Nicole literally can not win any Final 2 at this point. She is so ****ed in terms of winning. Anyone with a brain knows she was destroyed by Jackson or Tommy. However I can't see her beating Cliff anymore, especialy if Tommy goes. The jury questions were so negative to her and most respect Cliff over her. And if Tommy goes, which is the only way Holly has a shot at Final 2, Holly easily beats her now. Jess, Kat, Tommy, Christie, Jack, Sis, Jackson all vote Holly over her. It is a blow out even against her. She should have never brought up the idea of keeping Tommy unless she were 100% sure on it, going back on it now would be game suicide, but I think she is screwed either way now. If Tommy goes after all that she now looks like Jackson's bitch even more, and the jury already think of her as Nick's bitch.
Nicole should just focus on how she can get to Final 2 and win 50, 000. She isn't winning 500, 000 against a ketchup bottle at this point.
Cliff can still win, especialy if Tommy goes. He now has 2 possible winning paths- Nicole and Holly. He just has to make sure if Tommy goes he leaves much more pissed at Nicole than at him, otherwise he loses to Holly hands down, but if he can do this he has a fighting shot vs Holly too. Nicole has none. She can't possibly beat any of the 4 left, not just Jackson and Tommy which was true months ago, but not anymore Cliff or Holly either. She should stop thinking of winning and just focus on maximizing her chances of being a Final 2 goat and winning 50, 000.
Nicole's Final 2 scenarios:
vs Tommy- 1 vote from Cliff
vs Jackson- 1 vote from Jackson
vs Holly- 2 votes from Cliff, Nick
vs Cliff- 2 votes from Nick and maybe someone else, Tommy or someone pissed enough at Cliff.
Cliff's possible winning scenarios
vs Nicole- easy win
vs Holly- if Tommy isn't too pissed at him he has a shot at Tommy, Christie, Jack, Sis, Nicole, maybe Nick