A Southern, hot-blooded temperamental individual
They can say it's going to go forward as scheduled, but that doesn't mean that things will actually go forward as scheduled. Adjustments will have to be made.
As you say and to me "as planned" means at the locations and times, not 'every detail will be as usual'. I think Hersh's tweets list some of the possible modifications. I assume he has sources that have given him hints as to what they are considering.They can say it's going to go forward as scheduled, but that doesn't mean that things will actually go forward as scheduled. Adjustments will have to be made.
Competitions I could find listedSkaters have started competing domestically in New Zealand, Australia, USA, Japan and China (any other countries yet?) - so that's good news.
I don't see how this works for Skate Canada, with the 14-day mandatory quarantine for everyone entering the country. I guess maybe they'd try to get an exception to create a quarantine bubble for athletes and officials at the arena?
There are multiple vaccine candidates in stage III trials. Medical care is improving and there's a ton of scientific research that will help develop more effective ways to diagnose, treat and prevent COVlD-19. Yes, I'm assuming that there will be an Olympics in 2022.
If it's feasible to hold the Olympics, I'm sure that the IOC and the relevant federations will figure out a way to make modifications to the qualifying procedures.The Olympics are in 18 months.
The most optimistic scenario
That leaves 8-9 months to hold all of the Olympic qualifiers and to prepare for the Olympics.
- a vaccine is ready for distribution by October/November
- distribution begins immediately
- Herd immunity is gained by the 2nd quarter of 2021
- May/June 2021 borders open and international flights restart
So being realistic, it is not looking likely the games will go ahead as planned.
US: travel restrictions for EU, China & UK
Canada: Only eligible foreign nationals, and the eligibility rules are quite restrictive, plus travellers have to quarantine for 14 days
France: No restrictions for EU/UK/South Korea/Canada/Australia. Travellers from elsewhere needs to be able to demonstrate a negative test less than 72 hours before the flight, or quarantine on arrival for 14 days
Russia: International flights slowly resuming, but only with countries that can demonstrate they have CV under control, and visas may be restricted to those studying/carrying out essential jobs
China: I don't think any countries are excluded, but arrivals have to quarantine for 14 days in a centralised facility
Japan: Most major skating countries fall under the list of countries from which travellers are banned.
So France has the only realistic chance of putting on an event with a field even close to normal. Canada & US could in theory, but how many skaters who usually train in those countries are actually there at the moment, and how many have gone home?
This is a much more reasonable decision than I expected. Hopefully it'll work out.The ISU Council met on August 3, 2020 via an online meeting to discuss the 2020/21 ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Series among other topics.www.isu.org
IAM’s vast foreign roster seem to be largely in-country, so the dance field at SCI would be both diverse andSo France has the only realistic chance of putting on an event with a field even close to normal. Canada & US could in theory, but how many skaters who usually train in those countries are actually there at the moment, and how many have gone home?
There are athletes from other countries training in both Canada and the US who would be eligible for their respective GP events. For Canada, they have some pretty good foreign athletes many of which do Skate Canada anyway.