2030 Olympic Team Event Speculation 2026 Edition

her grace

Waiting for a rhythm in the RD
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It's never too early to start a thread about the next Olympic team event. At least I didn't want to clog up the 2026 threads with speculation about next time. :lol:

Who might qualify?

-Usual players such as USA, JPN, CAN, RUS if they're allowed back

-Italy? My guess is that many of the 2026 team athletes will retire so they'll need to reload. Ice dancers Tali/Lafornara were so impressive last season in junior dance, but injury put them in the failure-to-launch category for this season. Hopefully, they can rise over the next quad. Both top pairs may retire, and I'm not sure yet who replaces them. Ladies are in decent shape with Joos and Pezzetta if they stick around. Men, I expect Grassl to keep going and Memola will hopefully come back to full strength.

-Georgia: their pair team and dance team are both on the rise so I'd expect to see them again at the next team event. Gubanova may retire, but they have a junior aging up (Gurgenidze) who is pretty good and attempts a 3a. Who knows what Egadze's plans are, but there doesn't appear to be an obvious successor for him

France: should continue to have powerful dance teams and at least one good man. Pairs and ladies are question marks. Gladki could potentially make an impact if she can keep her jumps.

Great Britain: Fear/Gibson, if sticking around, should garner a lot of points for their team standing, Vaipan-Law/Digby would also contribute if they continue. They'll want to find a new Spours assuming she retires who can qualify individually and contribute to team qualification

South Korea: can make it to the event on the strength of women, dance, and men. Really need to add a pairs team in order to contend at the event

China: They've got good young talent in pairs (Zhang/Huang, Zhang/Feng, and Guo/Zhang) women (Wang) men (Tian) that they shouldn't need to keep bringing old stars out to make it happen. Should qualify and could possibly contend. Dance still looks like a weakness, but teams exist so they've cleared the first hurdle.

Poland: Their spot is the most tentative. If Kurakova retires, there's no obvious replacement for her. Same for Samoilov and Chtchetinina/Wozniak.

Who might break through:

Czechia: Reshtenko is on the rise and both sibling dance teams are capable of contributing to the team qualification effort. Valesi/Bidar finished top 10 at Euros in pairs so if they stay together, they could be key as well. Women's discipline could use some help, but other 3 look solid.

Switzerland: There's a whole group of top Swiss ladies (many aging in sometime in the next quad), they have an exciting young pairs team (Vouillamoz/Bouvart), and a decent young dance team (Zehnder/Sieber). I suspect Britschgi may retire; he's not easily replaced, but Weiler may continue to improve.

Israel: maybe with Shifrin (women) Kuperman (men), and Ichilov/Nosovitskiy (dance) as their core team. No pair in sight, though.

Estonia: Great singles skaters, if they can get something going in the partnered disciplines, could become a factor

Kazakhstan: Ditto.
 
You may add Germany. With Gartung, some women from the junior circle like Gerke, Stavisky and Grimm with new partners in Ice Dance. Hase/Volodin may not retire, they are still relatively young. I guess Hocke/Kunkel will stay too for another cycle
 
You may add Germany. With Gartung, some women from the junior circle like Gerke, Stavisky and Grimm with new partners in Ice Dance. Hase/Volodin may not retire, they are still relatively young. I guess Hocke/Kunkel will stay too for another cycle
I thought about Germany as well. Still a lot of question marks there. Will the pairs stick around? Will Gerke or anyone else keep her jumps? Will something come of any of the new German dance parnerships? But definitely, if these questions resolve in Germany’s favor, then they would be in the mix.
 

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