View Poll Results: Who will medal?

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  • Samantha Cesario

    63 75.00%
  • Lauren Dinh

    18 21.43%
  • Kristina Zaseeva

    4 4.76%
  • Julia Lipnitskaya

    69 82.14%
  • Miu Sato

    5 5.95%
  • Satoko Miyahara

    25 29.76%
  • Carol Bressanutti

    3 3.57%
  • Kate Charbonneau

    5 5.95%
  • Romy Buhler

    2 2.38%
  • Monica Simancikova

    5 5.95%
  • Jasmine Alexandra Costa

    0 0%
  • Juulia Turkkila

    14 16.67%
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  1. #1

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    JGP Baltic/Gdansk Ladies Medals Predikt!

    Predikt the medallions!

  2. #2

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    Quote Originally Posted by haribobo View Post
    Predikt the medallions!
    Glad you obliged! Many thanks

  3. #3

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    Gold Lipnitskaya, Silver Cesario, Bronze Simancikova

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stephanie View Post
    Gold Lipnitskaya, Silver Cesario, Bronze Simancikova
    That was my thinking too! Although I think Simancikova winning bronze is more of a wish than an actual prediction on my part. More likely it will be Dinh or maybe Tuurkilla. But Monika is just gorgeous to watch IMO and even though she's inconsistent, she does have all the goods to medal at this event (the field is not quite as deep as Riga or Brisbane), so I hope she delivers, she's currently my favorite OES, I love her long balletic lines and musicality . I'm hoping Samantha doesn't get dinged with tons of URs like last year, I really like her too, and her new programs.

  5. #5
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    I went with

    1 Lipnitskaya RUS

    2 Cesario USA

    3 Dinh USA

    But Dinh is very inconsistent. Miyahara, Turkila, or Simancikova could get in there. I don't think Cesario will be dinged with URs again unless she gets nervous and becomes conservative. Her jumps at liberty were huge and beautiful.

  6. #6

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    Lipnitskaya, Cesario, Miyahara
    Adelina Sotnikova is the 2014 Olympic champion!

  7. #7
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    Never heard of/seen Miyahara. Another up-and-coming Japanese talent?

  8. #8
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    Satoko Miyahara finished 4th place twice (2009 and 2010) at Japanese Jr Nationals. She has all triples, 2A-3T and 3-3 and received no edge call so far. Miyahara is technically strong and pretty reliable in the FS. She has never scored lower than 50 points in TES at (national/local) junior competitions. The biggest question mark is the SP though.... The JSF is surely counting on her. Only Shoji and Miyahara are guaranteed two assignments.

    planned jump layout
    SP: 3F+3T 3Lz 2A
    FS: 3Lz+3T 3Lo 3F 3S 2A+3T 3Lz+2T+2Lo 2A

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by oleada View Post
    Lipnitskaya, Cesario, Miyahara
    My choice exactly

  10. #10

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    Satoko Miyahara performed her SP (tango from "Scent of a Woman") in exhibition last month in Korea: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2TgU0lW81w

    I believe these are Julia Lipnitskaya's programs from the recent Russian test skate:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuqXm1C5Y6s
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ou3VrEs91P8

    Samantha Cesario's programs at the Liberty competition in mid-July:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY_YKxiV53I
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2C90Q4A8og

    Kristina Zaseeva's FS (scored 90+) from the Moscow Open last week: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gy3BJENTy-k

    Kate Charbonneau's Senior programs from a Minnesota competition last month:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxeUbj6hqhM
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y_aISfey5KI

    Older programs:

    Here's a good Jr. FS by Lauren Dinh in a club competition in Sept. 2010: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPdH5uNCMzc

    Juulia Turkkila's programs from her 2011 Worlds debut:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LyJ50D9NZtY
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6lIPmSh43A

    Monica Simancikova's FS (scored 90+) from the European Winter Olympic Youth Festival in February 2011: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hb2Y7gedwac
    Last edited by Sylvia; 09-11-2011 at 04:34 PM.

  11. #11

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    I think it will finish 1. Lipnitskaya 2. Turkkila 3. Charbonneau

    Dinh skated pretty badly at Liberty and is extremely inconsistent. Her best performance was at US junior nationals. Cesario only scored 122.39 in last years JGP. However, upon her return from injury she skated very well at Liberty, but I think its too soon to be saying that she will get into the top 3. Nevertheless, I may be wrong. I don't know too much about Miyahara except that she finished 4th in junior Japanese nationals 2 years running. Again, I don't think she will make the top 3, but I may be wrong. That's the problem with predicting juniors - a lot of them are unknown quantities with not too much data to go on.

  12. #12

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    Cesario, Lipnitskaya, and Miyahara, with Simancikova, Turkkila and Dinh rounding out the top 6.

  13. #13
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    Lipnitskaya is going to own every single one of them.

  14. #14
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    I'll be shocked if Julia does poorly here. I know it's her first competition, but she looked great in those test skates.

  15. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by millipied View Post
    Lipnitskaya is going to own every single one of them.
    Please don't jinx her

  16. #16
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    Zaseeva has certainly, erm, developed. No wonder her jumps are shaky right now.

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by ainouta View Post
    Zaseeva has certainly, erm, developed. No wonder her jumps are shaky right now.
    I was gonna say she looks like Katarina Witt! She got so tall and curvaceous since last season. Still though, some of her triples get great height.

  18. #18
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    Quote Originally Posted by cx3 View Post
    I'll be shocked if Julia does poorly here. I know it's her first competition, but she looked great in those test skates.
    Is she attempting more triples than toe and sal in this season's programs? I know she is capable of all triples in practice, but last season she only did 3t and 3s in her competitive programs. I wonder the same thing about Monika who was only attempting 3t, 3s, and 3lo last season. If both girls only go for 2lz in the SP, that could hurt their chances of medaling, even if in the FS they include all the other types of triples.

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by pinky166 View Post
    Is she attempting more triples than toe and sal in this season's programs? I know she is capable of all triples in practice, but last season she only did 3t and 3s in her competitive programs. I wonder the same thing about Monika who was only attempting 3t, 3s, and 3lo last season. If both girls only go for 2lz in the SP, that could hurt their chances of medaling, even if in the FS they include all the other types of triples.
    You are referring to Julia Lipnitskaya right? She's competed triples through lutz for a couple of seasons already and her test skates posted further upthread show her most recent clean skates. She has a 3t-3t in the SP and two 2x-3t combo's in the free, the first with a 2t on the end plus all the other triples apart from axel.

  20. #20

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    Julia did 3T+3T, 3Lz and 2A in her SP, and two 2A+3T combos in her LP. She has all the triples.
    Adelina Sotnikova is the 2014 Olympic champion!

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