2016 Academy Awards (Oscars) - Ceremony & Red Carpet

[Maofan7]

The action starts with the red carpet at 15:30 PST (local time) tomorrow, with the ceremony itself beginning 2 hours later at 17.30 PST (local time)

Here is a reminder of the nominations, together with the current betting odds (Ladbrokes, unless otherwise stated)

Best Picture

The Revenant - 4/9
Spotlight - 3/1
The Big Short - 6/1
Room - 40/1
Mad Max: Fury Road - 66/1
The Martian - 100/1
Brooklyn - 100/1
Bridge of Spies - 200/1

Best Director

Alejandro G. Iñárritu (The Revenant) - 1/10
George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road) - 7/1
Adam McKay (The Big Short) - 20/1
Tom McCarthy (Spotlight) - 25/1
Lenny Abrahamson (Room) - 66/1

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant) - 1/100
Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl) - 20/1
Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs) - 25/1
Bryan Cranston (Trumbo) - 66/1
Matt Damon (The Martian) - 66/1

Best Actress

Brie Larson (Room) - 1/25
Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn) - 10/1
Charlotte Rampling (45 Years) - 25/1
Jennifer Lawrence (Joy) - 66/1
Cate Blanchett (Carol) - 66/1

Best Supporting Actor

Sylvester Stallone (Creed) - 1/3
Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies) - 3/1
Christian Bale (The Big Short) - 10/1
Tom Hardy (The Revenant) - 16/1
Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight) - 50/1

Best Supporting Actress

Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl) - 1/3
Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs) - 3/1
Rooney Mara (Carol) - 9/1
Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight) - 33/1
Rachel McAdams (Spotlight) - 50/1

Best Original Screenplay

Spotlight - 1/10
Inside Out - 5/1
Bridge of Spies - 16/1
Straight Outta Compton - 25/1
Ex Machina - 33/1

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short - 1/20
Room - 6/1
Brooklyn - 20/1
Carol - 33/1
The Martian - 50/1

Best Animated Feature Film

Inside Out - 1/100
Anomalisa - 12/1
Shaun the Sheep Movie - 16/1
When Marnie Was There - 33/1
Boy & the World - 50/1

Best Foreign Language Film

Son of Saul (Hungary) - 1/16
Mustang (France) - 6/1
Theeb (Jordan) - 20/1
A War (Denmark) - 25/1
Embrace of the Serpent (Colombia) - 25/1

Best Documentary - Feature

Amy - 1/6
Cartel Land - 4/1
The Look of Silence - 10/1
What Happened, Miss Simone? - 33/1
Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight for Freedom - 40/1

Best Documentary – Short Subject

Body Team 12 - 4/6
Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah - 11/8
A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness - 8/1
Chau, Beyond the Lines - 14/1
Last Day of Freedom - 20/1

Best Live Action Short Film (Odds - Betfair)

Ave Maria - 5/6
Shok - 13/8
Stutterer - 9/2
Day One - 12/1
Everything Will Be Okay - 40/1

Best Animated Short Film (Odds - Betfair)

Sanjay's Super Team - 4/6
World of Tomorrow - 6/4
Bear Story - 4/1
Prologue - 28/1
We Can't Live Without Cosmos - 28/1

Best Original Score

The Hateful Eight - 1/6
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 7/2
Bridge of Spies - 20/1
Carol - 25/1
Sicario - 40/1

Best Original Song (Odds - PaddyPower)

"Til It Happens to You" (The Hunting Ground) - 4/11
"Writing's on the Wall" (Spectre) - 7/2
"Earned It" (Fifty Shades of Grey) - 6/1
"Simple Song #3" (Youth) - 7/1
"Manta Ray" (Racing Extinction) - 20/1

Best Sound Editing

Mad Max: Fury Road - 1/2
The Revenant - 2/1
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 7/1
The Martian - 14/1
Sicario - 50/1

Best Sound Mixing

Mad Max: Fury Road - 4/6
The Revenant - 5/4
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 10/1
The Martian - 20/1
Bridge of Spies - 40/1

Best Production Design

Mad Max: Fury Road - 1/12
The Revenant - 11/1
The Danish Girl - 12/1
The Martian - 16/1
Bridge of Spies - 16/1

Best Cinematography

The Revenant - 1/25
Mad Max: Fury Road - 7/1
Sicario - 25/1
Carol - 28/1
The Hateful Eight - 40/1

Best Makeup and Hairstyling (Odds - PaddyPower)

Mad Max: Fury Road - 1/5
The Revenant - 3/1
The 100-Year-Old Man Who Climbed Out the Window and Disappeared - 25/1

Best Costume Design

Mad Max: Fury Road - 8/11
Cinderella - 5/2
Carol - 7/2
The Danish Girl - 14/1
The Revenant - 16/1

Best Film Editing

Mad Max: Fury Road - 2/9
The Big Short - 7/2
Spotlight - 12/1
The Revenant - 14/1
Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 66/1

Best Visual Effects

Star Wars: The Force Awakens - 1/2
Mad Max: Fury Road - 6/4
The Revenant - 8/1
The Martian - 50/1
Ex Machina - 50/1


If the bookies have it right, then the most successful films on the night in terms of numbers of awards would be:-

1. Mad Max: Fury Road - 6
2. The Revenant - 4
No other film comes away with more than 1 award

 

[Maofan7]

Article entitled: "The Debate Over the Best Picture Oscar". Reads:-

If this year’s Oscar for best picture boils down to the most impressive movie vs. the most important one, many say it will be a contest between ‘The Revenant’ and ‘Spotlight’

The big question for this year’s Oscars is whether the best picture award goes to the most impressive movie or the most important one.

