Very curious who is going to grab the less obvious U.S. spots on the JGP. Not sure if we're even going to know after this competition. Placements are here, there, & everywhere.
Agreed. I'm assuming that Green/Green, Ngyuen/Kolesnik, Gropman/Somerville, and Gunter/Wein will get the obvious spots. The "less obvious" have traded placements and scored similarly at the summer events. Here's how I handicap the field:
Summer Season Bests for teams who have scored at least 120+ in a summer competition:
Brown/Brown [N5]: 141.45 Lake Placid domestic [LPD]
Cesanek/Yehorov [new]: 136.41 LPD
Haines/Zoszuta [J7]: 135.74 LPD
Efimova/Petrov [J8]: 125.78 Cannon
DelCamp/Gart [J9]: 124.72 Cannon
Elder/Elder [J11]: 122.94 Skate Detroit
Amoia/Becker [J10]: 122.39 Lake Placid Intl [LPI]
Wolfkostin/Zhao [N1]: 121.96 Cannon
Probably In:
DelCamp/Gart: initially named to JGP1 (not yet confirmed by USFS). They withdrew from the FD at LPD after finishing 5th in the RD. Best summer finishes: 3rd overall at Cannon, and 3rd in FD at Chesapeake, beating Elder/Elder, Haines/Kozuta, Gunter/Wein, Wolfkostin/Zhao, Brown/Brown, etc. I am assuming they will keep their initial assignment because I can't imagine they'd withdraw (barring injury) from the LPD FD if that was still up in the air.
Brown/Brown: They’re not currently in the ISP and they were N5 last season, but they were 2nd overall at LPD beating Haines/Kozuta and DelCamp/Gart (in RD—D/G withdrew from FD). They also finished 3rd in the RD at the Chesapeake Open, beating Gunter/Wein and Elder/Elder in that portion, and Wolfkostin/Zhao, Haines/Kozuta, and Efimova/Petrov overall. They’ve shown that they belong on this level and are beating their competitors.
Elder/Elder: After finishing 3rd at Chesapeake Open and 1st at Skate Detroit, they’ve probably done enough to be selected. They defeated Gunter/Wein, Brown/Brown, Wolfkostin/Zhao and Haines/Koszuta at Chesapeake and they finished ahead of Wolfkostin/Zhao at Skate Detroit. Their best score overall, however, is a little lower than some of those teams.
On the Bubble:
Haines/Koszuta: They finished 7th at junior nationals last season, defeating the other contending teams there. This summer, their results have been middling and they haven’t beaten a lot of their rival teams. They beat Efimova/Petrov at Chesapeake Open, but lost to Elder/Elder, Brown/Brown, and Wolfkostin/Zhao. At LPD, they were 4th overall, beating DelCamp/Gart in the RD (D/G withdrew before the FD), but they also lost to Brown/Brown and new team Cesanek/Yehorov.
Amoia/Becker: It’s hard to predict what will happen with this team because they only competed at LPI. Their 122.39 score is a bit lower, but in the same range as, some of their rival teams, and A/B had what appeared to be a strict judging/technical panel. They beat Efimova/Petrov at LPI; all the other contenders were either in LPD or did not attend Lake Placid.
Efimova/Petrov: 2nd overall at Cannon beating DelCamp/Gart, Wolfkostin/Zhao, etc. But they were only 8th overall at Chesapeake Open and their LPI score wasn't particularly great at 117.79. It looks like the international scores were lower-across-the-board compared to the domestic event, though.
On the Outside Looking In:
These teams will need to wait and see how the first assignments go, and perhaps could get a chance if the initial teams don't earn a second assignment.
Wolfkostin/Zhao: As novice national champs, they were odds-on favorites for a JGP, but their summer competitions were riddled with inconsistencies and errors. Their best score came at Cannon (121.96). W/Z were beaten by Efimova/Petrov and DelCamp/Gart at Cannon, by Elder/Elder and Brown/Brown at Chesapeake Open, and by Elder/Elder at Skate Detroit. They did edge out Haines/Koszuta at Chesapeake by a point, but they haven’t defeated the other contending teams, so those teams should get an assignment first.
Cesanek/Yehorov: They scored an impressive 136.31 at LPD. This was quite the improvement from Cannon, where they scored only 116.54. However, the only contending teams they’ve beaten all season are DelCamp/Gart (in RD portion at Cannon and LPD) and Haines/Koszuta, who they defeated by less than a point. Moreover, scores at LPD were higher across-the-board. Their great effort at LPD should get them in the ISP and on the subs list, but probably not one of the initial selections.