haribobo
Why is summer so hot omg
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Who will make top 5?
Any combination of the three Japanese, three Russians, and Tursynbaeva (and MAYBE Tennell if she skates really well and has 100% clean jumps).
I'm going to bet Kihira and Miyahara are most likely to win.
I do not see Miyahara winining unless it a splatfest. Even if she somehow made all her jumps perfectly with no errors or calls which she almost never manages, at the very least all of Kihira, Zagitova, Medvedeva would still need to make a lot of mistakes for her to win. Which atleast is probably likely for Zagitova, not sure on Medvedeva who I really think is on the upswing again. And then of course the matter she is very unlikely to make all her jumps with no edges calls or underrotations even if she sort of skates "clean", in which case atleast 4 others can beat her.
Judges do not give her the highest PCS in the field even if arguably they should, they never do, and many women can outjump her even on her best day.
I don't agree, Miyahara has been getting higher PCS than Medvedeva for most of the season. The event is Kihira's to lose, but she can't bomb in the short. Sakamoto has a chance but she isn't consistent enough, and it doesn't look good that Mihara recently beat her in 4CCs. The only person who will beat clean Miyahara in PCS is Zagitova and maybe Kihira.
I don't agree, Miyahara has been getting higher PCS than Medvedeva for most of the season. The event is Kihira's to lose, but she can't bomb in the short. Sakamoto has a chance but she isn't consistent enough, and it doesn't look good that Mihara recently beat her in 4CCs. The only person who will beat clean Miyahara in PCS is Zagitova and maybe Kihira.
Since when has Satoko gotten high PCS? She is continually underscored in PCS given her musicality and the quality of her performance. Medvedeva OTOH will always get high PCS if she skates clean.
Look at scores during the Grand Prix series events. Satoko was getting higher PCS than Evgenia. Although I agree Satoko still deserves more PCS.
Evgenia has been getting lower PCS all season internationally and more scrutiny on jumps, because I think she lost political favor. With Zagitova struggling and Tuktamysheva out, that might change though.
I picked 'Other' and included EunSoo (sp?) of Korea.
If you look at the poll results, not many are counting out Kaori.Don't kount out Kaori.
Probably not. At Four Continents, she lost 4.85 points in TES and had an additional one-point deduction for falling on that quadruple salchow and finished 14.53 points behind Rika Kihira.If Tursy lands quad at worlds would she win just for that jump?
"Semi-clean" may not be good enough for her any more.Not that I am predicting this will happen because I know Zagitova has been all over the place this season but if she manages to put together two semi-clean performances she will surely land herself in the top 3.
I'm pretty sure all three Japanese ladies will make top 5, with probably two on the podium, but which ones will place where is not easy to call. I actually think of all three Japanese ladies, Satoko is the most likely to wind up on the podium, but not likely to be on top of the podium.
I, like everyone else, have been pretty high on Kihira all season and think if she hits both programs she'll win, however I'm more than a little concerned by the PCS she received at Challenge Cup.
I don't know what to make of the Russian ladies right now, Zagitova has done nothing lately to give me any confidence that she can win here, however, I still find it unlikely that she won't wind up, at least in the top 5. I don't see Samodurova on the podium, yet and while I'm a big Zhenya fan, I have my doubts about the podium and actually didn't pick her to make the top 5.
Tennell could maybe sneak into the top 5, but she has to hit both programs and that hasn't been happening lately.
Yeah, basically I think that Kihira is more likely to miss than Miyahara and as such to not place in the top 3. However, with that said, I think that Satoko has very little chance of winning the event, if that makes sense...It is interesting you have Satoko as most likely to make the podium of the 3 Japanese, even over Kihira, but you give the impression by your comments of not believing anyone but Kihira is capable of winning the event (unless you think Kaori also is).