There was no top competition at Nebelhorn and none at Cup of Nice. And both events were in Western Europe. It was always likely the standard would be tougher on the GP in a field full of top teams. (And NHK is a full field. One of the deepest fields on the GP this season). It was always likely that Coomes & Buckland's scores would go down with them competing head-to-head with all these teams. The placement in the short was predictable. What was not were all those dropped levels in the FD. I'm sure their team will be working very hard, and those levels will be up substantially at the next event.
Coomes & Buckland have never been predictable. They've had so many crazy health issues that have interrupted their career. Making headway has been very uneven.
Just in 2015-2016 . . .
-They started off the season with no ranking from Worlds due to pulling out of 2015 Worlds for health reasons. They had started off the previous season with a medal at Rostelecom and a 2nd place finish in the SD at NHK before splatting out of the medals there and ending the season with a bombed short dance at 2015 Europeans, where they had scored 60.16 behind Fournier-Beaudry & Sorenson, Testa & Csolley, Guignard & Fabbri, Hurtado & Diaz, Zhiganshina & Gazsi . . . you get the picture.
-Then they began the 2015-2016 season at Nepela with a second place finish behind Gilles & Poirier and above the Shibs and Testa & Csolley. (That was a WTH set of results).
-Then went to Trophee Eric Bompard and finished behind Hubbell & Donohue, Gilles & Poirier, and Stepanova & Bukin and above Fournier-Beaudry & Sorenson.
-Then went to NHK and finished behind the Shibs, Bobrova & Soloviev, Hubbell & Donohue, and Stepanova & Bukin.
-Then went to Europeans where they finished 8th in the short dance behind Fournier-Beaudry & Sorenson and Guignard & Fabbri and inches above Testa & Csolley but moved up to finish 6th overall above all three teams and behind Sinitsina & Katsalapov and Stepanova & Bukin.
(At this point it seems like a pretty safe bet that Coomes & Buckland are somewhere behind Stepanova & Bukin).
-Then went to Worlds where C&B finished 7th above Gilles & Poirier, Sinitsina & Katsalapov, Guignard & Fabbri, and Stepanova and Bukin. And five places below the Shibs.
Note: At some point during the season C&B switched coaches. There was also a Brit on the tech panel at the 2016 Worlds. And a Ukrainian caller at this year's NHK so, yes, of course, it's worth watching to see if Nazarova & Nikitin can match these Personal Best scores later in the season. (I love that FD regardless).