I guess it's just interesting to me that I don't remember anyone criticising Mao in the way you are all that much, at least on this board,
I love Mao, I just don't think she was a favorite to win Turin lol.
I know hindsight is 20-20 (and that's what I have), but here is her layout for GPF 2005.
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No +Toe Loop, because the season prior she was having problems with it (here's the
3F+3T she did at junior worlds the season prior, which by protocol was marked 3F+2T). No 3S, because that was another jump she had timing issues with. Her BV advantage was washed out. She COULD have been doing 8 triples, right? But she's only doing 6. (coupled with 3A and +Lo combos just not getting the credit they deserve)
I am also pointing out that my perception of skating at this point (and mind you that I was nowhere close to being a regular viewer of skating, so it's all hindsight for me, I was only in middle school...) was that skaters used to significantly change their choreography because it actually mattered in the score - which is one way they used to work on their "artistry". It certainly did happen with Sasha's program, and Mao's LP itself changed significantly in the 2006-07 season. I don't necessarily expect a junior skater to invest in that.
I will say she's better than most seniors now. She's only a junior for her time.
I still don't necessarily think we can only see one group of people's opinion about a skater to come to the conclusion she was or wasn't a favorite at the time, but I disagree anyway. People back then could have been doing so due to any number of reasons - as you say, she was a young exciting skater with a 3A. It's also true that CoP was fresh, and people on the internet hadn't necessarily figured out jump layout BVs and deductions. The Michelle Kwan thing was brought up before, that can be another thing they were thinking about. They also could have just plain genuinely liked her more than the rest.