Looking Towards 2026 Grand Prix Entries

[AngieNikodinovLove (ANL)]

MEN
GROUP 1- Ilia Malinin, Yuma Kagiyama, Shun Sato, Mikhail Shaidorov, Daniel Grassl, Adam Siao Him Fa
GROUP 2- Junhwan Cha, Stephen Gogolev, Kao Miura, Nika Egadze, Sota Yamamoto, Kazuki Tomono
GROUP 3- Rio Nakata, Nikolaj Memola, Kevin Aymoz, Andrew Torgashev, Boyang Jin, Aleksandr Selevko
GROUP 4- Matteo Rizzo, Minkyu Seo, Lukas Britschgi, Roman Sadovsky, Vladimir Samoilov, Jacob Sanchez
------------------
This group has potential to fall into no spots/alternate territory...

GROUP 5- Georgii Reshtenko, Yudong Chen, Francois Pitot, Mihhail Selevko, Vladimir Litvintsev, Andreas Nordeback, Tamir Kuperman, Adam Hagara

WOMEN
GROUP 1 - Ami Nakai, Alysa Liu, Mao Shimada, Mone Chiba, Yuna Aoki, Niina Petrokina
GROUP 2- Rion Sumiyoshi, Amber Glenn, Isabeau Levito, Rinka Watanabe, Haein Lee, Anastasiia Gubanova
GROUP 3- Jia Shin, Sofia Samodelkina, Loena Hendrickx, Lara Naki Gutmann, Nina Pinzarrone, Sarah Everhardt
GROUP 4- Yujae Kim, Young You, Yuseong Kim, Saki Miyake, Olivia Lisko, Rino Matsuike
------------
Group 5- could be in alternate territory...
Anna Pezzetta, Iida Karhunen, Julia Sauter, Sophie Joline Von Felten, Seoyoung Kim, Lorine Schild, Madeline Schizas, Chaeyeon Kim

If Amber continues, which I doubt, group 2?

 

[haribobo]

These are just by current SB but she has a good chance of top 6 at worlds and thus a seeded position

 

[haribobo]

FYI for Japan men, Sena Takahashi will be too young for seniors and Tsuboi is retiring.

Of the others in contention for NHK spot...(most don't have an ISU SB)

Daiya Ebihara- 7th @ Nats, 217 int (has SB)
Nozomu Yoshioka - 8th @ Nationals, 214 international score
Takeru Kataise- 9th @ Nats, 216 int
Kosho Oshima- 10th @ Nats, 195 int
Tsudoi Sato- 12th @ Nats, 206 int
Shunsuke Nakamura- 19th @ Nationals, 210 int score

With Yuma, Shun, Tomono, Sota, Rio and Kao getting 2 spots each
----------------

Also for the women (Yuna Aoki and Rinka Watanabe should have 2 spots)...Rino Matsuike - 11 @ Nats, and Rion Sumiyoshi - 18 @ Nats, should get 2, also Saki Miyake- 9 @ Nats should get 2 spots if recovered from injury
-----------------

Mana Kawabe- 12 @ Nats, 194 int (no SB)
Maria Egawa- 13 @ Nats, 197 int (no SB)
Mako Yamashita- 15 @ Nats, 195 int (SB 183)
Kaoruko Wada- 19 @ Nats (SB 180)
Haruna Murakami- 21 @ Nats (SB 186)
Hana Yoshida- 28 @ Nats (SB 180)

If all of Mone, Mao, Ami, Yuna, Rinka, Rino, Rion, Saki, get 2 spots each- that only leaves 2 total GP spots to spread amongst all of the above skaters.

 

[Karen-W]

Alrighty then... We can start projecting for Pairs seeing as there are no further pairs competitions this season!

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 20 out of 48 spots
Hase/Volodin
Metelkina/Berulava
Pereira/Michaud
Nagaoka/Moriguchi
Pavlova/Sviatchenko
Efimova/Mitrofanov
Hocke/Kunkel
Akopova/Rakhmanin
Zhang/Huang
Vouillamoz/Bouvart

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 10 out of 28 remaining spots
Miura/Kihara 1/1
Conti/Macii 4/4
Stellato-Dudek/Deschamps 6/7
Kam/O'Shea 7/12
Ghilardi/Ambrosini 9/16
Chan/Howe 12/11
McBeath/Parkman 13/19
Laurin/Ethier 16/18
Chtchetinina/Wozniak 17/20
Shin/Nagy 20/15
Sui/Han 24/9

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will probably get 2 - 2 out of 18 remaining spots
Kemp/Elizarov 1/23/24

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 75 - guaranteed 1 GP but will probably get 2 - 2 out of 16 remaining spots
Desrochers/Thrasher 2/21/35

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will probably get 2 - 2 out of 14 remaining spots
Plazas/Fernandez 22
Beccari/Guarise 23

