View Poll Results: Who is a Lock ?

Voters
28. You may not vote on this poll
  • Hamish Bond and Eric Murray - Rowing

    0 0%
  • US women's - basketball team

    9 32.14%
  • Michael Phelps - 200m butterfly

    11 39.29%
  • Saori Yoshida - Wrestling

    4 14.29%
  • Katie Taylor - Boxing

    2 7.14%
  • Teddy Riner - Judo

    1 3.57%
  • Evgenia Kanaeva - Rhythmic Gymnastics

    18 64.29%
  • Natalia Ischenko/Svetlana Romashina - Synchronised Swimming

    3 10.71%
  • Behdad Salimikordasiabi - Weightlifting

    2 7.14%
  • Usain Bolt - men's 100m

    7 25.00%
Multiple Choice Poll.
Results 1 to 17 of 17
  1. #1
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    BBC: as Good as Gold aka The Olympic Gold Locks

    Agree or Not ? Dominant Bets for Gold Medals: the Olympic dead certs


    Dominant Bets for Gold Medals: the Olympic dead certs
    While some events at London 2012 are wide open, and others too close to call, several feature athletes so dominant that the gold medal may as well form part of their welcome pack at the Olympic village.

    BBC Sport picks out nine sure bets - we think - for Olympic glory and one hot favourite who is faltering at just the wrong time.

    1. Hamish Bond and Eric Murray (NZ) - Rowing

    The three-time men's pair world champions are unbeaten since 2009 and have defeated their closest rivals - Great Britain's Andy Hodge and Pete Reed - in 14 consecutive races. Such is their dominance that GB rowing coach Jurgen Grobler has opted to move Hodge and Reed to the men's four, effectively conceding gold to the formidable Kiwi pair.

    Garry Herbert (BBC rowing analyst): "To use a tennis analogy, the New Zealand pair are Roger Federer, while Hodge and Reed are Andy Murray. Both are excellent, but while the Kiwis are so naturally gifted that they make it all look effortless, you can see how hard Hodge and Reed are fighting to power the boat to the line. Bond and Murray have seen off all their rivals and, barring them falling into the water 100 yards from the line, no one can touch them."

    2. US women's basketball team

    Gold medallists at the last four Olympic Games, it would take a brave and possibly foolish soul to bet against the US women's basketball team making it five in a row in London. With an unrivalled domestic set-up, and seasoned world-beaters like Candace Parker and Sue Bird in the squad, they should win with plenty to spare.

    John Amaechi (former NBA basketball player): "The US men's team are by no means a shoe-in for gold because they will be coming off the back of a long NBA season, whereas other countries have been training together for a long time. The women, on the other hand, are quicker, faster, stronger and more athletic than all of the other countries. The college basketball network in the US is superb and very few other countries invest so much in women's sport."

    3. Michael Phelps (USA) - 200m butterfly


    Phelps, the 14-time Olympic gold medallist, is competing in seven races at London 2012, but nowhere will he be more fancied than in his signature event, the 200m butterfly. He has held the world record over the distance since he first broke it in 2001 at the age of 15.

    Sharron Davies (Olympic swimming silver medallist): "Phelps is racing the 200m butterfly for the fourth time in his fourth Olympics and this is the one he will want to win the most. This is an event where he won't be up against his arch-rival Ryan Lochte, so he won't be distracted by playing cat and mouse games with his fellow American and can focus solely on producing the kind of powerhouse performance he is famous for."

    4. Saori Yoshida (Japan) - Wrestling

    Yoshida has enjoyed total command over the women's 55kg division for more than a decade and is unbeaten at the Olympics, World and Asian Championships. A shock defeat in May - ending a 58-bout winning streak - may only strengthen her resolve to equal the record of legendary Russian Greco-Roman wrestler Aleksandr Karelin with a 12th global title this summer.

    Non Evans (former Commonwealth Games wrestler): "Yoshida took up wrestling at the age of three and is technically as well as tactically very good. You have to be strong, flexible and anaerobically fit as well as aerobically fit - all of these elements make up a brilliant freestyle wrestler like Yoshida. Her incredible record gives her a psychological advantage over her opponents before they even step into the ring."

    5 Katie Taylor (Republic of Ireland) - Boxing


    Taylor won her fourth successive world lightweight title in May to go with her five consecutive European Championship gold medals. She has also captained Ireland's female football team and played a big part in the bid to get women's boxing included in the Olympics for the first time in 2012.

    Lucy O'Connor (BBC boxing analyst): "When you talk about women's boxing on the world stage the first name that comes to mind is Katie. She has an uncanny strength and power, is so fluid in her technique and is also very strong and very quick. Her speed of punch sets her aside from rest of the girls."

