Best Lead Actor in a Motion Picture: Timothée Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
TIMMY NOW HAS A CHANCE, Y’ALL!!!!
I think he will win the Oscar, like Gwyneth P. and Jennifer L.- the youth movement. When they won the SAG, it became obvious that they would win the Oscar.
I had wondered if SAG may give it to Fiennes to honor his work over the years, but it seems they want to give the Oscar to the young actor who played a real life character. Oscar loves awarding actors who play real people. Tim has been an excellent actor in many movies already.
This makes me wonder if Mikey may win over Demi?
I don’t think the winners will all be young. There will be a mixture.
I believe that Adrien Brody deserves the Oscar for what I believe is one of the best ever performances by an actor, but he will not get it. It will be like Cate Blanchett not getting it couple years ago for a performance that should have won. In both cases the winners had also done very well but sometimes there are performances that surpass even those.
I will be quite happy if Ralph Fiennes wins the Oscar but it is highly unlikely, though he did win BAFTA.
It seems the only suspense at Oscars will be who wins (my guess in brackets - it doesnt mean I agree with these).
BP (Anora)
Director (Brutalist)
Best lead actor (A complete unknown)
I don’t understand the fascination with Anora. Well developed story, but not really a BP Oscar movie. It may even win the Directors award (heaven forbid).
All other major categories are pretty much set.
I would love to see The Brutalist win Cinematography, Conclave adapted screenplay, and a toss up between these two for editing.