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, could get 2 - 3 out of 12 remaining spots
Vaipan-Law/Digby 15 (SB 25) - probably will get 2
Danilova/Tsiba 22 (SB 38) - probably will get 1

JWC Top 3/SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - 1 out of 9 remaining spots
Herrera/Khobta - probably will get 1

Host Spots - 5 out of 8 remaining spots
SkAm - 2 TBD
SCI - probably none held unless there are some pairs teams that form soon that show promise
CoC - none
GPdF - 3 TBD
NHK - none
Finlandia - none

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool (minimum total score = 136.99 - only Top 51 have achieved that score) - marked through the age-ineligible teams from the junior ranks as well as teams likely to remain junior next season - 3 to GP host fed teams out of 5 remaining
Kovalev/Kovalev 26 - will get 1 GP outside of GPdF
Guo/Zhang 27
Faula/Belle 28 - will get 1 GP outside of GPdF
Zhang/Feng 29
Izzo/Maierhofer 30
Valesi/Bidar 31
Holichenko/Darenskyi 32
Liu/Bedard 33 - will get 1 GP outside of GPdF
Caldara/Maglio 34
Gunnarsdottir/Piazza 36
Flores/Wang 37
Williams/Lewer 40
Ryom/Han 41
Chen/Dong 42
Schaller/Mayr 43
Wessenberg/Strekalin 44
Roscher/Schuster 45
Quattrochi/Lacasse 46
Jarmoc/Witkowski 47
Moss/Galbavy 48
Ehrhard/Pellegris 49
Gamez/Korovin 50
Golubeva/Giotopoulos Moore 51

Ultimately - both Les Kovs & Faula/Belle will wind up with 2 GPs since they'll get GPdF if no other spots open up for them to fill before mid-September.

 

[AngieNikodinovLove (ANL)]

Did Poland already say they’re going to retire? I barely got to know them.

 

[Karen-W]

Did Poland already say they’re going to retire? I barely got to know them.

No, they haven't decided. I did have them penciled in, yesterday, as likely to retire based on her reaction when they finished their FS, but their comments in the Mixed zone afterward have made me reevaluate that notion. I'll edit my post based on them probably staying in at least one more season - especially since she has Swiss citizenship and Euros are in Lausanne next year.

 

[Karen-W]

While we have a few singles competitions left in April & May, none of those will impact the World Standings, so we can start really projecting GP assignments for next season.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 24 out of 72 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 12 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Sakamoto
Chiba
Pinzarrone
Levito
Gutmann
Glenn (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Petrokina
Shin
Nakai
Gubanova
Everhardt
Samodelkina
H Lee
Karhunen

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 6 out of 48 remaining spots
Liu 1/4
Tennell 7/23 (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Watanabe 16/13
Aoki 21/6

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 2 out of 42 remaining spots
Shimada 1/17/5

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 40 remaining spots
Sumiyoshi 8
Petrosian 11
Bath 18
Hendrickx 20 (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Yj Kim 22
Oka 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, could get 2 - 6 out of 36 remaining spots
Pezzetta 13 (SB 34)
Schild 18 (SB 40)
C Kim 19 (SB 42)
Yun 20 (SB 59)
Schizas 23 (SB 41)
Repond 24 (SB 66)

Host Spots - 15 out of 30 remaining spots
SkAm - von Felten (SB 38) & 1 TBD (Bonillo SB 52, Lin-Gracey SB 70)
SCI - Dupuis (SB 47), Daleman (SB 53) & 1 TBD (Ruiter SB 65, Landry SB 68, Kwon - waiting on int'l release)
CoC - R Zhang (SB 60) & 2 TBD
GPdF - Serna (SB 75) & 2 TBD
NHK - 2 TBD (Murakami SB 45, Yamashita SB 51, Wada SB 57, Yoshida SB 58)
Finlandia - Lisko (SB 28) & 1 TBD

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 12 out of 15 remaining spots
You 25 - will get 1 GP
Ys Kim 26 - will get 1 GP
Miyake 27 - will get 2 GPs
Lisko 28 - will get a 2nd GP aside from Finlandia
Okada 29
Andrews 30
Kanazawa 31
Shifrin 32
Matsuike 33 - will get 2 GPs
Pezzetta 34
A Lengyelova 36
Sauter 37 - will get 1 GP
von Felten 38 - will get a 2nd GP aside from SkAm
S Kim 39 - will get 1 GP
Schild 40 - will get a 2nd GP
Schizas 41 - will get a 2nd GP
C Kim 42
Dibbern 43
Huh 44
Murakami 45
Seniuk 46
Dupuis 47
Mikutina 48
Wang 49
Youn 50
Yamashita 51
Bonillo 52
Daleman 53
Gurgenidze 54
Safonova 55
Joos 56
Wada 57
Yoshida 58
Yun 59
R Zhang 60
Ezhova 61
Piredda 62
Shao 63
Hwang 64
Ruiter 65
Repond 66
Yakoleva 67
Landry 68
Tzimpoukakis 69
Lin-Gracey 70
Goidina 71
Chao 72
Kaljuvere 73
Kurakova 74
Serna 75

Ultimately - I'm on the fence about which 3 of Young You, Yuseong Kim, Anna Pezzetta and Chaeyeon Kim wind up with 2 GPs. I don't see the GP host feds going any further down the SB list below Chaeyeon (SB 42) to award any GP assignments apart from host fed spots. And, of course, any one or all three of Glenn, Tennell & Hendrickx could decide to go one more season and that will take away some of the spots I've tentatively assigned.

