Current and expected qualification to the GPF

[Hedwig]

These are the current standings with one GP to go:

ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating

The ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Series started in 1995 and consists of six international senior invitational events and the ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Final. The skaters are seeded and invited to the six Grand Prix of Figure Skating events based on the results of the previous ISU...

www.isu.org

Dance sounds like a done deal with S/K competing next week and likely to win. Then G/F are likely to make it.

1	Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON	FRA			15		15		30	1	441.31	2	264.78	132.61	176.53	20
2	Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE	USA	15		13				28	1	417.44	2	249.07	125.96	168.37	19
3	Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER	CAN		15			13		28	1	414.13	2	247.13	125.32	167.00	20
4	Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES	USA	13			13			26	2	419.01	2	250.44	125.68	168.57	18
5	Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN	RUS			11		11		22	3	402.47	2	241.11	120.71	161.36	20
6	Olivia SMART / Adrian DIAZ	ESP	9	11					20	3	382.62	2	231.59	115.96	151.03	19
7	Caroline GREEN / Michael PARSONS	USA		9	7				16	4	364.77	2	216.77	114.11	148.00	20
8	Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV	RUS				15		X	15	1	215.44	1	129.11	129.11	86.33	9
9	Evgeniia LOPAREVA / Geoffrey BRISSAUD	FRA			5		9		14	4	350.57	2	214.03	107.32	136.54	20
10	Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI	ITA		13				X	13	2	200.05	1	121.23	121.23	78.82	10
11	Marjorie LAJOIE / Zachary LAGHA	CAN		5		7			12	5	366.45	2	220.13	112.93	146.32	19
12	Annabelle MOROZOV / Andrei BAGIN	RUS	7				5		12	5	347.64	2	210.40	106.53	137.24	19
13	Lilah FEAR / Lewis GIBSON	GBR		0		11			11	3	369.99	2	221.67	115.48	148.32	19
14	Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN	CAN	11					X	11	3	190.13	1	114.80	114.80	75.33	9
15	Sara HURTADO / Kirill KHALIAVIN	ESP				9		X	9	4	188.09	1	111.69	111.69	76.40	9
16	Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU	CHN			9				9	4	184.59	1	111.31	111.31	73.28	10

 

[Hedwig]

1	Anna SHCHERBAKOVA	RUS			15		15		30	1	466.47	2	316.80	165.05	149.67	23
2	Kaori SAKAMOTO	JPN	9			15			24	1	439.27	2	291.55	146.78	147.72	21
3	Alena KOSTORNAIA	RUS		11			13		24	2	436.39	2	284.37	145.41	152.02	23
4	Young YOU	KOR	11			11			22	3	420.57	2	281.76	146.24	138.81	21
5	Mai MIHARA	JPN		9	9				18	4	424.96	2	286.61	144.49	138.35	24
6	Wakaba HIGUCHI	JPN		5			11		16	3	410.18	2	276.90	141.04	133.28	23
7	Alysa LIU	USA		7		9			16	4	409.43	2	268.08	135.18	141.35	21
8	Kseniia SINITSYNA	RUS	7				9		16	4	404.52	2	263.12	134.25	141.40	23
9	Kamila VALIEVA	RUS		15				X	15	1	265.08	1	180.89	180.89	84.19	12
10	Alexandra TRUSOVA	RUS	15						15	1	232.37	1	154.68	154.68	77.69	12
11	Mana KAWABE	JPN		0		13			13	2	391.96	2	264.78	133.22	127.18	21
12	Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA	RUS		13				X	13	2	232.88	1	151.64	151.64	81.24	12
13	Maiia KHROMYKH	RUS			13			X	13	2	226.35	1	154.31	154.31	72.04	12
14	Daria USACHEVA	RUS	13			W			13	2	217.31	1	140.60	140.60	76.71	12
15	Loena HENDRICKX	BEL			11			X	11	3	219.05	1	145.53	145.53	73.52	12
16	Satoko MIYAHARA	JPN	4		7				11	5	410.08	2	272.87	138.72	137.21	24

In Ladies we seem to have the three Russians Valieva, Tuktamyshevy and Khromykh with still a chance of the final. Loena Hendricks still has a mathematical chance as well.
Anyone else that I overlook?

