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Academy Awards Tomorrow

Discussion in 'Off The Beaten Track' started by jenny12, Feb 23, 2013.

  1. jenny12

    jenny12 Well-Known Member

    So tomorrow are the Academy Awards. Here are the nominees: http://oscar.go.com/nominees I think overall there are some good films this year, but prior to Argo winning all the precursors, the Best Picture race seemed pretty open. What are your picks/predictions? (Here's a few of mine)

    Best Picture:
    Will Win:Argo
    Should Win: Django Unchained

    Best Actor:
    Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Should Win: Joaquin Phoenix

    Best Actress:
    Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
    Should Win: Jessica Chastain

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Will Win: Christoph Waltz
    Should Win: Christoph Waltz or Philip Seymour Hoffman

    Best Director:
    Will Win: Steven Spielberg
    Should Win: Quentin Tarantino (But he wasn't nominated, so I would pick Ang Lee for doing a good job adapting Life of Pi which seemed very difficult on the page to adapt)
    Last edited: Feb 23, 2013
  2. Vash01

    Vash01 Fan of Yuzuru, Medvedeva, T&M, Shibs, P&C

    Here are mine:

    Best Picture:
    Will Win:Argo (A month earlier I would have put my money on 'Lincoln', but Argo has momentum now)
    Should Win: Argo

    Best Actor:
    Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis

    Best Actress:
    Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
    Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva or Jessica Chastain

    Best Director:
    Will Win: Steven Spielberg
    Should Win: Steven Spielberg (with Affleck and Bigelow not nominated, I don't see anyone beating Spielberg)

    Supporting Actor:
    Will win: Tommy Lee Jones
    Should win: Christoph Waltz

    Supporting Actress:

    Will win: Anne Hathaway
    Should win: Helen Hunt
  3. AshleyN

    AshleyN Well-Known Member

    I saw this the other day and found it pretty interesting: An Oscar Voter's Brutally Honest Ballot. It looks like this guy really hates Anne Karenina, Amour, and CGI.

    Obviously it's just one voter out of thousands, but I bet this guy's mixture of genuine insight, personal biases, and petty silliness is pretty common when it comes to how Academy members fill out their ballots.
  4. Wyliefan

    Wyliefan Well-Known Member

    Loathing Anna Karenina? I just lost a ton of respect for that guy's opinion.
  5. IceAlisa

    IceAlisa discriminating and persnickety ballet aficionado

    An interesting read! I've only seen The Life of Pi, Anna Karenina and Argo. AK was dreck but the costumes were extraordinarily beautiful. They were, however, totally period inappropriate and reflected the trends of 2010 rather than the late 19th century. It's the same with many 50's and 60's period movies--everyone has cat eyes and a beehive.

    PML about him voting by spin-the-iPhone! Oscar-worthy snark! :lol:

    Argo has nothing to do with reality but if they were historically accurate, the movie would last about 5 minutes. We came up with this crazy idea, they bought it, we went in, we left. The end. No one wants to watch that.

    Wyliefan--I thought Anna Karenina was a joke. FWIW, all the Russians I know who appreciate the classics, concur. We had a grand ole time ripping it to shreds when it came out. As previously mentioned, that train couldn't come soon enough.
  6. jenny12

    jenny12 Well-Known Member

    I didn't like Anna Karenina either. I admire the director for doing something different but I think it removed all the emotion from the story and I think Keira Knightly is too lightweight for that role.
  7. Wyliefan

    Wyliefan Well-Known Member

    Well, my friends and I loved it. Guess we're not Russian. :) British classics are more my thing, anyway. But it was a novel idea (pardon the pun) to film it the way they did, and I enjoyed it.
  8. Cachoo

    Cachoo Well-Known Member

    I'm hoping for Naomi Watts in an upset.
  9. IceAlisa

    IceAlisa discriminating and persnickety ballet aficionado


    It wasn't the idea of filming it in a theater, it was Keira Knightly's lack of acting talent and charisma (and a few other casting choices) that made us :lynch: the movie. Jude Law made for a surprisingly likable Karenin though.
  10. Spareoom