With campaigning at an end and prizes from critics and Hollywood guilds already given out, most in the industry agree it has come down to “The Revenant” vs. “Spotlight.”

The former film, a revenge tale set in the 19th-century wilderness, has been recognized as much for its epic nine months of shooting in freezing conditions as the intensity of star Leonardo DiCaprio’s performance and the beauty of scenery shot in natural light by director Alejandro González Iñárritu.

The film has been popular at the box office, grossing $166 million, but has particular resonance in Hollywood, where many are in awe of its mere existence. “As a producer, I know how difficult it is to mount a movie like that,” one Oscar voter said.

But if the Academy Awards are meant to reward films that explore important social issues—“12 Years a Slave” or “Crash”—the top prize may go to “Spotlight,” about the Boston Globe’s investigation of sexual abuse by Catholic priests.

 

[Maofan7]

Article entitled: The nominees that have most to gain. Reads:-

There will be many winners walking back from the stage from the Dolby Theater at the 88th Academy Awards.

Some of them are household names, while others you have never heard of at all. It’s highly likely that Leonardo DiCaprio will get the statue that he deserves this year, but who actually needs a win the most?

Looking at the Best Director category first. Adam MacKay’s The Big Short, George Miller’s Mad Max: Fury Road and Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s The Revenant are the box office big boys with $121.5 million worldwide, $377.6 million worldwide and $382.8 million worldwide respectively.

Iñárritu won last year for Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) and a second win in a row would be a golden ticket moment. A win for McKay would be a career defining endorsement for a man best known for comedies (The Big Short has a tone that deftly straddles both comedy and drama which would open a lot of doors.)

Also up in the Best Director category are Lenny Abrahamson for Room ($21.1 million worldwide) and Tom McCarthy for Spotlight ($57.9 million worldwide)—these are the underdogs who have the most to benefit from a win and perhaps deserve the win the most. Both are smaller films but have had arguably as much buzz as their big budget rivals. Their career gains from a win would be greater and richly deserved.

Inside Out, up for Best Animated Feature, is most likely to walk away with that Oscar—a film with a $856.8 million worldwide box office take and huge public awareness. It’s a great movie, but Disney and Pixar are not short of Academy Awards wins and have masses of glory already. No-one loses here but the other nominees, the team and studio behind Shaun The Sheep Movie ($82.6 million worldwide), the people behind the wildly acclaimed Anomalisa ($2.8 million domestically) and those who made Boy and the World ($95 thousand domestically) can turn a win into a strong future and have the most to gain.

 

[Maofan7]

Possible live stream for the red carpet

 

[Cachoo]

Do you think this is as big as Superbowl Sunday?

 

[Maofan7]

Do you think this is as big as Superbowl Sunday?

Bigger!

 

[Vash01]

Do you think this is as big as Superbowl Sunday?

Depends on your interest. Both are internationally viewed events. The movies appeal to more people than football does, outside the USA. However, even non-football fans look forward to Superbowl Sundays. Fortunately I am interested in both.

I would say, internationally the Oscars are bigger. Within the USA it's the Superbowl. I was surprised when I discovered many years ago that only a few people take interest in movies. They are happy taking their families to movies but they don't really keep track of which ones are Oscar worthy. In most cases I was the only one (or two) at parties who knew the nominated movies (including acting, etc. awards) and had seen most of those.

 

[Vash01]

I have a confession. I don't want the director of Revenant or Mad Max Fury to win the Best Director Oscar this year. Both are focused on action and/or violence. I would rather see someone like the director of Room or Spotlight to win. It is no small feat to get those performances out of the actors, especially the child in Room. Spotlight had a fantastic cast of Oscar winners and/or nominees, but the nomination went to Rachel McAdams- her first. I would say the director had something to do with it. Both movies were gripping, due to the drama and not due to the visual effects.

I am still bummed that The Danish Girl didn't get nominated for direction and cinematography. In any case, I think Alicia Vikander is going to win the Supporting Actress Oscar, which is blasphemy, IMO. She deserved to be nominated for the lead actress Oscar (it would have been tough to beat Brie Larson but it would have been very close).

 

[jenny12]

I think Spotlight's director will probably win because Academy never recognizes achievement in action direction.

