Skate to Milano OWG Qualifier - Beijing CHN - Pairs SP & FS

Count me in among those who didn't expect this quality from the Kovalevs.

Akopova/Rakhmanin ARM looked more nervous and tentative than at John Nicks. Or at least the high-quality video here revealed it. The stakes are high. Karina said that it was her long-time dream to skate to this music, but I would have loved to see more work with the music in the mid-section when the drums come in (à la Abt 2001/2002 SP), but their focus here was obviously on the TES.

Every element will count in the free. It will be painful to see one of the top four not qualify tomorrow (CHN and JPN team really impressed me despite technical mishaps for the latter), but who knows maybe the UZB spot will open up later on...
 
FYI Liu/Bedard have competed at Golden West and John Nicks so far, scoring 168 and 174. Honestly would have been a decent choice for this comp, Champs Camp or no.

Looked at another way, it is benevolent for USFS to give the other countries a better shot at the open spots. Although I think China and Japan would/will likely not need our help in getting those spots. My assumption is that Chan/Howe have aggravated USFS somehow.

Shin/Nagy aren't a bad team that does look to have potential but I think it can be dangerous to be seduced by Nagy's good looks, youth, lack of injuries, and apparent strength vs. their actual results in competition...and Audrey seems to have a lot of good will with USFS, but this SP is just kind of a dud even with a clean skate. Still, I have hope for them. But it may be more of a slow burn than people were thinking it would be...
 
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I’m playing this in my head re Shin/Nagy. USFS says “We have no delusions that you can do it, but if you luck out and secure the spot, it’s yours.”
 
They wouldn't have done anything because they were never under consideration to be sent given they have exactly 1 competition under their belts as of 2 weeks ago.

And this is precisely why the USFS made a supremely UN-serious decision in choosing to send ShiNagy to this event over McBark or ChanHowe. They needed a team that could, reliably, deliver a 63-67 SP score at minimum, something ShiNagy have never accomplished internationally. I'm so spitting mad about this because it was entirely avoidable.


Chan/howe likely have one of the two Olympic spots due to the citizenship limitations in US pairs. Sending shin/nagy makes complete sense to me, because as stated in that USFS article, they’re competing for their own spot and if they can’t claim it, they’re not going to the Olympics.

I really don’t understand the crash out over this. Chan/howe are likely already going and mcbeath/parkman don’t have citizenship anyway. Why should the US claim another pair spot when there’s likely a smaller fed team that deserves it more and will likely out score that 3rd US team.
 
Do we know when the entries for this event had to be in? Because after what happened at the John Nick competition S/N would not have been sent over C/H. Does the team trying to qualify have to both have citizenship because if they don't i would have even sent McBeath/ Parkman before S/N. The USFS has a lot of explaining to do but since the teams that do have citizenship haven't exactly wowed anyone so far this season maybe the US doesn't need 3 spots. It looks like K/S and C/H will be the teams going to Milan unless something weird happens.
 
FYI Liu/Bedard have competed at Golden West and John Nicks so far, scoring 168 and 174. Honestly would have been a decent choice for this comp, Champs Camp or no.
Thanks! For some reason I missed that.
Looked at another way, it is benevolent for USFS to give the other countries a better shot at the open spots. Although I think China and Japan would/will likely not need our help in getting those spots. My assumption is that Chan/Howe have aggravated USFS somehow.
I'm not sure about that, but what I do think is the deck was stacked against them for this spot once the USFS made the decision to base the selection for this event on a simulated competition at Champs Camp because it's pretty clear Spencer was off the ice for several months post-Nats. I want to say I saw a rumor floating around that he had yet another surgery, but haven't ever seen confirmation of this - all we know for sure is that he wasn't back on the ice until the end of June. That tracks with them looking rough at Champs Camp if they only had about 5-6 weeks to train and then looking much better 3 weeks later at John Nicks. Maybe the USFS didn't think they would look as strong as they did by John Nicks.

