They went from silver at Junior Worlds to thirteenth at Worlds. No one would have predicted that they would be the World Champions the following season, and yet they were.
After dropping off the world Junior podium in 2010, no one would have predicted that the Shibs would be Worlds Bronze medalists in 2011, yet they were. If anything, people would have expected it from Ilynikh/Katsalapov, the reigning 2010 Jr. World Champions, skating at home in their Worlds debut. (The other teams on the JWC podium, Paul/Islam and Monko/Khaliavin didn't compete at 2011 Worlds)
Aside from the Soviet days, where new USSR #3 would be expected to be in the top 5 or medal directly, “wait your turn” usually took years and a relative gradual climb one group at a time and expected plateaus, and a new team breaking out or jumping was unusual and heavily scrutinized, but it has happened a number of times.
Looking from 1999 on, these have been notable debuts and jumps:
- Dubreuil/Lauzon: From 7th in 2005 -> 2nd in 2006 (both N/K and G/G skipped and were done)
- Sinitsina/Katsalapov: From their debut in 9th in 2016 -- in 2017 and 2018 S/K did not compete -- ->2nd in 2019
- Virtue/Moir: From their debut in 6th -> 2nd ,and never off the podium when they competed
- Teams that debuted in 7th:
- Ilinykh/Katsalapov in 2011
- Chock/Bates in 2013, and never finished below that, and they medaled in half of their Worlds appearances after that
- Chait/Sakhnovsky, from 13th in 1999 -> 5th in 2000.
- Bourne/Kraatz: from 14th in 1993 -> 6th in 1994
- Smart/Dieck: from 19th in 2024 -> 6th in 2025, with a small medal in the FD.
- Gilles/Poirier: from debut in 18th in 2013 -> 8th in 2014
- Lajoie/Lagha: Debut at 14th in 2021/11th in 2022 -> 5th in 2024. (Did not compete in 2023, but I'm not still bitter.)
- Multiple big jumps:
- Fear/Gibson, from 22nd/24th in 2017/2018 -> 13th in 2019 -> 7th in 2021
- Weaver/Poje, from 17th in 2008 -> 5th in 2010 and never lower than 5th after that
- Denkova/Staviyski, from 19th/17th in 1997/1998 ->11th/10th in 1999/2001 -- WD in 2000 -- -> 5th in 2002
- The Zaretsky's bounced back and forth from 20th ->14th -> 9th -> 13th -> 6th before they retired.
I know that at some of these competitions, the internal pecking order/politiks were in play, and in other Worlds, the top skater or skaters were out -- see 2014 in particular -- or ill/injured, but, while P/C was the most shocking -- Smart Dieck's small medal FD was probably close, but generally viewed with delight -- they did defend their title all but twice, once in 2017 in direct competition with V/M, and the second when they WD from 2021 Worlds, after a season of travel difficulties due to the pandemic. They had a total of five Worlds titles, 2 x 2-in-a-row, interrupted by the cancellation of 2020 Worlds.
The only other teams to repeat their titles from 1999 on are:
- Navka/Kostomarov: 2004, 2005
- Denkova/Staviyski: 2006, 2007
- Chock/Bates: 2023, 2024, 2025
For many rest of the years it's been a lot of flipping back and forth, and it would likely have been more of a battle the year had Piper Gilles not had a cancer diagnosis and treatment earlier in the season.