By the rules, Torgashev received no bonus points from 2025 Worlds, but his total points > Hiwatashi's, which reflects BOW.
Hiwatashi's result at 2025 4C's wasn't that much, if at all, better than Torgashev's at Worlds, given the relative fields. The expecations for Torgashev were higher.
Hiwatashi is a sentimental favorite of mine, and Torgashev isn't. But by the rules, he's stronger than Hiwatashi.
By the rules, he's not, really, though.
There are 4 ways men qualified into the Selection Pool - here's who was higher in each pathway -
Selection Pool Points - Torgy
2026 Nats - Torgy
Current Season WR - Hiwatashi
But when you look at other factors the committee considers -
SB - Hiwatashi
GP Highest - Hiwatashi
GP Avg - Hiwatashi
Challenger/Sr B Highest - Torgy
Challenger/Sr B Avg - let's not look at this one since Torgy only had one CS/Sr B so his 2nd score is 80% of his 1st score & that drags down the average
Head-to-Head Match-Ups - Torgy
Scoring Trend - Little harder to quantify, but Hiwatashi probably takes it because his score range was not only higher but smaller than Torgy.
Torgashev clearly went WAY up here at Nats but during the fall, his trend was downward -
Nebelhorn 237.11
GPdF 233.36
NHK 212.01
Hiwatashi really hit his mojo in September & October after a really disappointing Cranberry Cup performance -
Cranberry - 201.66
Kinoshita Group Cup - 236.71
Trialeti Trophy - 237.11
CoC - 245.71
SCI - 230.58
And then there's Naumov, whose only "win" over the other two is his SB from IceChallenge and the protocol from that event does not read like a 246.70 worthy score at all. And his scoring trend is appreciably lower than the other two -
Lombardia 223.43
GPdF 226.74
IceChallenge 246.70
Tallinn 223.04
My gut says the committee will probably just stick with the Nats results, but I think there's a reasonable argument to be made in favor of Hiwatashi and Torgashev over Naumov.