    Spareoom Well-Known Member

    So, I went to see Argo today because I figured that if it was going to win Best Picture, I wanted to be able to say that I'd seen it. :p ;) So that brings me to 4/9 on the list of BP nominees; I haven't seen Life of Pi (Netflix or dollar theater), Django Unchained (NO THANK YOU), Armore (maybe Netflix), Beasts of the Southern Wild (maybe). or Zero Dark Thirty (Netflix). Anyway, for a movie that was released quite a long time ago, there was a lot of people in the theater to see Argo...much more than I expected. Oscar buzz, you know. I guess I wasn't the only one going to a see a movie because of it.

    Anyway, tomorrow should be fun!
  11. Vash01

    Vash01 Fan of Yuzuru, Medvedeva, T&M, Shibs, P&C

    I did not see Anna Karenina because I read some very unflattering reviews of it. I knew it would have great costumes and sets, but it was not enough to lure me to a theater to see it.

    I have not seen Beast of the southern wild because it did not come to any of the local theaters, or if it did, it must have been for one week. The theater for Amour is too far. Actually I was in that area today, but it was 2.5 hours before the movie, so I skipped it. If Riva wins the best actress Oscar (highly unlikely), it could be the biggest upset. I am resigned to seeing Jennifer Lawrence win it, like Julia Roberts or Gwyneth Paltrow. I am actually wondering if SLP may be the dark horse this year. I remember the year Shakespeare in Love won the BP because there were a lot of war movies and the voters said they liked seeing something light. That could happen this year, with 3 of the movies being heavily political. Like SIL, SLP has done a masterful job of marketing that movie.

    I am almost afraid to see Django unchained, although I did seriously consider seeing it. I may watch it on DVD in the future, so I can either walk away for some scenes or just fast forward.

    So I am still at 7 out of 9 for BP. Usually I see almost all of the BP pictures.
  12. smurfy

    smurfy Well-Known Member

    I have seen all the best pic noms. I always have a hard time ranking really diff types of movies. Argo or Life of Pi - how do you compare? All the movies r great, except I would put Les Miz at the bottom as only good, but I think Argo n Life of Pi r the best w zero dark thirty in the mix.

    Re - Anna K, I have not read the book, I saw the movie and enjoyed the artistry, but knowing the book is long, I felt like too much was missing withou even knowing what I was missing.
  13. victoriaheidi

    victoriaheidi New Member

    Here's my prediction sheet for all the categories to which I can speak:

    Will Win: Argo
    Should Win: I'm fine with Argo

    Will Win: Spielberg
    Should Win: I probably would have picked Affleck, but he wasn't nominated. Ang Lee also did a brilliant job.

    Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis

    Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
    Should Win: The uber in me wants Jessica Chastain, but I also think Emmanuelle Riva is highly deserving.

    Will Win: Tommy Lee Jones
    Should Win: Alan Arkin. He stands out from the pack for being the comic relief in his film.

    Will Win: Anne Hathaway
    Should Win: I'm cool with Anne. But I would have picked Sally Field.

    Will Win: Amour
    Should Win: haven't seen enough of the category. Sorry Intouchables wasn't nominated.

    Will Win: "Skyfall"
    Should Win: "Skyfall" (yay Adele!)

    Will Win: Wreck-It Ralph
    Should Win: Frankenweenie

    Will Win: Anna Karenina
    Should Win: SWATH
  14. vesperholly

    vesperholly Well-Known Member

    I am hoping against hope that the support for "Skyfall" is strong enough to pull the Best Score win for Thomas Newman along with it. I looooove his scores (American Beauty, Little Women, Finding Nemo, Shawshank Redemption, I could go on) and it's a crime he hasn't won yet.
  15. michiruwater

    michiruwater Well-Known Member

    I am going to cry happy, obsessive, ridiculous buckets of tears if predictions come true and Jennifer Lawrence wins :shuffle: I am unrepentant in my love.

