Finalists will be announced tonight after the end of today's performances.
Barring any spectacular screwups from Alessandro Deljavan, Sean Chen, and Fei-Fei Dong later today, I'd have them in the finals, along with Nikolay Khozyainov and Claire Huangci. I have no clear candidate for winner, although at this point either Alessandro or Nikolay could sleepily squeak through by default, with steady, solid performances. Of the two, Alessandro is far more eclectic and entertaining, while Nikolay would probably be preferred by music "purists." We'll see if Fei-Fei or Sean can rise up to the occasion, stir up more excitement than Alessandro or Nikolay, and grab a medal or even challenge for the win.
Personally, it's tough making a choice for that final 6th spot. I'd say Jayson Gillham, Tomoki Sakata, and especially Nikita Abrosimov don't have what it takes to be in the finals, even if they've had some nice moments here and there.
Of the remaining players, Alexey Chernov and Vadym Kholodenko kinda blew it in their chamber performances. They didn't get the memo that chamber music is all about nuance and playing as part of an ensemble, rather than one player (in this case, the pianist) bulldozing his way through everyone else.
That leaves Beatrice Rana and Nikita Mndoyants, and it's a close call between the two, although I don't particularly care for either. I'd say Beatrice Rana has slightly more to offer, but I could see it going either way.
All performances are archived at www.cliburn.org; and some clips are making it onto YouTube as well.