vBookie Event: Australia - ALP 2PP Federal Vote Share (High $takes) (2013 World Politics)
This event is over.

Outcome Odds Total Bets Total Staked
43.33% or lower 25/1 (26.00) 1 100  
43.34% to 46.66% 1/1 F (2.00) 0 0 WIN!
46.67% to 49.99% 1/1 F (2.00) 2 4000  
50.00% or more 3/1 (4.00) 0 0  
Results 1 to 6 of 6
  1. #1
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    2013 World Politics - Australia - ALP 2PP Federal Vote Share (High $takes)

    What will the Australian Labor Party's two-party-preferred percentage vote share (vs. the Liberal-National coalition) be at the next scheduled federal election for the Australian House of Representatives?

    One bet only.

  2. #2
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    vBet reopened, with updated odds and multiple bets enabled, now that the election has been called for 7 September.

    Prior bets will be preserved at prior odds.

    Odds can change at any time as circumstances warrant.

  3. #3
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    Odds updated as the latest poll has Labor at 46% 2PP.

  4. #4
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    According to this link:
    http://vtr.aec.gov.au/

    ALP is at 46.67% 2PP at the moment, with many seats yet to be included, and, as I understand, up to 1 million postal votes yet to be counted, which could take 1 more week. Waiting until then for a final update.

  5. #5
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    Still no final word on national 2PP vote share between the ALP and Liberal/National coalition, presumably because there are many seats in which independents have won, and the 2PP count needs to be redone in order to provide an ALP/LNP split, as opposed to Independent/major party split.

    Waiting until the national 2PP count between ALP and LNP is finalized before settling.

  6. #6
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    Finally, 2PP results for all 150 divisions are in; here's one link:
    http://results.aec.gov.au/17496/Webs...tate-17496.htm

    State Australian Labor Party Liberal/National Coalition Total Swing
    Votes % Votes %
    New South Wales 1,896,175 45.65 2,257,654 54.35 4,153,829 -3.19
    Victoria 1,653,977 50.20 1,640,682 49.80 3,294,659 -5.11
    Queensland 1,085,449 43.02 1,437,803 56.98 2,523,252 -1.84
    Western Australia 528,394 41.72 738,110 58.28 1,266,504 -2.34
    South Australia 478,952 47.64 526,493 52.36 1,005,445 -5.54
    Tasmania 169,208 51.23 161,086 48.77 330,294 -9.39
    Australian Capital Territory 144,688 59.91 96,815 40.09 241,503 -1.76
    Northern Territory 49,374 49.65 50,067 50.35 99,441 -1.09
    National 6,006,217 46.51 6,908,710 53.49 12,914,927 -3.69

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