haribobo
Why is summer so hot omg
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Who shall make top 5?
And which ones will bomb so badly they won't make the Free Skate?Who shall make top 5?
For me, 1-4 is easy: Chen and the Japanese dynamic duo, w/ Boyang as the primary dark horse.
I think only the first 3 are obvious. Boyang I would give the best chance, but still a very small chance, of slipping in for a medal over 1 of the 3 favorites. I dont think he is safe at all to make the top 5 though.
If you look at the men right around Boyang, he is the most experienced and probably steadiest among Zhou, Messing, Brown and Cha. He even outshines Samarin in PCS, so I think he holds a clear edge for no. 4
I dont know. The last couple years he has become more erratic. His PCS have improved, but he also scores lower than almost every noteable guy in GOE which contradicts a lot of his base value advantage (which isnt so big anymore).
I think the other 2 (not Samarin) Russian guys have a good chance of putting atleast 1 guy in the top 5, but they are so erratic. I have a feeling either of them skating well will wind up beating Boyang though, especialy Kolyada. It will be funny to see what order the 3 Russian guys finish in, if all skate well Samarin will definitely be the lowest though and Kolyada definitely the highest.
Kovtun is more disaster than on-point and Kolyada is somewhat more consistent than Kovtun, but that is not saying much
If you look at the men right around Boyang, he is the most experienced and probably steadiest among Zhou, Messing, Brown and Cha. He even outshines Samarin in PCS, so I think he holds a clear edge for no. 4
Cha has been quite steady this season. He has three 3rds and two 2nds, including bronze at the GPF. He got Amano'ed at 4CCs, but otherwise all very steady results. He usually does UR his quads, though. Boyang is more volatile but his jumps were around at 4CCs. With his difficulty, that'll count for a lot if he has a good skate. Higher risk. Higher reward among this group of guys.
True but Samarin is just as inconsistent as they are really, and has the lowest scoring potential of the three, a ton lower than Kolyada. Just surprised you seemed to be singling him out as the clear top Russian after only placing highest at 1 event. Like you yourself said even jumping bean Boyang beats him in PCS. The only way he will be the highest placing Russian is if he has another unusually good outing like Europeans or Nationals last year, Kolyada continues to be a disaester, and Kovtun skates nowhere near as well as Nationals.
I picked Samarin because he has medaled on the GP circuit, the really lifted himself up at Euros, which shows an upward trend and makes him Russia's best hope for Worlds. Kolyada's scoring potential means nothing if he can't deliver which happens quite often, and really what are the chances of Kovtun skating well?