    (But if Chastain wins I'll be fine with that, she was excellent and I adore her, too, plus she's a redhead).

    I think ZD30 should win but Argo was great.
  16. BigB08822

    BigB08822 Well-Known Member

    I also love Jennifer Lawrence and will be thrilled if she wins. That would make 2 years in a row where the Female Lead Oscar goes to who I want to win. That hardly ever happens on any one given year.
  17. danceronice

    danceronice Corgi Wrangler

    Won't someone think of the Oscar voter's next-door neighbor's dog? Not that I think Skyfall will lose. Even though, honestly, I heard it and went 'eh.' I'm kind of a connoisseur of Bond themes (yes, I have heard ALL of them, repeatedly, plus some end-credit songs that were clearly also-rans, like k.d. lang's awesome "Surrender", which was a lot better than "Tomorrow Never Dies" from the same film) and Skyfall was kind of...eh. Not the worst Bond theme ever (that's a tough call, but my vote goes to the painfully-dated and forgettable "The Living Daylights") but IMO not even the best of the new Bond (that's "You Know My Name", Chris Cornell's weird tantrums about it notwithstanding). Of the choices available, though, it's the clear winner this year. I really hope they don't reward Les Mis's blatant Oscar bait (bad enough they did it with the blatant Oscar bait in Evita. I can't even remember if Phantom's crack at it worked.)
  18. orbitz

    orbitz Well-Known Member

    I don't care for the song "Skyfall" at all. That song would not have been nominated if it was anyone else but Adele singing it.

    Looking forward to hear Barb singing on the telecast. I'm sure she'll get a standing O as soon as she steps onto the stage.

    It'll be very exciting if DDL wins. I know everyone predicts that he will, but you'll never know. He would be the only 3-times winner in the Best Actor category.
  19. jenny12

    jenny12 Well-Known Member

    I love Adele's delivery of "Skyfall" but I think the song itself is pretty dull. I agree with orbitz that Adele's singing is what got it nominated.
  20. Eden

    Eden Well-Known Member

    My Oscar predictions:

    Best Picture:
    Will Win:Lincoln
    Should Win: Lincoln

    Best Actor:
    Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis

    Best Actress:
    Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence
    Should Win: Jessica Chastain

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Will Win: Christoph Waltz
    Should Win: Christoph Waltz

    Best Director:
    Will Win: Michael Haneke (Amour)
    Should Win: Steven Spielberg

    Best Foreign Film:
    Will Win: Amour (Aus-France)
    Should Win: A Royal Affair (Den)

    Best Documentary Film:
    Will Win: Searching for Sugarman
    Should Win: The Gatekeepers
  21. martian_girl

    martian_girl New Member

    I haven't seen any of the nominated performances, so I can't really judge, but there is some rumbling that Lawrence will not win this one. Basically, the reasons for this have nothing to do with her performance, and more to do with stupid things like her SNL monologue being too mean, or that she's "too young" to win, or my personal favorite "the hot chicks will cancel each other out in the voting". The joy of Oscar politics.:rolleyes:

    That being said, I'm still predicting her to win, along with Argo, Lewis, DeNiro, Hathaway and Haneke for director.
  22. AshleyN

    AshleyN Well-Known Member

    Eh, I know politics play a big role when it comes to the Oscars but I think if say, Emmanuelle Riva (who right now seems to be the most likely candidate to pull off the upset in that category) wins it will have less to do with the silly things you just mentioned and more to do with the fact that just about everyone who's actually seen Amour seems to have been blown away by her performance.

    Anyways, I'm sure if she wins there will be just as many people crying politics as there will be if she loses.

