. I would have sent Ilia to both the Olympics and Worlds along with Nathan and Vincent. Even if there is a team event consideration, Ilia beat Jason in both segments here at Nationals so there really isn't much benefit to send Jason over Ilia. Everyone else in the top ten are landing multiple quads and higher tier quads for a couple of years, yet Jason isn't rotating / landing a single one consistently over 8 years. Not the way to go really. It's not even about pissing him off and forcing him to switch countries, but more to do with who USFS seems the best team is, combined with how they plan to develop US men in the years ahead.
Even if there wasn't tiering, I would still send Vincent over Jason because of scoring potential. When you already have a Nathan, always send the one who may rock up and down but has medal potential, instead of someone who can guarantee you a top ten finish but not higher than 5th.