hanca
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The only one you consider champion capable is Samodelkina, and yet Petrosian and Muravieva have beaten her at the nationals and Samodelkina did not even medal? I think Petrosian and Muravieva have as much chance as Samodelkina be a champion. With Osokina I am not sure yet - she was very impressive at the test skates, but she needs to be consistently around the top in most of her competitions to be counted. But still has a chance to prove herself.What I meant was that two years ago there was the 3A, the next year was VUK, but this year like you said are those 4 skaters. The only one I consider champion-capable is Samodelkina. I was discussing this somewhere, maybe another board, that if the Olympics were to be delayed to 2023, are there any in this new crop who would challenge for the Olympics. I don't really consider Petrosyan, Muravieva or Osokina ever a legitimate threat to make the team. When I say there is a lack of depth, I know that I AM talking about Russian ladies, so the depth there is amazing, but I don't see any shining stars from that year except for Samodelkina.
Who of those four girls have a chance to make the team for the season 2022-23... that’s a different matter. The problem is that that to make the team one needs to be at top six at the senior nationals. Seeing the current situation at this moment, Trusova, Scherbakova, Valieva are very, very likely to make the team. Kostornaya will make the team if she finally gets over her covid complications. So suddenly that’s four spots taken. Usacheva has been marked very generously by Russian judges so at Russian nationals she is also likely to place well, as long as she doesn’t mess up. And that leaves only one spot to be fought among the current seniors (e.g. Medvedeva if she ever comes back strong, Tuktamysheva, Khromykh who has Tutberidze’s power behind her) plus the four freshly senior eligible girls (Samodelkina, Petrosian, Muravieva, Osokina). As far as I see it, the senior ladies will be so crowded that none of the newly junior eligible girls will make the team. And if someone, Petrosian has the best chances (if she stays with Tutberidze).