JGP Baltic/Gdansk Ladies Medals Predikt!

Discussion in 'The Trash Can' started by haribobo, Sep 10, 2011.

Who will medal?

  1. Samantha Cesario

    75.0%
  2. Lauren Dinh

    21.4%
  3. Kristina Zaseeva

    4.8%
  4. Julia Lipnitskaya

    82.1%
  5. Miu Sato

    6.0%
  6. Satoko Miyahara

    29.8%
  7. Carol Bressanutti

    3.6%
  8. Kate Charbonneau

    6.0%
  9. Romy Buhler

    2.4%
  10. Monica Simancikova

    6.0%
  11. Jasmine Alexandra Costa

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  12. Juulia Turkkila

    16.7%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. haribobo

    haribobo Well-Known Member

    6,690
    658
    113
    Predikt the medallions!
     
  2. Maofan7

    Maofan7 Retired From FSU (Work Commitments)

    8,592
    9,778
    113
    Glad you obliged! Many thanks
     
  3. Stephanie

    Stephanie Well-Known Member

    1,775
    93
    48
    Gold Lipnitskaya, Silver Cesario, Bronze Simancikova
     
  4. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
    That was my thinking too! Although I think Simancikova winning bronze is more of a wish than an actual prediction on my part. More likely it will be Dinh or maybe Tuurkilla. But Monika is just gorgeous to watch IMO and even though she's inconsistent, she does have all the goods to medal at this event (the field is not quite as deep as Riga or Brisbane), so I hope she delivers, she's currently my favorite OES, I love her long balletic lines and musicality :). I'm hoping Samantha doesn't get dinged with tons of URs like last year, I really like her too, and her new programs.
     
  5. Jenna

    Jenna Well-Known Member

    7,139
    313
    83
    I went with

    1 Lipnitskaya RUS

    2 Cesario USA

    3 Dinh USA

    But Dinh is very inconsistent. Miyahara, Turkila, or Simancikova could get in there. I don't think Cesario will be dinged with URs again unless she gets nervous and becomes conservative. Her jumps at liberty were huge and beautiful.
     
  6. oleada

    oleada Well-Known Member

    29,526
    4,868
    113
    Lipnitskaya, Cesario, Miyahara
     
  7. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
    Never heard of/seen Miyahara. Another up-and-coming Japanese talent?
     
  8. NMURA

    NMURA Active Member

    423
    52
    28
    Satoko Miyahara finished 4th place twice (2009 and 2010) at Japanese Jr Nationals. She has all triples, 2A-3T and 3-3 and received no edge call so far. Miyahara is technically strong and pretty reliable in the FS. She has never scored lower than 50 points in TES at (national/local) junior competitions. The biggest question mark is the SP though.... The JSF is surely counting on her. Only Shoji and Miyahara are guaranteed two assignments.

    planned jump layout
    SP: 3F+3T 3Lz 2A
    FS: 3Lz+3T 3Lo 3F 3S 2A+3T 3Lz+2T+2Lo 2A
     
  9. Eris

    Eris New Member

    283
    11
    0
    My choice exactly :cool:
     
  10. Sylvia

    Sylvia Fretting that Worlds is over...

    35,147
    8,573
    113
    Satoko Miyahara performed her SP (tango from "Scent of a Woman") in exhibition last month in Korea: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T2TgU0lW81w

    I believe these are Julia Lipnitskaya's programs from the recent Russian test skate:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XuqXm1C5Y6s
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ou3VrEs91P8

    Samantha Cesario's programs at the Liberty competition in mid-July:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rY_YKxiV53I
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F2C90Q4A8og

    Kristina Zaseeva's FS (scored 90+) from the Moscow Open last week: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gy3BJENTy-k

    Kate Charbonneau's Senior programs from a Minnesota competition last month:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pxeUbj6hqhM
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y_aISfey5KI

    Older programs:

    Here's a good Jr. FS by Lauren Dinh in a club competition in Sept. 2010: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPdH5uNCMzc