I know DL used to insinuate that ShiNagy were politically favored by the USFS because they're both members of SCofNY. That doesn't make a TON of sense to me. Sure, Troy Goldstein is SCoNY and quite influential within the USFS, but Daniil Parkman is also a SCofNY member; and Emily & Spencer are members of SCoB which is just as influential within the USFS as SCofNY.
Shin/Nagy aren't a bad team that does look to have potential but I think it can be dangerous to be seduced by Nagy's good looks, youth, lack of injuries, and apparent strength vs. their actual results in competition...and Audrey seems to have a lot of good will with USFS, but this SP is just kind of a dud even with a clean skate. Still, I have hope for them. But it may be more of a slow burn than people were thinking it would be...
Definitely. I've never thought the potential wasn't there, but I've also not seen anything that made me believe they would be instantly as great as KniFraz or even as good as EfiMit. Audrey came into this partnership with ZERO pairs experience. That alone should have been enough to recognize this would be a slow burn.
Chan/howe likely have one of the two Olympic spots due to the citizenship limitations in US pairs. Sending shin/nagy makes complete sense to me, because as stated in that USFS article, they’re competing for their own spot and if they can’t claim it, they’re not going to the Olympics.
Well, at this point, I'd agree with you that ChanHowe are likely to have one of the 2 Olympic spots simply because, when healthy, they're easily going to outscore ShiNagy at this point unless ShiNagy miraculously put it all together and skate clean. But I don't trust the USFS judges to not screw ChanHowe at Nats.

Beyond that, I wholeheartedly disagree with the notion that you send the team that is perceived to be the 3rd best of the Olympic eligible teams to get the spot. You send the best possible team you have - which is what we did for Worlds and it got us the chance at earning the 3rd spot. There are multiple teams in the US who are eligible and all around the same level as ShiNagy - PlaFern, FlorWang when healthy, even the new pairing of LiuBed who were put on the ISP after early summer monitoring. Why deprive the other three teams of even a chance at the Olympics simply because you didn't send a stronger/better team like McBark or ChanHowe? That's silly, not to mention unfair and insulting to those other teams, this idea that if ShiNagy are 'competing for their own spot & if they can't claim it, they aren't going to the Olympics.' The arrogance of thinking they are competing for their own spot is maddening. They are competing for an additional spot that hasn't yet been claimed by any team.
I really don’t understand the crash out over this. Chan/howe are likely already going and mcbeath/parkman don’t have citizenship anyway. Why should the US claim another pair spot when there’s likely a smaller fed team that deserves it more and will likely out score that 3rd US team.
Because it's not just about ChanHowe. It's about all of the other US teams who would LOVE to have a reasonable shot at that 3rd spot. Both PlaFern and LiuBed are scoring in the same range as ShiNagy and they have no citizenship issues. Why deny them their Olympic dream simply because ChanHowe are probably already going and McBark don't have citizenship?
Do we know when the entries for this event had to be in? Because after what happened at the John Nick competition S/N would not have been sent over C/H. Does the team trying to qualify have to both have citizenship because if they don't i would have even sent McBeath/ Parkman before S/N. The USFS has a lot of explaining to do but since the teams that do have citizenship haven't exactly wowed anyone so far this season maybe the US doesn't need 3 spots. It looks like K/S and C/H will be the teams going to Milan unless something weird happens.
Entries by name were due before John Nicks, but the USFS covered their bases by entering 4 teams as substitutes (ChanHowe, FlorWang, McBark and PlaFern). There are no citizenship requirements for this competition. The USFS could have swapped in ChanHowe or McBark after John Nicks. They chose not to because they trusted the results from a simulated Champs Camp comp over actual competition results.

While I don't disagree that the other US teams that have citizenship haven't really wowed yet this season, I think there's a reasonable expectation of good improvement & a demonstration that we do have teams deserving of a 3rd Olympics spot. PlaFern are coming back from a long rehab for him and they looked really good in the SP at Kinoshita Group Cup. Stamina was a clear issue in the FS and I'm not sure I would have given them this assignment based off of that, but they're likely to look much better by the time they compete at SkAm in a few months. LiuBed are brand new and already beat ShiNagy at John Nicks, so they may have rapid development over the next few months - and he looks to be a much improved partner with her than he ever did with Martins.
 
