*History* has proven that anything is possible, and the international judges will pick whomever they want, despite whom the national judges consider #1. Case in point, Sarah Hughes, she was only #3, but ended up winning the Olympics. Same thing goes for Evan Lysacek. Mirai over Rachael, and on and on and on ad infinitum.
It's anybody's game, on any given day, I sincerely believe that.
LET THE GAMES BEGIN!
ps: for all we know Agnes can end up kicking a** and taking names, not to mention Caroline Zhang with that 3R/3R combo.