    On another note, I think I mentioned this in another thread, but this really seems to be the most unpredictable Oscars in several years. DDL, Hathaway, and Argo seem to have their awards more or less locked up, but the rest of the biggies (Director, Actress, Supporting Actor, and both Screenplay awards) are still up in the air. It should make for a fun ceremony.
  23. VIETgrlTerifa

    VIETgrlTerifa Well-Known Member

    I'd be fine if she didn't win for any reason (no matter how petty) because I simply thought she was outclassed by the rest of the field. Plus, for every petty reason why a member wouldn't vote for her, I'm sure there are petty reasons why people would vote for her.

    Best Picture
    Will win: Argo
    Any of these will be deserving (ranked by order of preference):
    1. Life of Pi or Amour
    3. Zero Dark Thirty
    4. Beasts of the Southern Wild
    5. Lincoln
    6. Django Unchained
    7. Argo
    ----------- Undeserving to win -----------
    8. Les Miserables
    9. Silver Linings Playbook (travesty this is on here).

    Best Director:
    Will Win: Steven Spielberg with Ang Lee a close second.
    Should Win: I would be happy with any of these men win the award except for David O. Russell who should not have been in there. Affleck or Bigelow should have been in his spot. Lee is my personal choice with Michael Haneke (Amour) second and Behn Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild) third. That leaves Spielberg fourth, but I won't be angry if he won.

    Best Actor:
    Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
    Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis.

    I think Joaquin Phoenix gave an extraordinary performance that was gut-wrenching and uncomfortable to watch at times. However, I do think Day-Lewis had the superior performance in terms of what he presented to the audience and his ability to play off the other actors.

    Best Actress:
    Will Win: Emmanuelle Riva
    Should Win: Emmanuelle Riva or Jessica Chastain.

    Riva is on another plane from the other four nominees. There's no contest for me. Jessica Chastain plays my favorite female character of the year though. Someone who is not defined by a romantic leading man and doesn't fall into Oscar-baity traps by having the least showy role amongst the nominees (unlike Lawrence who plays a co-dependant, crying mess of two-dimensional character).

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Will Win: Christoph Waltz
    Should Win: Phillip Seymour-Hoffman

    Waltz and Seymour-Hoffman are both worthy of awards, but they're cheating. They're really leads or co-leads in their respective films, so they have a lot more material to work with with the plot focusing on them. However, I'd be happy if any of these men take it. Tommy Lee Jones played Thaddeus Stevens very well, but there was something missing for me. I can't put my finger on it. Let's applaud DeNiro for finally finding the non-crappy role he hasn't been able to find for like two decades. Shame his character rang incredibly false for me and was incredibly over-the-top. DeNiro is not in last place because Arkin did not deserve a nomination.

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Will Win: Anne Hathaway
    Should Win: Sally Field

    I personally didn't see what was so special about Hathaway. Yes, she sang, and she cried. However, it was so self-indulgent and her character was so weak. She is just a symbol Victor Hugo used to represented the miserable poor who may have to give up her dignity and dreams to survive. I don't think there was really much she really had to do in her small role. Sally Field and Helen Hunt, meanwhile, played multi-facted characters. Amy Adams should be happy she got a nomination because her role wasn't that substantial, neither did she really make an impact in The Master. I don't get why Jackie Weaver was nominated for the likes of someone like Ann Dowd in Compliance.

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Will Win: Argo (because they just love Argo no matter what else it's nominated with) or Silver Linings Playbook (God-forbid, but Harvey Weinstein is backing this up).
    Should Win: Lincoln.

    Tony Kushner's dialogue in Lincoln is a work of art.

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Will Win: Django Unchained
    Should Win: Django Unchained

    I would have liked it if Zero Dark Thirty could win one after the way the movie was absolutely beaten up and left for dead by its detractors. I've never seen a movie that was so loved by the "respected" film critics only to be abandoned because they were afraid to back it up after the controversy. However, Mark Boal "stole" Tarantino's Oscar for Best Original Screenplay a few years back when The Hurt Locker beat Inglorious Basterds. Django isn't as good as Inglorious Basterds, but when it works, it really works.