 

[haribobo]

Nice list- I would also include Megan Woodley and Reese Rose as potential SC host picks, and Sherry Zhang as a potential SA pick.

 

[Karen-W]

Nice list- I would also include Megan Woodley and Reese Rose as potential SC host picks, and Sherry Zhang as a potential SA pick.

I'm sure they're on the respective radars of the USFS and Skate Canada, but the same can be said if a lot of other zkaters/teams. I was just reminded in the Canadian Pairs thread that Bombardier/Mimar are still together. I basically just wanted to make sure to note which skaters in the SB Top 75 could be in the mix for GP host spots, not that ant host spots would go only to those skaters or no one else.

 

[Karen-W]

Alrighty, then... Onto the Men's predictions! We have a few singles competitions left in April & May, none of those will impact the World Standings, so we can start really projecting GP assignments for next season.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 24 out of 72 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 12 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Malinin
Kagiyama (I know he hasn't made a decision but he was quoted after the Olympics saying he didn't know if he wanted to go another 4 years)
Sato
Gogolev
Siao Him Fa
A Selevko
Aymoz (apparently wants to continue)
Grassl
Britschgi (wants to compete at Euros in Lausanne next year)
Torgashev
Egadze
Sanchez
Marsak (presuming Kagiyama is done)

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 12 out of 48 remaining spots
Shaidorov 3/4
Rizzo 10/21 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)
J Cha 11/8
Tomono 12/15
Miura 14/9
Memola 15/17
Yamamoto 19/13
Brown 23/20 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 36 remaining spots
Nakata 1/21/16
Seo 2/22/22

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 0 out of 32 remaining spots
Gumennik 11
Jin 19
Hiwatashi 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, will get 2 - 4 out of 32 remaining spots
Sadovsky 18
M Selevko 20 (SB 36)
Hagara 24 (SB 39)

Host Spots - 11 out of 28 remaining spots
SkAm - Martynov (SB 64) & 1 TBD (Kazanecki SB 48, Shinohara SB 68)
SCI - Long (SB 54) & Chiu (SB 56)
CoC - Chen (SB 31), Peng (SB 63) & 1 TBD
GPdF - Economides (SB 41) & Hammi (SB 51)
NHK - 1 TBD (Ebihara SB 62, Uemura SB 69)
Finlandia - 1 TBD (likely Lindfors or Suntsev)

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 17 out of 17 remaining spots
Sadovsky 25
S Lee 26
Samoilov 29 - will get 2 GPs
Reshtenko 30 - will get 2 GPs
Chen 31 - will get a 2nd GP aside from CoC
Pitot 33 - will get 2 GPs
Tsuboi 34
Choi 35
Litvintsev 37 - will get 1 GP
Nordeback 38 - will get 1 GP
Kuperman 40 - will get 1 GP
Economides 41 - will get a 2nd GP aside from GPdF
H Kim 42
Levandi 43
Vasilijevs 44
Kapeikis 45 - will get 1 GP
Naumov 46
J Lee 47
Kazanecki 48 - will get 1 GP
Takahashi 49
Krouglov 50
Hammi 51
Carrillo 52
Blackwell 53 - will get 1 GP
Long 54
Rakic 55 - will get 1 GP
Chiu 56
Newnham 57 - will get 1 GP
Gartung 58
Ma 59
Y Cha 60
Ya Li 61
Ebihara 62 - will get 1 GP
Peng 63
Martynov 64
Y-H Li 65
Lewton Brain 66
Kessler 67
Shinohara 68
Uemura 69 - will get 1 GP
Circelli 70
Farrington 71
Daniliants 72
Shumratko 73
Guarino Sabate 74
Jirenbayev 75

There are a lot of lower ranked host feds skaters who are going to get 1 GP - that's my ultimate assessment of how this plays out.

