Texas Flash Floods Turn Deadly

I live in a tornado prone area. Sirens have awakened me from a dead sleep. I live in a city, not sure how they are heard in a rural area

Rushing water makes a lot of noise - I'm not sure you could one over that.
 
There is a warning siren for flash flooding for the Pedernales River in a nearby state park, which is also located in the Hill Country in Texas. Clearly, the technology exists to help prevent such a tragedy. I hope the various Texas entities do a better job responding this time than they did with the electric grid.
 
This first reminded me of the hikers lost in the flooded wadi in Israel some years back. But that was minuscule compared to this. I think they put the hike organizers on trial?
The Tzafit incident was on a much smaller scale, but the negligence - hard as it is to believe - was even worse. The organizers of the trip were sentenced to prison terms earlier this year.

 
I vaguely remember the Maui fire a few years ago that decimated the entire town of Lahaina. There were many deaths and huge damage to properties. I remember the harbor shops, museum, bookstore and restaurants I had visited there just a few months earlier.

If I remember correctly, their siren system (or whatever system they had in place) had failed. They (Hawaii) have invested money in rebuilding the town.

Can Texas help their small counties and the vulnerable areas by installing warning systems and helping them rebuild? I hope they won’t shrug this off as just another natural disaster.

Will there be accountability at all levels and not just the lower ones?
 

“The River House Broke. We Rushed in the River.”​

On July 4, the Guadalupe ripped our home from its pillars, pulling my family into its waters and into the night. Then morning came.
This made me cry.

Those who did nothing to prepare for this disaster, or who failed to take action promptly to save people, should be held accountable. I hope the state provides the means to prepare for future disasters. Officials from area around Guadalupe tried repeatedly to get funding for an emergency warning system and were rejected, with state officials choosing to support other projects, like road improvements. Ugh.
 
To put point on the point I was making about the buildings in the floodway versus the floodplain, I came across this graphic on X that shows the parcel boundary, the varying property elevations as well as the areas in the floodway (red) and the floodplain (yellow).


At minimum, it seems like there are plenty of areas on the highest ground in the northwest quadrant of the parcel overlooking the river that would have been suitable for cabins.
 
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This made me cry.

Those who did nothing to prepare for this disaster, or who failed to take action promptly to save people, should be held accountable. I hope the state provides the means to prepare for future disasters. Officials from area around Guadalupe tried repeatedly to get funding for an emergency warning system and were rejected, with state officials choosing to support other projects, like road improvements. Ugh.
I can't think of anything worse than losing your child. They will piece together recent history in Kerr county. I do think there was a few times that they asked the state for help with funds and there was money from the federal government as well that went to other projects instead of sirens. And I've read, because the number of false alarms, the permanent resididents didn't want sirens but that doesn't take care of the visitors to the area. I saw this and I can see their county board had a lot of opinionated voters. They will rush to do something now.
 
Another article on the warnings (or lack of)

Some officials in Tx are trying to blame NWS and NOAA for the disaster. However, those agencies had accurately predicted the heav rains and life threatening floods. The break in communication occurred locally when despite the warnings local authorities took no immediate steps to save people.

 
Another article on the warnings (or lack of)

Some officials in Tx are trying to blame NWS and NOAA for the disaster. However, those agencies had accurately predicted the heavy rains and life threatening floods.

Yes, but this:

As the Texas Floodwaters Rose, One Indispensable Voice Was Silent​

"When a reporter demanded to know why the summer camps along the Guadalupe River weren’t evacuated before its waters reached their deadly peak on July 4, Rob Kelly, the highest-ranking local official, had a simple answer: “No one knew this kind of flood was coming.”

Why not? Kerr County, Texas, had lots of history to go on — as Kelly went on to explain: “We have floods all the time. This is the most dangerous river valley in the United States.” The National Weather Service had even brought in extra staff that night. Most important, the service had issued three increasingly dire warnings early that morning — at 1:14 a.m., 4:03 a.m. and 6:06 a.m.

What Kelly didn’t mention, but which has since become well known, is that the Weather Service employee whose job it was to make sure those warnings got traction — Paul Yura, the long-serving meteorologist in charge of “warning coordination” — had recently taken an unplanned early retirement amid cuts pushed by the so-called Department of Government Efficiency. He was not replaced."
 
I've been posting links to political errors and other contributors to the disaster in the politics forum because it feels like when there is a disaster, people deserve to have a safe place to go & this seems like the better thread for that.

I will say here that the stories coming out about potential contributors to the scale of this disaster--and there seem to be many different contributors, probably at every level of the response--remind me of A Night To Remember (about the Titanic). First, so-and-so doesn't put in enough lifeboats, then so-and-so doesn't answer the distress call, etc. All these things add up to more people dying. By themselves, some of these decisions may seem minor, but you put them together and the cost is so steep.

It will be up to the people who lost friends, family, and community members to determine whether or where to lay blame.

(And particularly considering that there are rich parents whose children are dead, I'd wager the odds are very high that someone--potentially many someones--will be sued. It is not always cheaper to do nothing).