    6 Teddy Riner (France) - Judo

    Standing at 6ft 8in and weighing in at 128kg, Riner is the undisputed giant of his sport. Born on the Caribbean island of Guadeloupe but raised in Paris, he won a record fifth World Championship title last year and is determined to make up for the disappointment of only claiming bronze in Beijing four years ago.

    Nicola Fairbrother (Olympic judo silver medallist): "Teddy Riner is just about as sure a bet as you can get for Olympic gold in a sport which is characterised by its unpredictability. He's a natural, tall heavyweight and is faster, more athletic and stronger than the rest of the division. He has developed some brilliant technical combinations and has tremendous mental strength - probably the most important quality for any Olympic champion."

    7 Evgenia Kanaeva (Russia) - Rhythmic Gymnastics

    Widely acknowledged as the best rhythmic gymnast in history, world and Olympic champion Kanaeva is one of the most dominant competitors in any sport. At the last two World Championships, she won all six gold medals on offer in rope, hoop, ball, clubs, ribbon and all-round disciplines.

    Christine Still (BBC gymnastics analyst): "Kanaeva's routines are a great deal more difficult than her nearest rival, meaning that even when she makes an unexpected error others cannot catch her. She is very supple but has great control like a ballet dancer. She is about as certain a gold medallist as you are going to get."

    8 Natalia Ischenko/Svetlana Romashina (Russia) - Synchronised Swimming

    Current World and European champions, Ischenko and Romashina have ruled the sport in the last few years with their unrivalled technical and artistic ability and were in a class of their own in winning the London test event in April.

    Andrea Holland (BBC synchronised swimming analyst): "The precision and timing throughout their duet ensures perfect synchronisation. The explosive height they achieve and fast, yet controlled, spins set them apart from other competitors - their routine is incredibly difficult, yet appears effortless. This, combined with amazing flexibility, strength and power, along with artistic grace and unique choreography, makes them the absolute favourites to take gold at London 2012."

    9 Behdad Salimikordasiabi (Iran) - Weightlifting

    The super-heavyweight has emerged as an unstoppable force in weightlifting. He won the world title at his first attempt in 2010 - easily overcoming Olympic champion Matthias Steiner by lifting a total of 453kg - then retained his title with an even more impressive performance at the 2011 championships, lifting 464kg.

    Non Evans (Former Commonwealth Games weightlifter): "Weightlifters tend to improve with age, growing into their weight division and getting stronger, so the fact Behadad is world heavyweight champion at the age of 22 is quite remarkable. He is very, very impressive and has already broken world records so I can't see anyone beating him."

    10 Usain Bolt (Jamaica) - men's 100m

    Bolt's quest to break his own 100m world record has been billed as one of the highlights of London 2012, but a repeat of his show-stopping performance in Beijing suddenly appears in doubt. Yohan Blake's victory over Bolt at the Jamaican trials, and strong performances from Americans Justin Gatlin and Tyson Gay, have thrown the Olympics' marquee race wide open.

    Colin Jackson (Former 110m hurdles world champion): "Usain is an athletics aficionado so he will take what has happened very seriously and will be consistently working on how he can improve that start of his. But he's still gone under 9.8 secs this year, and he's still got the capabilities of going under 9.7 secs, which no one else in the field except for Tyson Gay has achieved, so I think in his mind he will be pretty happy with where he is. It just makes the competition more interesting for everybody, but for me Usain will still be the man to beat."

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/olympics/18833836
    Last edited by love_skate2011; 07-18-2012 at 01:06 PM.

  2. #2
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    Yep our rowers are looking very strong but they're beatable. I think New Zealand has a tendency to peak in the years before the Olympics. They've been unbeaten and will win Gold I think. But still many rowing teams and rowers don't peak till the Olympics. New Zealand has seen that in the past where we've had World Champions that come Olympics falter.

    I would say Valerie Adams is a sure bet for Gold as well. Sure her Belarussian opponent has been doing super throws this year but they're all in Belarus and in my opinion completely meaningless which means she won't reach those throws at the Olympics. Adams for Gold.

    Phelps definately looks a dead cert for Gold in 200m Butterfly. The only other swimmer I feel is a dead certainty is James Magnussen in the 100m Freestyle. Sally Pearson looks near dead-certainty for 100m hurdles. But obviously being hurdles mistakes can always happen. Kohei Uchimura is the overwhelming champion in artistic gymnastics AA where generally being gymnastics mistakes can and do happen. Yet he would need to make a mistake and then more mistakes to lose really.
    Last edited by gingercrush; 07-18-2012 at 01:04 PM.

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by gingercrush View Post
    Yep our rowers are looking very strong but they're beatable. I think New Zealand has a tendency to peak in the years before the Olympics. They've been unbeaten and will win Gold I think. But still many rowing teams and rowers don't peak till the Olympics. New Zealand has seen that in the past where we've had World Champions that come Olympics falter.