 

[Evgeniafan]

Alrighty, then... Onto the Men's predictions! We have a few singles competitions left in April & May, none of those will impact the World Standings, so we can start really projecting GP assignments for next season.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 24 out of 72 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 12 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Malinin
Kagiyama (I know he hasn't made a decision but he was quoted after the Olympics saying he didn't know if he wanted to go another 4 years)
Sato
Gogolev
Siao Him Fa
A Selevko
Aymoz (apparently wants to continue)
Grassl
Britschgi (wants to compete at Euros in Lausanne next year)
Torgashev
Egadze
Sanchez
Marsak (presuming Kagiyama is done)

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 12 out of 48 remaining spots
Shaidorov 3/4
Rizzo 10/21 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)
J Cha 11/8
Tomono 12/15
Miura 14/9
Memola 15/17
Yamamoto 19/13
Brown 23/20 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 36 remaining spots
Nakata 1/21/16
Seo 2/22/22

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 0 out of 32 remaining spots
Gumennik 11
Jin 19
Hiwatashi 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, will get 2 - 4 out of 32 remaining spots
Sadovsky 18
M Selevko 20 (SB 36)
Hagara 24 (SB 39)

Host Spots - 11 out of 28 remaining spots
SkAm - Martynov (SB 64) & 1 TBD (Kazanecki SB 48, Shinohara SB 68)
SCI - Long (SB 54) & Chiu (SB 56)
CoC - Chen (SB 31), Peng (SB 63) & 1 TBD
GPdF - Economides (SB 41) & Hammi (SB 51)
NHK - 1 TBD (Ebihara SB 62, Uemura SB 69)
Finlandia - 1 TBD (likely Suntsev)

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 17 out of 17 remaining spots
Sadovsky 25
S Lee 26
Samoilov 29 - will get 2 GPs
Reshtenko 30 - will get 2 GPs
Chen 31 - will get a 2nd GP aside from CoC
Pitot 33 - will get 2 GPs
Tsuboi 34
Choi 35
Litvintsev 37 - will get 1 GP
Nordeback 38 - will get 1 GP
Kuperman 40 - will get 1 GP
Economides 41 - will get a 2nd GP aside from GPdF
H Kim 42
Levandi 43
Vasilijevs 44
Kapeikis 45 - will get 1 GP
Naumov 46
J Lee 47
Kazanecki 48 - will get 1 GP
Takahashi 49
Krouglov 50
Hammi 51
Carrillo 52
Blackwell 53 - will get 1 GP
Long 54
Rakic 55 - will get 1 GP
Chiu 56
Newnham 57 - will get 1 GP
Gartung 58
Ma 59
Y Cha 60
Ya Li 61
Ebihara 62 - will get 1 GP
Peng 63
Martynov 64
Y-H Li 65
Lewton Brain 66
Kessler 67
Shinohara 68
Uemura 69 - will get 1 GP
Circelli 70
Farrington 71
Daniliants 72
Shumratko 73
Guarino Sabate 74
Jirenbayev 75

There are a lot of lower ranked host feds skaters who are going to get 1 GP - that's my ultimate assessment of how this plays out.

Deniss hasn't officially retired. I think he will do another year. So will he get one GP?

 

[Karen-W]

Deniss hasn't officially retired. I think he will do another year. So will he get one GP?

Maybe? Maybe not? He isn't on the SB Top 24 nor will he be in the WS Top 24 when they're reset at the official end of the season. Currently he's at SB 44 and I doubt any non-host fed skaters that low will get a GP, but maybe if Finland decides that Lindfors or Suntsev shouldn't get a host spot - I think Lindfors has to move up to seniors this year since he just turned 19 this month but his SB is 194.16 from Golden Spin & Suntsev's is even lower, so who knows what the Finnish fed will do.

 

[Karen-W]

Lastly, we have dance - I'm pretty sure there aren't any competitions left which will have a dance category, either way, that won't change the World Standings.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 20 out of 60 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 10 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Fournier-Beaudry/Cizeron
Gilles/Poirier (let's be real here...)
Zingas/Kolesnik
Fear/Gibson
Smart/Dieck
Lopareva/Brissaud
Reed/Ambrulevicius (again, let's be real - Cathy Reed has already publicly alluded to this being her sister's last season)
Carreira/Ponomarenko
Lajoie/Lagha
Davis/Smolkin
Mrazkova/Mrazek
Green/Parsons

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 10 out of 40 remaining spots
Chock/Bates 2/2 (let's be real here...)
Guignard/Fabbri 4/4 (again, let's be real here...)
Demougeot/le Mercier 13/17
Taschlerova/Taschler 15/18
Lim/Quan 17/20
Brown/Brown 18/19
Lauriault/le Gac 20/13
Janse van Rensburg/Steffan 24/16

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 75 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 1 out of 30 remaining spot
Pidgaina/Koval 3/22/49

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 6 out of 29 remaining spots
Turkkila/Versluis 14
Bratti/Somerville 22
Pate/Bye 23
Shibutani/Shibutani 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 23 remaining spots - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks
Orihara/Pirinen 19 (SB 32)
Aboian/Veselukhin 21 (SB 43)
Fabbri/Ayer 23 (SB 26)

