Even with Takahashi withdrawing from GPF, his status as the second highest-ranked Japanese man in WS is safe, since the most incremental points Machida can gain is 400 if he wins GPF, and he's 645 points behind Takahashi. (Theoretically, he can be bumped to fourth at GPF in ISU SB standings.) Machida is safely in third in WS points over Oda, who can gain a maximum of 476 by winning GPF, and even were Machida to withdraw and Oda to win another Senior B before Japanese Nats (hypothetically), Oda still wouldn't catch Machida. He's similarly safe from Mura overtaking him with two (hypothetical) Senior B wins.
For spot 3, top three WS will remain Hanyu, Takahashi, and Machida, regardless of what happens at or outside GPF. The top three SB scores will be between Takahashi, Hanyu, Machida, and Oda. 5.33 points separate them before GPF.
For the TE, the top SP scores this year for Japanese Men are:
- 95.55-Takahashi (NHK)
- 95.37-Hanyu (TEB)
- 91.18-Machida (SA)
- 87.34-Oda (Nebelhorn)
For the FS:
For Ladies, WS currently are:
Asada (3501) -- the minimum she can get at GPF is 472 if she finishes and all six Ladies skate.
The SB scores are:
For the TE, the Top SP scores are:
The Top FS scores are:
Of course, the FS will be moot if Japan doesn't make it to the finals.