1994 - If Kwan had gone in 1994, she could possibly have finished around 10th - 15th given she placed 8th at Worlds which did not have the Olympic medalists and Witt.
1998 - Szewczenko missing the big one after she aced the CSF 1997 at home was such a shame. Then again, she almost always stood up on her triples and it's just a matter of whether the landing was on 1 foot or 2 foot. I see her around 6th to 8th if she was her usual self with 1 to 2 2foots. If she skated like at the CSF then she could definitely contend for bronze. For me though, the way she skated at the CSF was more like an exception rather than the rule.
1998 - Ito. She had attempted to come back in 1996 in anticipation of the 1998 Olympics in Japan. If her comeback had been more successful and she had actually skated in Nagano, I don't know how she would place. My gut feeling is a definite top ten but nowhere near top 5.
2002 - Arakawa was an interesting case. Her debut version of Turandot was amazing and she actually skated better than Onda did at her other GP events. She missed out to Onda simply due to GP draws giving Onda an easy pass to GPF. Given that she was averaging 5 to 6 triples that season per free skate I think she can definitely crack top ten.
2006 - Kwan. Arakawa won with 5 triples. Cohen placed 2nd with 5 triples and 2 big stumbles. Slute placed 3rd with 4 triples and 1 fall. Suguri placed 4th with 5 triples and lesser spins. A healthy Kwan with 5ish triples could definitely medal, but only on condition that she had been healthy all season and actually got to compete under COP and tweaked her programs / elements accordingly. She was horribly under-prepared for COP at 2005 Worlds and lost out a medal because of that. I believe she was working with Lakernik and Tarasova that season to make herself COP ready. What I would give to see her skate to that program.
2006 - Asada / Kim. Given how mediocre the technical content were from the top 4, I think Asada and Kim could definitely be in medal position if they were old enough to compete in Turin.
2010 - Nakano. I supported sending Suzuki in 2010. She was more of a complete package than Nakano was. Nakano was way over-burdened by her jumping technique, and in an era where jump rotations were studied so closely. If Nakano had gone, she would probably have placed near the low end of the top ten, or even lower if the caller was stricter.
2010 - Wagner. It's a shame she couldn't go. She had her technical issues but so did Flatt, and she was so much more watchable. If she had gone, she would probably have placed near but below Suzuki (bottom half of top ten).
2014 - Nagasu. Probably below Wagner, around where Edmunds placed.
2018 - Wagner. I see an inspired Lalaland placing Wagner around 7th.
1998 - Szewczenko missing the big one after she aced the CSF 1997 at home was such a shame. Then again, she almost always stood up on her triples and it's just a matter of whether the landing was on 1 foot or 2 foot. I see her around 6th to 8th if she was her usual self with 1 to 2 2foots. If she skated like at the CSF then she could definitely contend for bronze. For me though, the way she skated at the CSF was more like an exception rather than the rule.
1998 - Ito. She had attempted to come back in 1996 in anticipation of the 1998 Olympics in Japan. If her comeback had been more successful and she had actually skated in Nagano, I don't know how she would place. My gut feeling is a definite top ten but nowhere near top 5.
2002 - Arakawa was an interesting case. Her debut version of Turandot was amazing and she actually skated better than Onda did at her other GP events. She missed out to Onda simply due to GP draws giving Onda an easy pass to GPF. Given that she was averaging 5 to 6 triples that season per free skate I think she can definitely crack top ten.
2006 - Kwan. Arakawa won with 5 triples. Cohen placed 2nd with 5 triples and 2 big stumbles. Slute placed 3rd with 4 triples and 1 fall. Suguri placed 4th with 5 triples and lesser spins. A healthy Kwan with 5ish triples could definitely medal, but only on condition that she had been healthy all season and actually got to compete under COP and tweaked her programs / elements accordingly. She was horribly under-prepared for COP at 2005 Worlds and lost out a medal because of that. I believe she was working with Lakernik and Tarasova that season to make herself COP ready. What I would give to see her skate to that program.
2006 - Asada / Kim. Given how mediocre the technical content were from the top 4, I think Asada and Kim could definitely be in medal position if they were old enough to compete in Turin.
2010 - Nakano. I supported sending Suzuki in 2010. She was more of a complete package than Nakano was. Nakano was way over-burdened by her jumping technique, and in an era where jump rotations were studied so closely. If Nakano had gone, she would probably have placed near the low end of the top ten, or even lower if the caller was stricter.
2010 - Wagner. It's a shame she couldn't go. She had her technical issues but so did Flatt, and she was so much more watchable. If she had gone, she would probably have placed near but below Suzuki (bottom half of top ten).
2014 - Nagasu. Probably below Wagner, around where Edmunds placed.
2018 - Wagner. I see an inspired Lalaland placing Wagner around 7th.