Of course so much comes down to decisions people make now. What will they do to make people in the future safer? Deflecting doesn't help. Often blame does not help. What are they saying & doing now to make people safer? Some steps could be taken now. Some would require a lot more time and funding and should probably be done as well. It's not likely, given the pattern we've seen with flooding over the past decade, that the danger will subside again for as long a period of time as previously unless action also is taken to curb the risk.
 
It is a rare situation where you don't have plenty of notice to evacuate from a wildfire's path.
I'm not sure rare. I think when the fire first erupts, it can travel pretty fast without a lot of notice. The Paradise fire was like that. And some of the fires in LA a few months ago. And the Lahaina fire. But once a fire has ripped through an area, it slows down.

When there was a fire near me, we had plenty of notice, but the original fire traveled pretty fast. But it started in an area without a lot of people. We were lucky because it got stopped by a mountain peak. If it had gone over the peak, it would have ripped down the canyon in a flash IMO.
 
I'm not sure rare. I think when the fire first erupts, it can travel pretty fast without a lot of notice. The Paradise fire was like that. And some of the fires in LA a few months ago. And the Lahaina fire. But once a fire has ripped through an area, it slows down.

When there was a fire near me, we had plenty of notice, but the original fire traveled pretty fast. But it started in an area without a lot of people. We were lucky because it got stopped by a mountain peak. If it had gone over the peak, it would have ripped down the canyon in a flash IMO.
I mean, sure, you can cherry pick those specific fires where they were fast-moving and didn't give people the chance to properly evacuate. I also know from my brother's experience working during the summer of '94 for the US Forest Service as a wildland firefighter that there are plenty more times when there is time & notice to evacuate. The examples you mention are, like the Tubbs Fire up in Santa Rosa, on the urban-woodland boundary and we're basically daring Mother Nature to not unleash a catastrophic fire on us.

Again, my point is that sirens are useful in some environments but not all and I'm not sure how effective they would be even on the urban-woodland boundary zone because once a fire gets ripping & roaring, you're not likely to hear a siren unless you're in very close proximity to it. The same is true for flood & tornado sirens - certainly useful in an urban or even a suburban environment, but in a rural area, not so much.
 
I've been posting links to political errors and other contributors to the disaster in the politics forum because it feels like when there is a disaster, people deserve to have a safe place to go & this seems like the better thread for that.

I will say here that the stories coming out about potential contributors to the scale of this disaster--and there seem to be many different contributors, probably at every level of the response--remind me of A Night To Remember (about the Titanic). First, so-and-so doesn't put in enough lifeboats, then so-and-so doesn't answer the distress call, etc. All these things add up to more people dying. By themselves, some of these decisions may seem minor, but you put them together and the cost is so steep.

It will be up to the people who lost friends, family, and community members to determine whether or where to lay blame.

(And particularly considering that there are rich parents whose children are dead, I'd wager the odds are very high that someone--potentially many someones--will be sued. It is not always cheaper to do nothing).

Of course so much comes down to decisions people make now. What will they do to make people in the future safer? Deflecting doesn't help. Often blame does not help. What are they saying & doing now to make people safer? Some steps could be taken now. Some would require a lot more time and funding and should probably be done as well. It's not likely, given the pattern we've seen with flooding over the past decade, that the danger will subside again for as long a period of time as previously unless action also is taken to curb the risk.
If they wait too long nothing may be done. Immediate actions are necessary and they can keep adding more over some years, through planning. Getting sued will certainly motivate. People of those counties need to put pressure on key people.
 
Speaking of wildfires & alerts - my mom is currently packing her car up to be prepared to go if this fire spreads & has said the electricity is currently out (wise precaution by the local authorities, I'm sure) -


She has friends in the Level 2 zone who are coming to her house & they will evacuate together if necessary. Horse trailers are already taking animals out of the area. Skies are currently blue all around save for the fire's smoke plume
 

I vaguely remember the Maui fire a few years ago that decimated the entire town of Lahaina. There were many deaths and huge damage to properties. I remember the harbor shops, museum, bookstore and restaurants I had visited there just a few months earlier.

If I remember correctly, their siren system (or whatever system they had in place) had failed. They (Hawaii) have invested money in rebuilding the town.

Can Texas help their small counties and the vulnerable areas by installing warning systems and helping them rebuild? I hope they won’t shrug this off as just another natural disaster.

Will there be accountability at all levels and not just the lower ones?
I think this is my question as well. Everyone is talking about the money from the Biden administration and how it was used or misused. But before all of that I believe the county asked the state for one million dollars for warning systems and the state turned them down. They might have been refused more than once too. I saw a post from a man who said that the State of Texas spent over 220 million dollars to move migrants around but could not give Kerr County a million. I don't get it.
 
I think this is my question as well. Everyone is talking about the money from the Biden administration and how it was used or misused. But before all of that I believe the county asked the state for one million dollars for warning systems and the state turned them down. They might have been refused more than once too. I saw a post from a man who said that the State of Texas spent over 220 million dollars to move migrants around but could not give Kerr County a million. I don't get it.
This thread might eventually have to go to the politics section, because there are definitely political (and other) factors that contributed to the extent of the disaster.

 

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