Soucisse/Firus could get a spot, but there don't tend to be many WDs in dance, so I wouldn't bet on it. And in the past couple years it's been more common to give a team a 2nd spot than go down the list for a 1st spot when it comes to replacements.
In 2023-24, the dance WDs were:
- Hawayek/Baker at Skate America – replaced by Smart/Diaz (2nd spot)
- Wang/Liu at Cup of China – replaced by Shi/Wu (host pick)
- Taschlerova/Taschler at Cup of China – not replaced
- Hawayek/Baker at NHK – replaced by McNamara/Spiridonov (2nd spot)
- Kazakova/Reviya at NHK – not replaced
So only two non-host teams got a spot: S/D getting a 2nd, and McN/S getting a 2nd while replacing another US team.
In 2022-23, the dance WDs were:
- Nazarova/Nikitin at Skate America – replaced by Holubstova/Bielobrov (2nd spot)
- Reed/Ambrulevicius at Skate America – replaced by Harris Chan (2nd spot)
- Makita/Gunara at Skate Canada – replaced by Lauriault/Le Gac (host pick)
- Nazarova/Nikitin at Grand Prix de France – replaced by Kazakova/Reviya (2nd spot)
Three non-host teams got spots: all 2nd spots, and one (H/B) replacing another team from their country.
In 2021-22, the dance WDs were:
- Zagorski/Guerreiro at Skate America – not replaced
- Portesi Peroni/Chrastecky at Gran Premio d'Italia – replaced by Moschini/Fioretti (host pick)
- Wang/Liu at NHK – replaced by Shevchenko/Eremenko (1st spot)
- Hawayek/Baker at NHK – not replaced
- Galyavieva/Thauron at Grand Prix de France – replaced by Demougeot/Le Mercier (host pick)
- Zagorski/Guerreiro at Grand Prix de France – replaced by Turkkila/Versluis (1st spot)
- Galyavieva/Thauron at Rostelecom Cup – replaced by Reed/Ambrulevicius (2nd spot)
- Kazakova/Reviya at Rostelecom Cup – not replaced
- Kaliszek/Spodyriev at Rostelecom Cup – not replaced
This year had more WDs, and we did see a couple non-host pick teams pick up a first spot.
In 2019-20, the dance WDs were:
- McNamara/Carpenter at Internationaux de France – replaced by Reed/Ambrulevicius (2nd spot)
- Turkkila/Versluis at Rostelecom Cup – replaced by Tessari/Fioretti (1st spot)
- Komatsubara/Koleto at NHK – not replaced
Two teams picked up spots, one was their 1st spot.
The 2021 Grand Prix was a weird year since not many teams were on the SB best list due to so much being canceled the previous season, which makes it hard to compare. For RC 2019, Tessari/Fioretti were 36th on the SB list from the previous season, so I'd guess not at the top of the list.
For this season, I'd guess SA would favour a North American based team, which could be Harris/Chan, Fabbri/Ayer, Soucisse/Firus or Bekker/Hernandez. For SC, if the team that WD was American I think there's a good chance they'd pick another team, if not then Soucisse/Firus, Tkachenko/Kiliakov and Bekker/Hernandez would be the teams in NA available. S/F's country change was contentious, don't know if SC cares about that now. France generally chooses teams training in Europe, so Janse van Rensburg/Steffan or Val/Kazimov. China, I'm never really sure what they'll do. Finland, I guess they'd also prefer a European team, so Janse van Rensburg/Steffan, Dupayage/Nabais or Val/Kazimov. NHK often picks someone near the top of the list. They could go for S/F as the first non-US team without a spot, but just as likely for them to pick one of the four teams with one spot above them.