Host Spots - 8 out of 19 remaining spots
SkAm - 1 TBD (Neset/Markelov SB 33, Flores/Jepsen SB 52, Cui/Rogers SB 54)
SCI - Hensen/Lickers (SB 48) & Veillon/Brandys (SB 51)
CoC - Ren/Xing (SB 56) & Xiao/He (SB 61)
GPdF - Fradji/Forneaux (SB 45)
NHK - Yoshida/Morita SB 35 & Kushida/Shimada SB 73
Finlandia - none

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 11 out of 11 remaining spots
Harris/Chan 25 - will get 1 GP
Wolfkostin/Tsarevski - will get 2 GPs
Val/Kazimov 28 - will get 1 GP
Dupayage/Nabais 29 - will get 2 GPs
Bekker/Hernandez 30 - will get 1 GP
Reitan/Majorov 31 - will get 1 GP
Neset/Markelov 33 - will get 1 GP
Lagouge/Caffa 34 - will get 1 GP
Yoshida/Morita 35 - will get a 2nd GP aside from NHK
Ichilov/Nosovitskiy 36
Manni/Roethlisberger 37
Soucisse/Firus 38
Ignateva/Szemko 39
Matthaei/Liebers 40
Wang/Liu 41
Paolino/Tuba 42
Aboian/Veselukhin 43
Pinchuk/Pogorielov 44
Fradji/Forneaux 45
Kudryavtseva/Karankevich 46
Perrier Gianesinin/Blanc Klaperman 47
Hensen/Lickers 48
Pidgaina/Koval 49
Larson/Kapran 50
Veillon/Brandys 51
Flores/Jepsen 52
Mouaden/Bigot 53
Cui/Rogers 54
Tali/Lafornara 55
Ren/Xing 56
Dovhal/Kulesza 57
Robertson/Rohner 58
Kazakova/Kasinskij 59
Zehnder/Sieber 60
Xiao/He 61
Schubert/Remeshevskiy 62
Bordet/Chardain 62
Sassi/Morini 64
Anderson/Dawson 65
Karl/Hoferichter 66
Finelli/Bucciarelli 67
Ritter/Brykalov 68
Grzegorzewska/Muratov 69
Bianchi/Basile 70
Argentieri/Riva 71
Soldati/Tagliabue 72
Kushida/Shimada 73
Csiszer/Shapiro 74
Homick/Buelow 75

I'm on the fence as to whether the GP host feds will screw teams like Harris/Chan, Val/Kazimov, Bekker/Hernandez & Reitan/Majorov out of any GP assignments while ensuring that teams like Lagouge/Caffa & Neset/Markelov get 2 GPs straight out of the gate. I think ReiMaj are more likely to get a GP than the others simply because I'd bet the Finnish fed will invite them; and I tend to think HarChan will get 1 GP, which leaves ValKaz and BekHern as the two most likely to be left out cold - or they both get 1 and the host feds let the chips fall where they may for LaCaf and NesMark with 1 GP each.

 

[ice coverage]

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 11 out of 11 remaining spots
Perrier Gianesinin/Blanc Klaperman 47

If the blue strikethrough is supposed to mean age-ineligible, then I think you are mistaken?
Ambre and Samuel both were born in 2007.
At 2026 Junior Worlds, they basically said in the post-FD press conference that they had not yet made a decision with their coaches whether to compete senior or junior next season.
(I don't know whether Ambre and Samuel have given an update since then.)

 

[Karen-W]

If the blue strikethrough is supposed to mean age-ineligible, then I think you are mistaken?
Ambre and Samuel both were born in 2007.
At 2026 Junior Worlds, they basically said in the post-FD press conference that they had not yet made a decision with their coaches whether to compete senior or junior next season.
(I don't know whether Ambre and Samuel have given an update since then.)

It's been reported in the French news thread that they have decided to remain junior next season, which I think is a good decision on their part. It will be fun to see them battling with Aboian/Veselukhin again next season.

 

[Jonas]

While we have a few singles competitions left in April & May, none of those will impact the World Standings, so we can start really projecting GP assignments for next season.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 24 out of 72 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 12 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Sakamoto
Chiba
Pinzarrone
Levito
Gutmann
Glenn (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Petrokina
Shin
Nakai
Gubanova
Everhardt
Samodelkina
H Lee
Karhunen

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 6 out of 48 remaining spots
Liu 1/4
Tennell 7/23 (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Watanabe 16/13
Aoki 21/6

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 2 out of 42 remaining spots
Shimada 1/17/5

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 40 remaining spots
Sumiyoshi 8
Petrosian 11
Bath 18
Hendrickx 20 (I know she hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt she'll compete again)
Yj Kim 22
Oka 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, could get 2 - 6 out of 36 remaining spots
Pezzetta 13 (SB 34)
Schild 18 (SB 40)
C Kim 19 (SB 42)
Yun 20 (SB 59)
Schizas 23 (SB 41)
Repond 24 (SB 66)