George Miller is a brilliant talent, but his work will probably not be rewarded by the Academy tonight because I don't think the Academy takes action direction seriously. He was nominated along with Mad Max for best picture because the critical praise for Mad Max was so overwhelming that the Academy probably felt that had to nominate it. However, as much as I would like to see it win, it would be a big surprise. Yes Mad Max was violent, but it's violence was gorgeously crafted and creative. Not all violence is mindless entertainment.

 

[Meoima]

Will Leo finally win an Oscar?

 

[allezfred]

Will Leo finally win an Oscar?

Do bears shit in the woods?

 

[peibeck]

I think Spotlight's director will probably win because Academy never recognizes achievement in action direction.

George Miller is a brilliant talent, but his work will probably not be rewarded by the Academy tonight because I don't think the Academy takes action direction seriously. He was nominated along with Mad Max for best picture because the critical praise for Mad Max was so overwhelming that the Academy probably felt that had to nominate it. However, as much as I would like to see it win, it would be a big surprise. Yes Mad Max was violent, but it's violence was gorgeously crafted and creative. Not all violence is mindless entertainment.

Tom McCarthy isn't going to win for Director. He may win for Screenplay, but not Director.

George Miller stuggled for 11 years to get "Mad Max: Fury Road" made. Like it or not (and apparently the Academy did), he is a respected old-school director who brought his vision to life and created a stunningly visual movie to the screen. "The Revenant" also was a difficult film to make and is another visual striking story - often told with little to no dialogue for long stretches.

Iñárritu has won most of the Oscar precursors (Golden Globe, DGA, BAFTA), so it appears likely he will be the first director in many, many years to repeat Oscar wins as Best Director. But if there is a dark horse (and I think there is), George Miller will be the "upset" winner.

 

[allezfred]

I predict all Irish nominees will be and it will be because the Academy voters are hibernophobes!

 

[Meoima]

Do bears shit in the woods?

If they're in cages, no.

 

[allezfred]

If they're in cages, no.

If they are in cages, then they wouldn't be in the woods.

 

[Matryeshka]

I'll be happy if Leo wins because he needs an Oscar. I'll be happy if he loses because The Revenant is an awful movie and freezing and eating gross things does not equal acting.

If he wins, I'll pretend it was for The Aviator.

 

[Vash01]

I'll be happy if Leo wins because he needs an Oscar. I'll be happy if he loses because The Revenant is an awful movie and freezing and eating gross things does not equal acting.

If he wins, I'll pretend it was for The Aviator.

Nobody NEEDS an Oscar. I didn't see that movie, so I can't say if he deserves it or not. They may just give it to him for his body of work.

 

[handomi]

Will Leo finally win an Oscar?

Nope

 

[skatesindreams]

Will Leo finally win an Oscar?

Probably.
However, this is not the performance for which he should have received it, IMO.

 

[peibeck]

I predict all Irish nominees will be and it will be because the Academy voters are hibernophobes!

Although I loved Brie Larson, if I was an Academy member I'd vote for Saoirse for Best Actress.

I'll be happy if Leo wins because he needs an Oscar. I'll be happy if he loses because The Revenant is an awful movie and freezing and eating gross things does not equal acting.

If he wins, I'll pretend it was for The Aviator.

Like I said in the movie thread, I sat through "The Revenant" thinking this whole movie is really about nothing except "suffering for your art." I absolutely detested "The Aviator" though, so if he wins I'll pretend the Oscar voters just got around to seeing "What's Eating Gilbert Grape." (I think Leo's been all down hill since then.)

 

[allezfred]

Although I loved Brie Larson, if I was an Academy member I'd vote for Saoirse for Best Actress.

We're claiming Brie Larson as Irish. We are that desperate to win.

 

[allezfred]

Mortifying Scenes At Oscars As All Men Show Up Wearing The Same Thing

 

[peibeck]

Not overly impressed with Alicia Vikander's yellow sequined bubble-dress. It looks very junior prom to me.

 

[peibeck]

Oh no, Daisy Ridley is looking very mother of the bride. Not even a full length gown and that color is ghastly.

 

[peibeck]

@allezfred Soiarse is wearing green tonight in honor of Ireland. She looks fantastic. (She's wearing custom Calvin Klein.)

Love Naomi Watts dress as well.

 

[Maofan7]

Some red carpet pictures:-

Saoirse Ronan
Daisy Ridley
Alicia Vikander
Eddie Redmayne & Hannah Bagshawe
Olivia Wilde

 

[allezfred]

@allezfred Soiarse is wearing green tonight in honor of Ireland. She looks fantastic. (She's wearing custom Calvin Klein.)

Saoirse! Not Soiarse!

 

[Xela M]

I'll be happy if Leo wins because he needs an Oscar. I'll be happy if he loses because The Revenant is an awful movie and freezing and eating gross things does not equal acting.

If he wins, I'll pretend it was for The Aviator.

I could kiss you for this post! It's so true!

 

[sweetsparky]

Saoirse! Not Soiarse!

Don't hate, it's a green-feast

 

[once_upon]

So far the gowns are and not flattering on breasts.
I do like robin roberts dress