View Poll Results: Will we see the same order of podium for ladies at Olympics next year as Worlds this

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  • yes

    31 31.00%
  • no

    69 69.00%
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  1. #21
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vash01 View Post
    The only question is- who will surprise us in 2014 and how?
    We don't know yet, that is what makes it exciting!

  2. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by t.mann View Post
    Similar thought.

    Mao with 1 pop & some URs (& harder jump layouts) lost to Caro with 1 pop & 2 falls.
    Maybe this could be a little shock to Mao.
    Maybe after two straight 6th place finishes, Mao was just happy to be back on the podium. Even though she had a season full of wins, Worlds had been her hiccup as of late, so I hope she sees medaling was a reward in itself considering her technical problems.

  3. #23
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    It's quite obvious that the same ladies podium in Sochi. Not sure if in the same order but one thing is absolutely sure - no one can beat Yu-Na and her second olympic gold is as well as guaranteed. Silver and bronze or one of those medals can or cannot go to Carolina or Mao.
    Many Sochi golds are already more or less obvious - Volosozhar-Trankov's gold and probably Davis&White gold.

  4. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawnie View Post
    I'm not sure if Kostner or Asada are definite locks for the podium. Each have their own issues that can prevent them from getting a medal. I can see a surprise medalist like Denis Ten this year. A U.S. or Russian lady can skate lights out and knock one or both Asada and Kostner off the podium.
    No, with the big PCS difference separating Carolina and Mao and the rest of the field... 60 on PCS is the new 50, while 70 is the new 60. They have around a 10 point advantage on PCS, so the Russian ladies or the US ladies will have to skate lights out and hope Carolina and Mao make major mistakes. Ashley might be able to creep in though, considering she might decrease her PCS gap between Mao and Carolina.

  5. #25
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    Ashley needs to up her TES though. She wont medal in Sochi even with others mistakes unless she ups her TES. She is a tough little fighter so I have faith she can, and will be working hard this off season on improving. She ups her technical content I almost guarantee she will see a further PCS as a result too.

    The only one I can see being bumped right off the podium entirely of these 3 is Asada. I cant see Kim not winning a medal of some color, even in the IMO very unlikely event she doesnt win the gold (and only Kostner or Asada can win the actual gold colored medal besides Kim IMO). Kostner there might be a very small chance she doesnt medal, given her history of inconsistencies and some meltdowns and her Olympic record it would be wrong to say she is a complete lock. However I think the odds of her being on the podium are extremely high, 80% or more. She seems to be a much more mature skater, rarely lets her mistakes pile up too high anymore, is attempting top difficulty again, and she really is loved by the judges and lavished with very high (mostly deservedly) GOE and PCS. The consistency that has evaded her most of her career has been there since Vancouver.

    Asada is the one most vurnerable to making more mistakes, she is attempting a jump layout that is almost impossible for her to skate cleanly so it isnt a question of if there will be mistakes but how many of them, she is prone to losing points by UR calls even for seemingly clean jumps which the other two are not, and she doesnt get the GOE or PCS cushion that the other two get. Asada can be had by someone from the pack IMO, it is just a question of someone skating well enough and how on Mao happens to be on the day. It really depends alot on the SP for her too, if she has a SP like 4CCs she could well be in the lead after the short, and not only have a fighting shot at gold but almost be ensured of atleast a bronze. However if she doesnt totally nail the SP she is somewhat vurnerable I think.

  6. #26
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    Kostner's LP performance was impressive and her mental toughness is really improving. I see that Kostner can be the one who can get close to Kim in terms of some of the component marks.

    To have any shot at a spot on the podium, Asada really needs to spend time and resources to get presentable Oly programs. Her 2010 programs were pure disasters. In fact, her program choices since 2008 have been really weak with minimal impact. Perhaps it's her decaying skating skills. It may be too late for her to lose her clunky 3A and catch up with 3-3 because newcomers such as Murakami are improving fast. Look forward to seeing Murakami's new programs and how well she would fare against Asada...

  7. #27
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    only Yuna is a podium lock

  8. #28
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    Quote Originally Posted by amaro View Post
    To have any shot at a spot on the podium, Asada really needs to spend time and resources to get presentable Oly programs.
    She had the second highest score this season, so she definitely has a chance at the podium. And her "Swan Lake" was well-received by fans as well as commentators. This is more of your own wish than reality.

  9. #29
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vash01 View Post

    The only question is- who will surprise us in 2014 and how?
    Jenna McCorkell and Sonia Lafuente both podium finish!

  10. #30
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    I hope Yu Na Kim doesnt win. I am hating the recent talk she might be considered best ever if she wins and she doesnt deserve that so please anyone but overrated Kim.

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