Host Spots - 15 out of 30 remaining spots
SkAm - von Felten (SB 38) & 1 TBD (Bonillo SB 52, Lin-Gracey SB 70)
SCI - Dupuis (SB 47), Daleman (SB 53) & 1 TBD (Ruiter SB 65, Landry SB 68, Kwon - waiting on int'l release)
CoC - R Zhang (SB 60) & 2 TBD
GPdF - Serna (SB 75) & 2 TBD
NHK - 2 TBD (Murakami SB 45, Yamashita SB 51, Wada SB 57, Yoshida SB 58)
Finlandia - Lisko (SB 28) & 1 TBD

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 12 out of 15 remaining spots
You 25 - will get 1 GP
Ys Kim 26 - will get 1 GP
Miyake 27 - will get 2 GPs
Lisko 28 - will get a 2nd GP aside from Finlandia
Okada 29
Andrews 30
Kanazawa 31
Shifrin 32
Matsuike 33 - will get 2 GPs
Pezzetta 34
A Lengyelova 36
Sauter 37 - will get 1 GP
von Felten 38 - will get a 2nd GP aside from SkAm
S Kim 39 - will get 1 GP
Schild 40 - will get a 2nd GP
Schizas 41 - will get a 2nd GP
C Kim 42
Dibbern 43
Huh 44
Murakami 45
Seniuk 46
Dupuis 47
Mikutina 48
Wang 49
Youn 50
Yamashita 51
Bonillo 52
Daleman 53
Gurgenidze 54
Safonova 55
Joos 56
Wada 57
Yoshida 58
Yun 59
R Zhang 60
Ezhova 61
Piredda 62
Shao 63
Hwang 64
Ruiter 65
Repond 66
Yakoleva 67
Landry 68
Tzimpoukakis 69
Lin-Gracey 70
Goidina 71
Chao 72
Kaljuvere 73
Kurakova 74
Serna 75

Ultimately - I'm on the fence about which 3 of Young You, Yuseong Kim, Anna Pezzetta and Chaeyeon Kim wind up with 2 GPs. I don't see the GP host feds going any further down the SB list below Chaeyeon (SB 42) to award any GP assignments apart from host fed spots. And, of course, any one or all three of Glenn, Tennell & Hendrickx could decide to go one more season and that will take away some of the spots I've tentatively assigned.

Gubanova -- I forget which broadcast I heard it from, but I thought Gubanova was hanging it up after this season.

Aoki -- Before she left for Art on Ice she said she's unsure if she's going to continue to competing.

I wouldn't mind if both continue on. Ditto re: Glenn, Hendrickx, and Tennell, though I agree w/you that I don't think they'll be competing again.

Your thoughts...

 

[Jonas]

Alrighty, then... Onto the Men's predictions! We have a few singles competitions left in April & May, none of those will impact the World Standings, so we can start really projecting GP assignments for next season.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 24 out of 72 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 12 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Malinin
Kagiyama (I know he hasn't made a decision but he was quoted after the Olympics saying he didn't know if he wanted to go another 4 years)
Sato
Gogolev
Siao Him Fa
A Selevko
Aymoz (apparently wants to continue)
Grassl
Britschgi (wants to compete at Euros in Lausanne next year)
Torgashev
Egadze
Sanchez
Marsak (presuming Kagiyama is done)

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 12 out of 48 remaining spots
Shaidorov 3/4
Rizzo 10/21 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)
J Cha 11/8
Tomono 12/15
Miura 14/9
Memola 15/17
Yamamoto 19/13
Brown 23/20 (I know he hasn't announced anything, but I sincerely doubt he'll compete again)

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 36 remaining spots
Nakata 1/21/16
Seo 2/22/22

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 0 out of 32 remaining spots
Gumennik 11
Jin 19
Hiwatashi 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP, will get 2 - 4 out of 32 remaining spots
Sadovsky 18
M Selevko 20 (SB 36)
Hagara 24 (SB 39)

Host Spots - 11 out of 28 remaining spots
SkAm - Martynov (SB 64) & 1 TBD (Kazanecki SB 48, Shinohara SB 68)
SCI - Long (SB 54) & Chiu (SB 56)
CoC - Chen (SB 31), Peng (SB 63) & 1 TBD
GPdF - Economides (SB 41) & Hammi (SB 51)
NHK - 1 TBD (Ebihara SB 62, Uemura SB 69)
Finlandia - 1 TBD (likely Lindfors or Suntsev)