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Because Pairs outside the top six or so are anywhere near consistent since RUS was banned? There were nine nations in the Top 10 at Boston, and the US was the only country with two. JPN went 1 and 22. GER went 2 and 18. ITA went 3 and 13. CAN went 5, 11, and 16.
 
Because Pairs outside the top six or so are anywhere near consistent since RUS was banned? There were nine nations in the Top 10 at Boston, and the US was the only country with two. JPN went 1 and 22. GER went 2 and 18. ITA went 3 and 13. CAN went 5, 11, and 16.
I'm not even sure I'd call the top 6 super-consistent. I mean, that top 6 includes MiuKih with her known SBS jump rotation challenges, SDDes with all of their issues last season, and EfiMit and we know her jumps are always sus'.
 
Do we know when the entries for this event had to be in? Because after what happened at the John Nick competition S/N would not have been sent over C/H. Does the team trying to qualify have to both have citizenship because if they don't i would have even sent McBeath/ Parkman before S/N. The USFS has a lot of explaining to do but since the teams that do have citizenship haven't exactly wowed anyone so far this season maybe the US doesn't need 3 spots. It looks like K/S and C/H will be the teams going to Milan unless something weird happens.
US has a lot of representation in all disciplines. That another country gets a shot over an inexperienced US pair doesn`t worry me. The pleasant surprise is that Shin landed the throw even after a difficult warm-up and in a pressure situation. (Those with more pair knowledge can sort is it her or him?)
 
Maybe five: I think it would be a surprise at this point if Miura/Kihara, Hase/Volodin, Conti/Macii, Metelkina/Berlava,and Stellato-Dudek/Deschamps weren’t in the top six. The only surprise for me was that Pavlova/Sviachenko weren’t at least 6th in Boston. They are like the Rodney Dangerfield of Pairs.
 
Maybe five: I think it would be a surprise at this point if Miura/Kihara, Hase/Volodin, Conti/Macii, Metelkina/Berlava,and Stellato-Dudek/Deschamps weren’t in the top six. The only surprise for me was that Pavlova/Sviachenko weren’t at least 6th in Boston. They aren’t the like the Rodney Dangerfield of Pairs.
If I could stay awake through even their short program, maybe I’d appreciate them.
 
One does wonder why the USFS backed themselves into a corner by saying only the Champs Camp simulation would decide who went. That was an unforced error on their part. With the set of teams they had to choose from, all with various upsides and downsides, why not choose from a wider set of competitions? Chan and Howe are clearly the best team of the bunch when healthy and trained, and if they weren’t quite ready at Champs Camp, why not at least build into your selection policy that the John Nicks comp counted too, to see how they’d progressed with another few weeks?

If Audry and Balazs don’t secure the spot here I have a lot of questions about the future of this team. Do they get blamed for losing a spot and dumpage is coming their way? Do they feel so discouraged that they don’t see the point of continuing? I see either as relatively likely outcomes.

This team does have potential, but they were put into this situation by their federation and now will probably pay the consequences for it.
 
To me it looked like Shin/Nagy were rushing from element to element. Knowing that she has throw landing issues, and they were having them in warmup too, it was like they just wanted to get the elements over with. Real-time, I thought that rushing may have caused Shin to overshoot the circle in the death spiral. I didn’t see his pivot issue until the replay, because I was watching her head and feared it might be invalidated because her head wasn’t low enough in the arch. They probably would have gone down and maybe even scored net negative (counting -2 for fall deductions) on the death spiral if he hadn’t shifted his feet.
 
USFS dropped the ball after John Nicks by not naming C/H as the team they were sending even M/B might have been a better choice it seems like the USFS wanted to be nice guys and spread the wealth around instead of treating this an all or nothing competition where you didn't try to be cute and you sent your best team possible to secure the spot.
 
