With the new junior FD requirements, L/L (and all other ice dance teams) will have almost an impossible time getting a non-home GP event their first season even if they win junior worlds.
Basically an impossible time getting a
guaranteed non-host spot. If their federation is willing to trade spots on their behalf, though, they could miraculously wind up with one like Abachkina & Thauron did this season.
L&L are ranked 37th on the SB list.
There's a decent chance that 7 or 8 teams above them don't come out for the GP next season. So, for the sake of argument, we'll say 29th.
Then we take into consideration that Skoptcova & Aleshin, Evdokimova & Bazin, and Carreira & Ponomarenko are all fighting for spots with a lot of other teams from their own countries. (In other words, they may be easy for host countries to skip if they have already invited a couple Russian or U.S. teams).
So maybe that pulls L&L up closer to 26th or 27th.
Then, theoretically, you have an unexpected post-Olympic split or injury.
Now, you're in the ballpark.
We'll see what happens. USA and Russia need a LOT of dance spots. If SC deigns to do a little less stacking of the deck in their lower teams' favor at Skate Canada and wishes to invite three teams from either of those federations, I don't think either SA or Rostelecom would worry at all about inviting a team like Lajoie & Lagha. Nor would France or Japan find them nearly the threat that they might a Junior World Champion team.
On the other side of the argument, though, would that really benefit Skate Canada? They don't have another medal threat in the current junior ranks. If Lajoie & Lagha don't go to Junior Worlds, then Canada could lose their multiple JGP spots. SC has a couple junior teams with potential, but no other sure bets.
On the other hand, there's always the possibility that the post Olympic year slew of retirements and splits will free up some extra spots on the GP, an opportunity that would close if they waited another year to try grab the junior world title.
Another strong season on the JGP, though, could move L&L up on the World Standing list & secure a non-host spot for the following season. Hard to know.