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 17 out of 17 remaining spots
Sadovsky 25
S Lee 26
Samoilov 29 - will get 2 GPs
Reshtenko 30 - will get 2 GPs
Chen 31 - will get a 2nd GP aside from CoC
Pitot 33 - will get 2 GPs
Tsuboi 34
Choi 35
Litvintsev 37 - will get 1 GP
Nordeback 38 - will get 1 GP
Kuperman 40 - will get 1 GP
Economides 41 - will get a 2nd GP aside from GPdF
H Kim 42
Levandi 43
Vasilijevs 44
Kapeikis 45 - will get 1 GP
Naumov 46
J Lee 47
Kazanecki 48 - will get 1 GP
Takahashi 49
Krouglov 50
Hammi 51
Carrillo 52
Blackwell 53 - will get 1 GP
Long 54
Rakic 55 - will get 1 GP
Chiu 56
Newnham 57 - will get 1 GP
Gartung 58
Ma 59
Y Cha 60
Ya Li 61
Ebihara 62 - will get 1 GP
Peng 63
Martynov 64
Y-H Li 65
Lewton Brain 66
Kessler 67
Shinohara 68
Uemura 69 - will get 1 GP
Circelli 70
Farrington 71
Daniliants 72
Shumratko 73
Guarino Sabate 74
Jirenbayev 75

There are a lot of lower ranked host feds skaters who are going to get 1 GP - that's my ultimate assessment of how this plays out.

Did I miss a retirement announcement from Roman Sadovsky or are you projecting that he'll be pushed out of the SB Lists for a Grand Prix. Now that CAN has 2 spots, Roman should easily nab that 2nd spot.

Your thoughts...

 

[Karen-W]

Gubanova -- I forget which broadcast I heard it from, but I thought Gubanova was hanging it up after this season.

Aoki -- Before she left for Art on Ice she said she's unsure if she's going to continue to competing.

I wouldn't mind if both continue on. Ditto re: Glenn, Hendrickx, and Tennell, though I agree w/you that I don't think they'll be competing again.

Your thoughts...

I've seen some remarks on X that state Gubanova has said she will compete next season. Hadn't heard anything about Aoki. I'm sure these projected lists will change as more skaters make decisions about their competitive futures in coming weeks.

Did I miss a retirement announcement from Roman Sadovsky or are you projecting that he'll be pushed out of the SB Lists for a Grand Prix. Now that CAN has 2 spots, Roman should easily nab that 2nd spot.

Your thoughts...

Pretty sure Romsky is done but I don't believe he's made a formal announcement. He would certainly get 2 GPs if he doesn't retire, though I wouldn't bet on him getting the 2nd Canadian spit for Worlds next year. We've all seen how chaotic Canadian Nats can be when it comes to the men's results.

 

[ice coverage]

It's been reported in the French news thread that they have decided to remain junior next season ...

Thanks -- sorry that I had missed Ambre and Samuel's decision.
Ambre's humor in the JW press conference about Westminster Waltz vs. Golden Waltz made me smile.

 

[skateblessing]

Lastly, we have dance - I'm pretty sure there aren't any competitions left which will have a dance category, either way, that won't change the World Standings.

Seeded/Invited - Guaranteed 2 GPs - 20 out of 60 spots - FYI, per the GP General Announcement, when skaters in the Top 10 at Worlds retire the skaters placed below them automatically move up to become seeded/invited skaters
Fournier-Beaudry/Cizeron
Gilles/Poirier (let's be real here...)
Zingas/Kolesnik
Fear/Gibson
Smart/Dieck
Lopareva/Brissaud
Reed/Ambrulevicius (again, let's be real - Cathy Reed has already publicly alluded to this being her sister's last season)
Carreira/Ponomarenko
Lajoie/Lagha
Davis/Smolkin
Mrazkova/Mrazek
Green/Parsons

WS Top 24 (projected) & SB Top 24 - I've tentatively marked through the teams expected to retire/split - guaranteed 1 GP but probably will get 2 - 10 out of 40 remaining spots
Chock/Bates 2/2 (let's be real here...)
Guignard/Fabbri 4/4 (again, let's be real here...)
Demougeot/le Mercier 13/17
Taschlerova/Taschler 15/18
Lim/Quan 17/20
Brown/Brown 18/19
Lauriault/le Gac 20/13
Janse van Rensburg/Steffan 24/16

JWC Top 3/WS Top 24/SB Top 75 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 1 out of 30 remaining spot
Pidgaina/Koval 3/22/49

SB Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 6 out of 29 remaining spots
Turkkila/Versluis 14
Bratti/Somerville 22
Pate/Bye 23
Shibutani/Shibutani 24

WS Top 24 - guaranteed 1 GP but will get 2 - 4 out of 23 remaining spots - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks
Orihara/Pirinen 19 (SB 32)
Aboian/Veselukhin 21 (SB 43)
Fabbri/Ayer 23 (SB 26)

