I would be more than glad to send him my spreadsheets. It spells the whole thing out in glorious detail.....
The spreadsheets are based on daily numbers. I use moving average and smoothing algorithms to project forward. I ignore holidays and the weekly variations that occur between weekday and weekend reporting (some states and countries do not report on weekends).I was thinking about your spreadsheets last night.
Do you include potential variables, like the upcoming holidays, or are your numbers based on what has happened vs. what might happen.
Thank you.The spreadsheets are based on daily numbers. I use moving average and smoothing algorithms to project forward. I ignore holidays and the weekly variations that occur between weekday and weekend reporting (some states and countries do not report on weekends).
Remember the movie Soylent Green? And the ending where the guy runs out screaming: Soylent Green is People?
Well I just want to point out that: The economy is people. And dead people don't contribute to the economy.
Using terms like "the elderly" and people with 'co-morbidities' makes it seem like it's a bunch of folks in LTC facilities and nursing homes who aren't contributing to the economy. But I am "elderly" by C19's definition and I am still working FT. Even people in LTC contribute to the economy by buying stuff and creating jobs (that LTC facility is run by people too, not robots).
You can't kill off and injure a significant portion of your population and not tank your economy.
As Yale University Epidemiologist said, "these herd immunity strategies are about culling the herd of the sick and disabled. It’s grotesque.”
Remember when Trump was doing an interview or something and when he should have said herd immunity he instead said herd mentality? I was just poking some fun at his ridiculous remarks where he couldn't even use the correct term.Mentality implies mental powers, like being able to use one's brain.
Trump is pro herd but anti-mental.
I like the scientist in San Andreas. At least they listened to him.Still waiting for Bruce Willis to save the world!!
Scientists here in the UK have determined the crud is spreading out of control here in England - yet still the politicians stick to clearly ineffectual local restrictions that allow too much interpretation and have too many loop holes!!!
CV spreading faster in England than 'worst-case scenario', documents show
I'm sorry it's got to that point. If Johnson (if ever a person was aptly surnamed, it's him) and co. had just committed to a three-week circuit-breaker lockdown back when SAGE flagged it as needed instead of waiting till now, it's likely it wouldn't have got so bad, even despite the lack of an effective track and trace system in the UK. But he's a gutless wonder and so are his hangers-on, so.Quoting myself but it now looks as if we here in England are heading back to a national lockdown - bringing us in line with Wales and NI - not sure how it links in with Scotland though. Again I'll say - we came out of the lockdown too quickly with no effective track and trace, no real mandate on masks and then tried to apply local lockdowns which were never going to work due to the fluidity of peoples movements for work etc and then the tier system that had loopholes from word go and too many people interpreting the rules to suit themselves.
Boris Johnson considering England lockdown next week