    Some others:

    Best Score: Life of Pi (Will and should win)

    Best Cinematography: Life of Pi (Will and should win) or Skyfall (if a lot of Life of Pi's work was done post-production).
  24. allezfred

    allezfred Master/Mistress of Sneer Staff Member

    Can't believe Inglorious Basterds was nominated for Original Screenplay. It was ridiculous even for Tarantino. If Django is worse then :scream:
  25. jenny12

    jenny12 Well-Known Member

    Well, for a Tarantino fan as I am, I would say Django is slightly below Inglorious Basters, but its great dialogue and very strong sequences throughout (I agree that Django is uneven though) make it worthy of a win in my opinion.

    I hope Anne Hathaway doesn't pull a Taylor Swift when she wins and act so surprised, but I'm sure she will.
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2013
  26. Spareoom

    Spareoom Well-Known Member

    I still think Jen has the best chance out of all the Best Actress nominees to win, but I would not be surprised if she didn't. Politics play a HUGE part in the Oscars and she's very young, plus is quite quirky and non-traditional in her personality and demeanor that a lot of people might find off-putting and offensive. Whatever. :) She has SO much to be proud of and even if she doesn't win, she has an amazing career and it would be a shame if she felt like she had to change who she is as a person in order to win an award. She hasn't, which is awesome. Two Oscar nominations in three years and only 22; this won't be the last one and she's got like, half a million potential Oscar roles lined up as well as a couple big blockbusters. She'll be fine. :D

    Anyway, I'm looking forward to tonight! Should be fun because I really like all the movies and nominees. It should be fun to see Anne cry her way through something that was a foregone conclusion about a year ago. ;) We know you're a great actress, Annie, but nobody buys the "surprised" act anymore! ;)
  27. Matryeshka

    Matryeshka Well-Known Member

    This is one of the few years where I have not seen several of the nominees, so I'm just here for the dresses. It's a shame, because I think this was the strongest year for movies in a long time. I have not seen Django, Zero Dark Thirty, Amour, or Life of Pi. Of the rest, I'd vote for Beasts of the Southern Wild, but I'm fine with any of them winning except Silver Linings Playbook. Except for Bradley Cooper, everything in that movie was incredibly overrated. I thought JLaw's performance was adequate, but not special in any way. I view her nomination as Hollywood saying, we like you. You're young and talented and we're acknowledging that.

    I'm watching E right now. I wish they'd get Kelly Osborne's purple-grey hair off the screen because they're interrupting the jewelry porn.
  28. escaflowne9282

    escaflowne9282 Reformed Manspreader

    I don't see what was so great about Jennifer Lawrence or Jessica Chastain. They both portrayed very dull one-dimensional characters. If there were any justice, the two horse race would be between Quaznave(sp) Wallis and Emanuelle Riva. They were the class of the field IMHO

    I HATED Sally Field in Lincoln and I thought her portrayal was a hot mess. She basically played the shrill insufferable character she portrayed in Bothers and Sisters while wearing a period costume. I found that she lacked chemistry with DDL as well/ I like her in general , but that role is just not Oscar-worthy. I'm ok with Anne or Helen.
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2013
  29. Cachoo

    Cachoo Well-Known Member

    I'm starting to lose any hope for Naomi. I like the other nominees though.
  30. my little pony

    my little pony war crawling into canada

    best picture - amour
    best actor - DDL, wouldnt be awful if joaquin phoenix won
    best actress - emanuelle riva although i think naomi watts is also deserving
    best supp actor - im ok with waltz or hoffman
    best supp actress - helen hunt but she already has an oscar she didnt deserve so it comes out even if she loses, anyone but anne whose fit of a performance made me LOL