Host Spots - 8 out of 19 remaining spots
SkAm - 1 TBD (Neset/Markelov SB 33, Flores/Jepsen SB 52, Cui/Rogers SB 54)
SCI - Hensen/Lickers (SB 48) & Veillon/Brandys (SB 51)
CoC - Ren/Xing (SB 56) & Xiao/He (SB 61)
GPdF - Fradji/Forneaux (SB 45)
NHK - Yoshida/Morita SB 35 & Kushida/Shimada SB 73
Finlandia - none

SB Top 75 - included in Selection Pool - marked through the age-ineligible skaters from the junior ranks as well as retired/ineligible skaters - 11 out of 11 remaining spots
Harris/Chan 25 - will get 1 GP
Wolfkostin/Tsarevski - will get 2 GPs
Val/Kazimov 28 - will get 1 GP
Dupayage/Nabais 29 - will get 2 GPs
Bekker/Hernandez 30 - will get 1 GP
Reitan/Majorov 31 - will get 1 GP
Neset/Markelov 33 - will get 1 GP
Lagouge/Caffa 34 - will get 1 GP
Yoshida/Morita 35 - will get a 2nd GP aside from NHK
Ichilov/Nosovitskiy 36
Manni/Roethlisberger 37
Soucisse/Firus 38
Ignateva/Szemko 39
Matthaei/Liebers 40
Wang/Liu 41
Paolino/Tuba 42
Aboian/Veselukhin 43
Pinchuk/Pogorielov 44
Fradji/Forneaux 45
Kudryavtseva/Karankevich 46
Perrier Gianesinin/Blanc Klaperman 47
Hensen/Lickers 48
Pidgaina/Koval 49
Larson/Kapran 50
Veillon/Brandys 51
Flores/Jepsen 52
Mouaden/Bigot 53
Cui/Rogers 54
Tali/Lafornara 55
Ren/Xing 56
Dovhal/Kulesza 57
Robertson/Rohner 58
Kazakova/Kasinskij 59
Zehnder/Sieber 60
Xiao/He 61
Schubert/Remeshevskiy 62
Bordet/Chardain 62
Sassi/Morini 64
Anderson/Dawson 65
Karl/Hoferichter 66
Finelli/Bucciarelli 67
Ritter/Brykalov 68
Grzegorzewska/Muratov 69
Bianchi/Basile 70
Argentieri/Riva 71
Soldati/Tagliabue 72
Kushida/Shimada 73
Csiszer/Shapiro 74
Homick/Buelow 75

I'm on the fence as to whether the GP host feds will screw teams like Harris/Chan, Val/Kazimov, Bekker/Hernandez & Reitan/Majorov out of any GP assignments while ensuring that teams like Lagouge/Caffa & Neset/Markelov get 2 GPs straight out of the gate. I think ReiMaj are more likely to get a GP than the others simply because I'd bet the Finnish fed will invite them; and I tend to think HarChan will get 1 GP, which leaves ValKaz and BekHern as the two most likely to be left out cold - or they both get 1 and the host feds let the chips fall where they may for LaCaf and NesMark with 1 GP each.

Woooow I had high hopes for RejMaj to get a spot but I didn´t think they would be this close already?! So they might even be on the first list. I thought they would end up with a spot later after someone withdrawing. I also thought about that they are likely for GP Finland, Nikolaj Majorov has been invited there before.

However - have I been imagining things or didn´t they from last season rather give the teams next on the SB list two spots rather then give more teams down the SB list one spot? Or was it just for the replacement list later?

Btw with F/A split now, I think H/C will move up to top 24 WR so I don´t know if that means they will most likely be guaranteed 2 spots? However that will still open for one more spot if F/A were guaranteed two.

 

[Karen-W]

Woooow I had high hopes for RejMaj to get a spot but I didn´t think they would be this close already?! So they might even be on the first list. I thought they would end up with a spot later after someone withdrawing. I also thought that about that they are likely for GP Finland, Nikolaj Majorov has been invited there before.

However - have I been imagining things or didn´t they from last season rather give the teams next on the list two spots rather then give more teams down the SB list one spot? Or was it just for the replacement list later?

Btw with F/A split now, I think H/C will move up to top 24 so I don´t know if that means they will most likely be guaranteed 2 spots? However that will still open for one more spot if F/A was guaranteed two.

Last season was tough for ice dance with the addition of both FBCiz and the Shibs getting 2 GPs each - there were a several teams who normally would have received 2 GPs but only got 1 (WolfTsar, PateBye, NesMark, etc) and no one outside the SB or WS Top 24 who wasn't from a host fed had a prayer of getting even 1 GP. The post-Olympic season is somewhat different from other seasons during the Olympic cycle because there are more teams high on the SB or WS lists who decide to retire or split and that opens up more opportunities for teams in the 25-36 range to get at least 1 GP assignment.

As far as the WS Top 24 - theoretically if Skate Canada notifies the ISU of FabAyer's split and have them removed from the WS then, yes, HarChan would move up. We won't know for sure until the WS are reset once the final competition of the season is complete (end of May) whether or not FabAyer have been removed.