To me it looked like Shin/Nagy were rushing from element to element. Knowing that she has throw landing issues, and they were having them in warmup too, it was like they just wanted to get the elements over with. Real-time, I thought that rushing may have caused Shin to overshoot the circle in the death spiral. I didn’t see his pivot issue until the replay, because I was watching her head and feared it might be invalidated because her head wasn’t low enough in the arch. They probably would have gone down and maybe even scored net negative (counting -2 for fall deductions) on the death spiral if he hadn’t shifted his feet.
Yeah, basically I think she was really rushing and rushed the death spiral as well. I mean it is what it is. I've always felt like any us pair coming here for a 3rd spot would be a long shot anyway, so I'm not going to crash out or call usfs names. It's so whatever. This is us pairs be real.
 
Yeah, basically I think she was really rushing and rushed the death spiral as well. I mean it is what it is. I've always felt like any us pair coming here for a 3rd spot would be a long shot anyway, so I'm not going to crash out or call usfs names. It's so whatever. This is us pairs be real.
Hard disagree. It was clear after John Nicks that either McBark or ChanHowe would easily qualify the third spot, even with NagaMori and ZhaHua coming on strong in their late summer competitions. There's a huge gap between those teams and the rest of the field, even with Les Kovs looking better than they have in years.
 
Hard disagree. It was clear after John Nicks that either McBark or ChanHowe would easily qualify the third spot, even with NagaMori and ZhaHua coming on strong in their late summer competitions. There's a huge gap between those teams and the rest of the field, even with Les Kovs looking better than they have in years.
cool i stand by what i said
 
I’m not claiming they’re practicing benevolence, but I also find most of the US pair teams inconsistent as hell.

This, exactly. Even the two teams at Worlds who got this chance for a third US pair aren't exactly reliable in sbs triple jumps or throw triples.
 
Click the skaters names to open the individual YouTube videos with their performances.

14:30:00 - 14:37:00 Warm-Up Group 1
14:37:30 - 14:45:10 1 Tae Ok RYOM / Kum Chol HAN🇰🇵 11 46.95
14:45:10 - 14:52:50 2 Sophia SCHALLER / Livio MAYR🇦🇹 10 50.82
14:52:50 - 15:00:30 3 Julia Sylvia GUNNARSDOTTIR / Manuel PIAZZA🇮🇸 9 53.09
15:00:30 - 15:15:30 Ice Resurfacing
15:15:30 - 15:22:30 Warm-Up Group 2
15:23:00 - 15:30:40 4 Isabella GAMEZ / Aleksandr KOROVIN🇵🇭 8 53.14
15:30:40 - 15:38:20 5 Audrey SHIN / Balazs NAGY🇺🇸 7 53.99
15:38:20 - 15:46:00 6 Sofiia HOLICHENKO / Artem DARENSKYI🇺🇦 6 57.17
15:46:00 - 15:53:40 7 Anna VALESI / Martin BIDAR🇨🇿 5 57.17
15:53:40 - 16:00:40 Warm-Up Group 3
16:01:10 - 16:08:50 8 Yuna NAGAOKA / Sumitada MORIGUCHI🇯🇵 4 62.68
16:08:50 - 16:16:30 9 Karina AKOPOVA / Nikita RAKHMANIN🇦🇲 3 63.85
16:16:30 - 16:24:10 10 Camille KOVALEV / Pavel KOVALEV🇫🇷 2 64.28
16:24:10 - 16:31:50 11 Jiaxuan ZHANG / Yihang HUANG🇨🇳 1 66.68
 
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Just catching up on the pairs short program, and I LOVED the Chinese team's program. She is a star, and Aljona's choreography was just perfect for a young pair team moving up to seniors. They were the clear leaders to me.
 
This is really enjoyable from the North Koreans, elements or not. Everything is almost there. He’s strong, the lifts cover distance and have good variation, they flow well, they have speed, some interesting transitional movements, etc.

I don’t know if they will stick together or just not show up to competitions for another 3 years but I like them.
 
Ryom/Han - 3tw - very crashy landing; SBS 2t+2t okay; SBS 3s - she doubled; first lift - very strong; throw 3s - landed and a huge smile from her at that; combo spin - quite nice with good speed throughout; choreo seq - throwaway; throw 3lo - she stumbled out of the landing with a hand down; second lift - also solid; FIDS - very nice; last lift - good.

This was much better than yesterday. Nice attention to the music and really solid skating.
 

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