^ Your prediction for number 6 is definitely a "no guts, no glory" type of prediction. I like to see more people making riskier predictions.
Carolina Kostner
Elizaveta Tuktamysheva
Akiko Suzuki
Mao Asada
Adelina Sotnikova
Ashley Wagner
Yuna Kim
Zijun Li
Kanako Murakami
Gracie Gold
Kiira Korpii
^ Your prediction for number 6 is definitely a "no guts, no glory" type of prediction. I like to see more people making riskier predictions.
Shaia is just being Shaia. I'm sure she is making the list of whomever posted "wrong things" about Yuna lol.
After the 4CC nobody expect from Gold to get a medal. Less pressure what she needs. My podium;
Yuna Kim
Mao Asada
Gracie Gold
I don't know Sotnikova and Tukt got extremely high scores at Euros. I think the judges are getting to the point where they are starting to raise the youngsters scores. The judges came very close to giving Sotnikova the European title, and Adelina only did one more triple than Kostner in the long. I think this is especially the case with Sotnikova who really has a wonderful presence on the ice. Even if that long stinks. I think at Euros the judges showed they like Sotnikova A. LOT. And I really think in terms of full package she's the best of the youngsters.
I don't think they will be able to get away with toes, salchows, and loops for much longer... And in fairness to Kim, she doesn't do loops, and she's never been one to downgrade her content.
So I don't think Kim will be able to make all kinds of mistakes, Kostner do doubles/easy triples, or Asada a lot of underrotating and all get on the podium if the young Russians/Gold skate well.
Last edited by bek; 03-03-2013 at 11:10 PM.
Obviously we all know that if every skater skates clean then it will be
1:yuna
2:asada
3:kostner
But we all know consistency is the biggest problem in ladies figure skating.
We have all seen huge meltdowns from Asada and Kostner which could easily push them off top 5. The same is said withWagner since GPF and Nationals
Akiko will unfortunately be underscored in PCS as usual. Liza and adelina could do well if she is clean, but otherwise her components are low so she wont make podium
Murakami can do good if clean, but her GOE on most jumps wont get her high technical scores to podium in my opinion.
1. Mao
2. Carolina
3. Kim
I think she'll be in the final group provided she skates a clean SP, but her marks at 4CC demonstrate that even skating lights out, she won't touch Kostner, Kim or Asada. Probably she will be involved in a pewter battle w/ Wagner (again, provided Wagner gets back into form) and whichever Baby Russian brings it at Worlds.
With the potential depth of the ladies this season, I think the draw for the SP may be key.![]()
My Life Would Suck Without FS-You
Exactly although you are slightly more generous in your assessment of her chances I am. I think Sotnikova, Tuktamysheva, and Wagner (yes even now) are all likely to finish above her. I think Murakami, Osmond, Gold are close to 50% odds to finish above her. Suzuki doesnt usually skate as well as she did at 4CCs, especialy in both programs, so I would be surprised if she did, although if she did she would have a decent shot to finish 4th or 5th (still no higher, and any of Tuk, Sot, or Wag. skating perfectly will still beat her even then IMO). Kostner or Asada would have to majorly bomb to finish behind Suzuki, and as for Kim her making enough errors to finish behind Suzuki is simply not possible based on her history.
I think only 6 falls will make that result possible, and well..
I think it's very safe to bet on Yuna or Mao for #1. I am inclined to put Carolina up there as well. I think Yuna, Mao, and Carolina are easily the top 3. Ice is slippery, but these three are not at inconsistent phases of their career. These are three skating phenoms that have been around for a long time and most likely have their worst performances behind them. I'm not expecting any of these three to mess up enough for the judges to put someone else ahead. Maybe some mistakes, but not enough to knock them off the podium. Their PCS are just too far ahead of the rest of the group, each of them have a one fall cushion at least IMO.
I'd expect Sotnikova and hopefully Wagner right behind if they skate to potential, then Tuktamysheva and maybe Suzuki.. it's going to be a very competitive World Championships. I really hope this year and the Olympics next year don't pan out like the 2010 mens event which also seemed to be extremely deep before-hand..
After reading some of these posts by the "experts" my only wish is for Suzuki to win worlds. Well, even without readings those posts, I still want it to happen.