    I would say Valerie Adams is a sure bet for Gold as well. Sure her Belarussian opponent has been doing super throws this year but they're all in Belarus and in my opinion completely meaningless which means she won't reach those throws at the Olympics. Adams for Gold.

    Phelps definately looks a dead cert for Gold in 200m Butterfly. The only other swimmer I feel is a dead certainty is James Magnussen in the 100m Freestyle. Sally Pearson looks near dead-certainty for 100m hurdles. But obviously being hurdles mistakes can always happen. Kohei Uchimura is the overwhelming champion in artistic gymnastics AA where generally being gymnastics mistakes can and do happen. Yet he would need to make a mistake and then more mistakes to lose really.
    hmm I don't follow much swimming but hasnt Phelps passed his prime ?, also I agree about the article, Bolt is a little bit vulnerable now compared to his 2008 form

  4. #4
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    A past his time Phelps is still one hell of a swimmer. Yes he has undoubtedly lost his peak form that he had in beijing. But honestly who can beat him in the 200m Butterfly?

    As for Bolt. He is very vulnerable though I do think losing twice, in the 100m and 200m will be huge motivation for London. But he needs to improve his starts where he is losing a lot of momentum. The Americans are talking themselves up again. I can't help but feel spiteful and hope once again Jamaica smacks them down in both men's and women spring events.

  5. #5
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    good point, though silly me I always thought Ryan Lochte is the New US Swimming Superstar , will Lochte be competing also in 200m butterfly ?

  6. #6
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    I voted for all except the rowing one, Phelps in the 200 fly, and Bolt in the 100. Bolt is no lock for either gold after the Jamaican trials. Still favored but wow there is some real suspense now. Phelps is obviously the favorite for the 200 fly but I dont think he is a mortal lock. He was nearly beaten by a Japanese flyer at Worlds last year. As for rowing, dont follow that particular event (follow the singles sculls, eights, some of the others) but there are too many upsets historically to call anyone a lock. The rest yeah I think are locks pretty much.

  7. #7
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    I also agree James Magnussen is a lock to win the 100 free, the biggest lock of all the swiming events, including Lochte or Phelps in any of theirs. Surprised he wasnt mentioned.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by judgejudy27 View Post
    I also agree James Magnussen is a lock to win the 100 free, the biggest lock of all the swiming events, including Lochte or Phelps in any of theirs. Surprised he wasnt mentioned.
    I'm more surprised Lochte isnt included , he has more Gold locks than Phelps, imo.

    My Top 3 Superstar Gold Locks are:

    Lochte, Kanaeva and Uchimura

  9. #9
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    As long as she doesn't get injured, McKayla Maroney is a lock to win the gold on women's vault. No one else will even be close to her.

  10. #10

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    I am surprised Maroney was not on the list. Of course now there is rumor of an injury but hopefully mild and will not affect her vaulting.
    -Brian
    "Michelle would never be caught with sausage grease staining her Vera Wang." - rfisher

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigB08822 View Post
    I am surprised Maroney was not on the list. Of course now there is rumor of an injury but hopefully mild and will not affect her vaulting.
    Gymnastics in general is too risky a sport to speak of sure golds, IMO. Risk of injury is quite high and there can always be some stupid fall in event finals.

  12. #12

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    I think Kohei Uchimura should have been on that list, but of those listed I choose Phelps and Bolt.
    “Love all, trust a few, do wrong to none.” William Shakespeare

  13. #13
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    Any sport that depends on a measured result such as swimming, track or basketball is never a lock to me. I'd pick a "judged" sport for this poll.
    "The Devil is joining in, and that's never a good sign." Phil Liggett

  14. #14
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    I'd question Bolt too. I heard that he has a hamstring injury... and why is Justin Gatlin here? Wasn't he caught doping a few years ago? Oh wait, I forgot, they can return just as good as before.

    Agree with Garden Kitty. Judged sports always have that "influence" factor in marking that may change things...a stopwatch, or tape measure isn't so affected.

  15. #15
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    ^

    I would even add Kohei Uchimura on the List
    since also gymnastics is a judged sport and Uchimura has star status, lol

    Nytimes run an article about him.

    The surest thing at the coming Olympic Games in London — more than the swimmer Michael Phelps, or the sprinter Usain Bolt, or even the American men’s basketball team — may be a 23-year-old Japanese gymnast nicknamed Superman

    Full article about Kohei Uchimura from Nytimes
    http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/22/sp...mura.html?_r=1

  16. #16
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    Hmm I thought we'd check how correct they are. And?

    All except for Michael Phelps won their Gold medals. And lol I was totally wrong about Valerie Adams and James Magnussen. But Pearson won gold and Kohimura won gold even though he proved to be much more fallible than usual. And we all know how Maroney went o.o

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    McKayla

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