 

[Hedwig]

1	Yuma KAGIYAMA	JPN			15		15		30	1	564.43	2	383.26	197.49	181.17	23
2	Shoma UNO	JPN	13			15			28	1	560.83	2	369.18	187.57	191.65	21
3	Vincent ZHOU	USA	15			13			28	1	556.25	2	359.31	198.13	196.94	21
4	Nathan CHEN	USA	11	15					26	1	576.55	2	386.94	200.46	189.61	22
5	Jason BROWN	USA		13			11		24	2	523.75	2	340.36	174.81	183.39	24
6	Shun SATO	JPN	9				13		22	2	512.04	2	343.70	177.17	168.34	22
7	Junhwan CHA	KOR			7	11			18	3	507.34	2	315.86	163.68	191.48	22
8	Deniss VASILJEVS	LAT			9		9		18	4	502.92	2	328.07	164.72	174.85	23
9	Makar IGNATOV	RUS		9		9			18	4	501.37	2	321.04	166.66	180.33	23
10	Daniel GRASSL	ITA	4		11				15	3	490.43	2	323.88	173.33	166.55	21
11	Mikhail KOLYADA	RUS			13			X	13	2	273.55	1	181.25	181.25	92.30	11
12	Keegan MESSING	CAN		7			5		12	5	491.40	2	313.09	168.03	178.31	24
13	Evgeni SEMENENKO	RUS		11				X	11	3	256.01	1	168.30	168.30	87.71	12

Kolyada and Semenenko could still mix things up.

 

[Hedwig]

1	Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN	CHN		15	15				30	1	448.60	2	289.59	145.11	159.01	15
2	Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV	RUS	15			13			28	1	435.77	2	279.63	142.14	156.14	15
3	Aleksandra BOIKOVA / Dmitrii KOZLOVSKII	RUS	11				15		26	1	422.49	2	269.89	139.79	152.60	16
4	Riku MIURA / Ryuichi KIHARA	JPN	13			11			24	2	417.62	2	271.01	135.57	146.61	15
5	Iuliia ARTEMEVA / Mikhail NAZARYCHEV	RUS			11		13		24	2	392.16	2	257.24	132.13	134.92	15
6	Alexa KNIERIM / Brandon FRAZIER	USA	9				11		20	3	404.66	2	268.14	136.60	136.52	16
7	Ashley CAIN-GRIBBLE / Timothy LEDUC	USA		11		9			20	3	392.69	2	260.26	132.04	132.43	15
8	Vanessa JAMES / Eric RADFORD	CAN		9			9		18	4	384.26	2	247.40	124.50	136.86	16
9	Anastasia MISHINA / Aleksandr GALLIAMOV	RUS				15		X	15	1	227.28	1	148.88	148.88	78.40	7
10	Rebecca GHILARDI / Filippo AMBROSINI	ITA			7		7		14	5	341.64	2	216.15	111.59	125.49	15
11	Cheng PENG / Yang JIN	CHN			13				13	2	211.86	1	135.15	135.15	76.71	7

12

Daria PAVLIUCHENKO / Denis KHODYKIN

RUS

13

X

13

2

193.08

1

123.62

123.62

69.46

8

M/G are likely to qualify. P/K with a chance as well.

 

[Karen-W]

These are the current standings with one GP to go:

ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating

The ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Series started in 1995 and consists of six international senior invitational events and the ISU Grand Prix of Figure Skating Final. The skaters are seeded and invited to the six Grand Prix of Figure Skating events based on the results of the previous ISU...

www.isu.org

Dance sounds like a done deal with S/K competing next week and likely to win. Then G/F are likely to make it.

