No, that quite a few athletes in different disciplines tested positive for this substance suggests that it was systemic and those who had been taking it thought for some reason that they could continue to do so without getting caught. It doesn't look pretty. As has been said, it's creating the impression that at this point the Russian sports establishment is throwing random stuff at the wall to see what sticks: Sabotage! Lab mistakes! Lie detector tests! I didn't know what the doctor gave me! I took it last year and it stayed in my body! Didn't read my e-mails!
All of those (okay, the lie detector one gets points for creativity...) are fairly typical excuses dopers have used in the past. The Russians apparently decided to use them all at once! Which is why you see it getting ridiculed in many places and it doesn't come across as particularly credible. It creates the perception of desperate flailing to find some loophole to get their athletes off the hook, or at least to reduce their bans.
Not All athletes that tested positive were Russians. However, if the drug was manufactured in eastern Europe, and was commonly used in that part of the world for years, it makes sense that most athletes that failed the drug test came from that part of the world.
If their authorities/feds are trying to find all possible causes to identify the problem, they are looking at all possible possibilities, as they should. I don't know if it's wise to announce what they are looking at. Some may have just reacted instantaneously, as I suspect Soloviev probably did. The fed may be grasping at straws right now, not knowing what the exact problem(s) is/are. I would have preferred to do the problem solving behind closed doors, if I were in their shoes, and announced only after coming to some concrete conclusions. IMO there is a need for a full investigation by WADA, but using a neutral team.
IMO what really needs to be looked at is - and this has been posted multiple times on fsu by different posters-
More information is needed on how long the drug stays in the bodies. Is 3 months a long enough time to warn the athletes? If an athlete is warned on 9/30/15, the earliest he/she can stop the drug would be 10/1/15, and in most cases a few days would have elapsed before the athlete would realize what was changing and what actions he/she needs to take, then taking the actions. Can he/she get rid of the traces in 12 weeks by not taking the drug? Has it been proven by scientific studies?
How sensitive is the measuring instrument? Can it measure e.g. 1 ppb in the body? I am just throwing out numbers here. What is the cut off to say an athlete is clear or not? Is that limit too aggressive? If someone had never taken that drug, naturally the reading would be zero, but what about those who took it but stopped taking it only after the change in rules? May be traces would remain. Are those trace concentrations enough to disqualify the athlete? Did WADA do all the homework before announcing that the drug was illegal?
All the facts need to come out before you start accusing athletes and/or their feds of cheating. It is not to say that none of them have taken PED. Some could have, but from such a large number it is possible that at least some are telling the truth. The innocents need to be separated from the culprits before destroying their careers.
It appears that at least some of them had stopped taking it prior to Jan. 1st 2016, and yet they failed the test. I can see that on a smaller scale one would suspect sabotage, but since the number is large, something else seems to be at work.
The drug itself- (again repeating what's been posted)- was it really performance enhancing? The reason given by WADA (or may be one of the reasons) was that a large number of athletes were using it. Deciding that a drug gives them an advantage over others simply based on the number of athletes using it makes no sense to me. If I were investigating, I would look at all the chemistry and medicine involved.
I hope that there will be a full investigation based on facts and scientific methods. Something does not seem right about this 'epidemic'.
(Playing Devil's Advocate) what if WADA targeted athletes in a certain part of the world, and decided to label a popular drug in that part of the world as PED? All big organizations have politics, so I am not ruling out that possibility, though I hope that is not the case, and
I hope that their (WADA's) intent was good but probably it was not executed in the best way.