Carolina lost about 5 points on the Loop, and about 3 points on the Salchow, just on TES base value, without counting GOE.
Then, she would probably have higher PCS, but not better than Yu Na Kim. So maybe 2 or 3 points on PCS, at best.
Then the fall : -1.
So, I'd say Carolina could have scored 13 points higher, at best. Still 4 points behind Yu Na Kim.
Just my thought.