1	Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON	FRA			15		15		30	1	441.31	2	264.78	132.61	176.53	20
2	Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE	USA	15		13				28	1	417.44	2	249.07	125.96	168.37	19
3	Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER	CAN		15			13		28	1	414.13	2	247.13	125.32	167.00	20
4	Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES	USA	13			13			26	2	419.01	2	250.44	125.68	168.57	18
5	Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN	RUS			11		11		22	3	402.47	2	241.11	120.71	161.36	20
6	Olivia SMART / Adrian DIAZ	ESP	9	11					20	3	382.62	2	231.59	115.96	151.03	19
7	Caroline GREEN / Michael PARSONS	USA		9	7				16	4	364.77	2	216.77	114.11	148.00	20
8	Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV	RUS				15		X	15	1	215.44	1	129.11	129.11	86.33	9
9	Evgeniia LOPAREVA / Geoffrey BRISSAUD	FRA			5		9		14	4	350.57	2	214.03	107.32	136.54	20
10	Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI	ITA		13				X	13	2	200.05	1	121.23	121.23	78.82	10
11	Marjorie LAJOIE / Zachary LAGHA	CAN		5		7			12	5	366.45	2	220.13	112.93	146.32	19
12	Annabelle MOROZOV / Andrei BAGIN	RUS	7				5		12	5	347.64	2	210.40	106.53	137.24	19
13	Lilah FEAR / Lewis GIBSON	GBR		0		11			11	3	369.99	2	221.67	115.48	148.32	19
14	Laurence FOURNIER BEAUDRY / Nikolaj SORENSEN	CAN	11					X	11	3	190.13	1	114.80	114.80	75.33	9
15	Sara HURTADO / Kirill KHALIAVIN	ESP				9		X	9	4	188.09	1	111.69	111.69	76.40	9
16	Shiyue WANG / Xinyu LIU	CHN			9				9	4	184.59	1	111.31	111.31	73.28	10

S/K yes; G/F - maybe? If FB/S aren't as tight this week as they were at SkAm, then is it possible that they upset G/F for silver? In that scenario, then it would go to total points and I think G/F have a large enough margin to cover any surprise loss to FB/S.

 

[tony]

Dance should pretty much be a done deal, with Stepanova/Bukin missing out on the Final.

Women can be shaken up if Hendrickx finishes 2nd or higher, and one of Kromykh or Tuktamysheva is 4th. Otherwise the three Russian women here make it as long as they all finish in the top 4 and Hendrickx isn't higher than 3rd.

Men - Kolyada and Semenenko going 1-2 and Kolyada is in, Semenenko would need to beat Brown on overall points. Semenenko winning and Kolyada 2nd - both in. Kolyada 3rd in this scenario and he may very well be in as well, since his first event score is high (vs. Brown). Only other crazy situation is Rizzo winning, someone like Kondratiuk 2nd, Semenenko 3rd, and Kolyada 4th. And then Brown and Rizzo make it.

Pairs - In this field, it's P/K's spot to lose really.

 

[thvu]

Men - Kolyada and Semenenko going 1-2 and Kolyada is in, Semenenko would need to beat Brown on overall points. Semenenko winning and Kolyada 2nd - both in. Kolyada 3rd in this scenario and he may very well be in as well, since his first event score is high (vs. Brown). Only other crazy situation is Rizzo winning, someone like Kondratiuk 2nd, Semenenko 3rd, and Kolyada 4th. And then Brown and Rizzo make it.

This isn't even that crazy of a scenario. There's so much potential in this field!

 

[Karen-W]

Women can be shaken up if Hendrickx finishes 2nd or higher, and one of Kromykh or Tuktamysheva is 4th. Otherwise the three Russian women here make it as long as they all finish in the top 4 and Hendrickx isn't higher than 3rd.

There was a question about whether or not Khromykh injured herself at Warsaw Cup or is nursing some sort of injury because of her issues with the quads there. Her score there was only 194.02, which is very beatable by Loena and Mariah (if she doesn't fall on her combo in the SP), TBH.

