U.S. Women [#8]: Meet Me in St. Louis

Bradie Tennell had a very thoughtful conversation with "St. Louis on the Air" NPR when she did a local media blitz there this past weekend (her photos https://instagram.com/p/DSOiIg-jFfW/):
She says she was attendance the last time St. Louis hosted Nationals in 2006 (age 7-almost-8)!
I agree @peibeck! :)
This is a great interview with thoughtful probing, but not invasive questions. And Bradie's responses are equally good, and she speaks quite reflectively and realistically about her injuries and goals coming into Nationals.
 
I wouldn't be surprised. Her three jump combo could then be a 3lz, 2a, 2a, in effect, replacing a 2lp with a 3a. Even if the 3a is underrotated, it's still about five extra points.
If the 3A is < then it's losing base value and probably getting a -2 at best. 6.40 points minus 1.28 (or more). That's 5.12 points. If she drops to a -3 then she's at 4.48 points. Underrotated jumps do not keep the full base value.

Her 2A at the end of the GPF free skate was (in the bonus) 4.29 points for comparison.

If she replaces the 2T with the 2A in the combo to open up the 3A attempt, then she gets 2.20 more base value points if it stays second half, but also has to get through a more difficult sequence to begin with.

If the 3A isn't squeaky clean, it's really not that much more of a benefit by possibly underrotating and get negative GOE.
 
If the 3A is < then it's losing base value and probably getting a -2 at best. 6.40 points minus 1.28 (or more). That's 5.12 points. If she drops to a -3 then she's at 4.48 points. Underrotated jumps do not keep the full base value.

Her 2A at the end of the GPF free skate was (in the bonus) 4.29 points for comparison.

If she replaces the 2T with the 2A in the combo to open up the 3A attempt, then she gets 2.20 more base value points if it stays second half, but also has to get through a more difficult sequence to begin with.

If the 3A isn't squeaky clean, it's really not that much more of a benefit by possibly underrotating and get negative GOE.
The 3 loop will also probably replace the 2 axel in bonus.
 
The 3 loop will also probably replace the 2 axel in bonus.
The difference is adding 0.16 additional points in TES for doing the loop in the second half instead versus what she was getting for the 2A in the second half bonus.
 
The triple axels we've seen aren't <. Also, IMO, skaters who land triple axels sometimes get PCS bumps as a result.

Of course, that doesn't mean that all her triple axels look like that in runthroughs.

Alysa didn't just start practicing triple axels last week. She has been practicing them since last season and more recently she said she has been practicing them most days. (Last week, she went to Philly and she didn't practice them every day, but that seems to be the exception.) She and her coaches obviously have considered whether it is worth the risk of putting it in the program. So far, they have decided that it is not.

However, she is pretty much a lock for the Olympic team, so she might decide that it is worth trying it at Nationals when there isn't that much on the line and she isn't competing against the Japanese women. She might just want to do it for the sake of it and the challenge. Like Ilia doing the quad axels and 7 quad long program at the GP Final even though he hadn't been doing that most of the season and the reward for a quad axel generally isn't worth the risk.
 

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