Say you have something like Valieva winning, Tuk 2nd, Hendrickx 3rd, Bell 4th, Khromykh 5th - then it would come down to total points between Hendrickx and You for the last spot.

 

[GoneWithTheWind]

S/K yes; G/F - maybe? If FB/S aren't as tight this week as they were at SkAm, then is it possible that they upset G/F for silver? In that scenario, then it would go to total points and I think G/F have a large enough margin to cover any surprise loss to FB/S.

Unlikely, but theoretically possible and, as you say, G/F would almost certainly win in the tie-break.
FB/S scores this season: 194.67 (CS Austria), 190.13 (SkAm), 185.26 (Lombardia)
G/F scores this season: 208.88 (CS Austria), 200.05 (SkCan), 205.36 (Lombardia)

 

[olympic]

Jason is on the bubble, and I think will wind up as 1st alternate because Semenenko will get the tie-breaker score he needs skating on home turf.

I think the Italians make it to the GPF in Ice Dance, too. Interesting that they will get in ahead of S/B, whom they are behind in most people's minds. Maybe it will be the breakthrough they need.

 

[toddlj]

~268 (11 points better than his seasons best) is the score he would need... which seems a tall order for Semenenko even with home cooking scores?

 

[olympic]

~268 (11 points better than his seasons best) is the score he would need... which seems a tall order for Semenenko even with home cooking scores?

Trust me. I would love to see Jason in the GPF, but ... Russia politik in an Olympic year is a major force.

 

[VGThuy]

Maybe it’s likely that Kolyada can underperform big time but still place second with Semeneko getting first with a “realistic” score for him. Whatever home cooking can happen, I will wonder if it will be on par with what Grassl got at GP Italy.

ETA: Women will most likely be 5 Russians with Sakamoto. Poor Kaori.

 

[euterpe]

Maybe it’s likely that Kolyada can underperform big time but still place second with Semeneko getting first with a “realistic” score for him. Whatever home cooking can happen, I will wonder if it will be on par with what Grassl got at GP Italy.

ETA: Women will most likely be 5 Russians with Sakamoto. Poor Kaori.

Don't forget: GPF is in Japan. The audience will be behind Kaori all the way!

 

[Capella]

So the men are:
1. Kagiyama JPN (30)
2. Uno JPN (28)
3. Zhao USA (28)
4. Chen USA (26)
5. Kolyada RUS (26)
6. Brown USA (24)

Alternates
1. Sato JPN (22)
2. Kvitelashvili GEO (20)
3. Cha KOR (18)

 

[layman]

Ice Dance:

https://results.isu.org/events/gp2021/gpsdance.htm

1	Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON	FRA			15		15		30	1	441.31	2	264.78	132.61	176.53	20	Q
2	Victoria SINITSINA / Nikita KATSALAPOV	RUS				15		15	30	1	427.16	2	254.02	129.11	173.14	17	Q
3	Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE	USA	15		13				28	1	417.44	2	249.07	125.96	168.37	19	Q
4	Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER	CAN		15			13		28	1	414.13	2	247.13	125.32	167.00	20	Q
5	Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES	USA	13			13			26	2	419.01	2	250.44	125.68	168.57	18	Q
6	Charlene GUIGNARD / Marco FABBRI	ITA		13				13	26	2	403.76	2	245.38	124.15	158.38	18	Q

Guignard & Fabbri just edged out Stepanova & Bukin for the 6th and final qualifying spot.

 

[layman]

Pairs:

https://results.isu.org/events/gp2021/gpspairs.htm

1	Anastasia MISHINA / Aleksandr GALLIAMOV	RUS				15		15	30	1	454.26	2	302.22	153.34	152.04	15	Q
2	Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN	CHN		15	15				30	1	448.60	2	289.59	145.11	159.01	15	Q
3	Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV	RUS	15			13			28	1	435.77	2	279.63	142.14	156.14	15	Q
4	Aleksandra BOIKOVA / Dmitrii KOZLOVSKII	RUS	11				15		26	1	422.49	2	269.89	139.79	152.60	16	Q
5	Daria PAVLIUCHENKO / Denis KHODYKIN	RUS		13				13	26	2	405.67	2	262.30	138.68	143.37	16	Q
6	Riku MIURA / Ryuichi KIHARA	JPN	13			11			24	2	417.62	2	271.01	135.57	146.61	15	Q

 

[layman]

Women:

https://results.isu.org/events/gp2021/gpswomen.htm

1	Kamila VALIEVA	RUS		15				15	30	1	537.79	2	366.18	185.29	171.61	24	Q
2	Anna SHCHERBAKOVA	RUS			15		15		30	1	466.47	2	316.80	165.05	149.67	23	Q
3	Elizaveta TUKTAMYSHEVA	RUS		13				13	26	2	462.11	2	300.77	151.64	161.34	24	Q
4	Kaori SAKAMOTO	JPN	9			15			24	1	439.27	2	291.55	146.78	147.72	21	Q
5	Maiia KHROMYKH	RUS			13			11	24	2	446.04	2	309.28	154.97	136.76	24	Q
6	Alena KOSTORNAIA	RUS		11			13		24	2	436.39	2	284.37	145.41	152.02	23	Q

 

[Skate Talker]

Guignard & Fabbri just edged out Stepanova & Bukin for the 6th and final qualifying spot.

Well personally I wouldn't call that just edging them out since Gui/Fab had 26 points from 2 second placements and Ste/Buk had 22 points from 2 third placements. That is, after all, the 1st tie-breaker. They were definitely close though on the second tie-breaker of total scores.

 

[toddlj]

2 US Pairs Teams in #8 and #9 alternate spots!

 

[AngieNikodinovLove (ANL)]

So the men are:
1. Kagiyama JPN (30)
2. Uno JPN (28)
3. Zhao USA (28)
4. Chen USA (26)
5. Kolyada RUS (26)
6. Brown USA (24)

Alternates
1. Sato JPN (22)
2. Kvitelashvili GEO (20)
3. Cha KOR (18)

Strange to see Nathan with number four in front of his name. Great that all three US men go to the final. Will all three of them retire after this though? Then who do we have in the pipeline? Senior-Wise

 

[jamesy]

There's this guy named Ilia but no one on the board really seems to talk about him for some reason.

 

[olympic]

Strange to see Nathan with number four in front of his name. Great that all three US men go to the final. Will all three of them retire after this though? Then who do we have in the pipeline? Senior-Wise

That is the subject of a lot of speculation. I think Nathan wants a life outside of skating and Vincent has delayed admission to an Ivy League school (I think), so I think it's quite possible that both are gone after 2022. Jason has been thru 3 Olympic cycles and IMO, he has maxed out what he can show us on the ice, so it also wouldn't be surprise me if he also retires. But Ilia Malinin seems to be a wunderkind, and will likely bear the torch for team USA for the future, but it looks like for the time being that he is the only one who can keep up w. the youngsters coming from JPN

 

[~tapdancer~]

There's this guy named Ilia but no one on the board really seems to talk about him about for some reason.

Wow. I watched his skate at Linz...what a talent. He has all kinds of potential to be great. Quick rotations on the quads. Music was somewhat dull but his skating was so interesting it didn't matter and for me, that's impressive. Will be watching this young man.

 

[Frau Muller]

Of course, I’m a big Ilia fan…but what happened to Yaro Paniot after his weird withdrawal from an early challenger in Sept? Will cross-post this in US Men’s thread.

 

[Vash01]

All four rosters for GPF

2021 Grand Prix Final figure skating qualifiers

2021 Grand Prix Final qualifiers for men, women pairs and ice dance. The fields are set for Osaka in December.

olympics.nbcsports.com