    Juulia Turkkila's programs from her 2011 Worlds debut:
    SP: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LyJ50D9NZtY
    FS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f6lIPmSh43A

    Monica Simancikova's FS (scored 90+) from the European Winter Olympic Youth Festival in February 2011: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hb2Y7gedwac
     
    Last edited: Sep 11, 2011
  11. Maofan7

    Maofan7 Retired From FSU (Work Commitments)

    8,592
    9,778
    113
    I think it will finish 1. Lipnitskaya 2. Turkkila 3. Charbonneau

    Dinh skated pretty badly at Liberty and is extremely inconsistent. Her best performance was at US junior nationals. Cesario only scored 122.39 in last years JGP. However, upon her return from injury she skated very well at Liberty, but I think its too soon to be saying that she will get into the top 3. Nevertheless, I may be wrong. I don't know too much about Miyahara except that she finished 4th in junior Japanese nationals 2 years running. Again, I don't think she will make the top 3, but I may be wrong. That's the problem with predicting juniors - a lot of them are unknown quantities with not too much data to go on.
     
  12. chipso1

    chipso1 Well-Known Member

    9,012
    671
    113
    Cesario, Lipnitskaya, and Miyahara, with Simancikova, Turkkila and Dinh rounding out the top 6.
     
  13. millipied

    millipied New Member

    569
    31
    0
    Lipnitskaya is going to own every single one of them.
     
  14. cx3

    cx3 New Member

    23
    3
    3
    I'll be shocked if Julia does poorly here. I know it's her first competition, but she looked great in those test skates.
     
  15. Vash01

    Vash01 Fan of Julia, Elena, Anna, Liza, and Vera

    28,490
    7,168
    113
    Please don't jinx her :lol:
     
  16. ainouta

    ainouta Well-Known Member

    1,813
    231
    63
    Zaseeva has certainly, erm, developed. No wonder her jumps are shaky right now.
     
  17. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
    I was gonna say she looks like Katarina Witt! She got so tall and curvaceous since last season. Still though, some of her triples get great height.
     
  18. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
    Is she attempting more triples than toe and sal in this season's programs? I know she is capable of all triples in practice, but last season she only did 3t and 3s in her competitive programs. I wonder the same thing about Monika who was only attempting 3t, 3s, and 3lo last season. If both girls only go for 2lz in the SP, that could hurt their chances of medaling, even if in the FS they include all the other types of triples.
     
  19. floskate

    floskate Vacant

    8,879
    2,554
    113
    You are referring to Julia Lipnitskaya right? She's competed triples through lutz for a couple of seasons already and her test skates posted further upthread show her most recent clean skates. She has a 3t-3t in the SP and two 2x-3t combo's in the free, the first with a 2t on the end plus all the other triples apart from axel.
     
  20. oleada

    oleada Well-Known Member

    29,526
    4,868
    113
    Julia did 3T+3T, 3Lz and 2A in her SP, and two 2A+3T combos in her LP. She has all the triples.
     
  21. FarFarAway

    FarFarAway Four

    2,660
    475
    83
    As far as I remember, her jumps were shaky last season too.

    Katarina had more stability.
     
  22. Jenna

    Jenna Well-Known Member

    7,139
    313
    83
    On the subject of inconsistency..have you seen Kate Charbonneau's track record? :shuffle:
     
  23. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
    No I was refering to Tuurkilla sorry! Their names are spelt different I think I just read that post incorrectly. Julia (Russian) has all her triples, Juulia (Finnish) was only attempting 3t and 3s last season, but reportedly does all her triples in practice.
     
  24. Nekatiivi

    Nekatiivi Well-Known Member

    1,346
    81
    48
    I think she is trying to add 3R ans 3T-3T this season.
     
  25. Hanna

    Hanna Politicking for more stationary lifts

    18,011
    3,489
    113
    I think she probably has landed all triples in practice but I doubt they're consistent - otherwise she could just try adding them all to her programs. I'd guess it's more of a "sometimes lands them in practice" case.
     
  26. Maofan7

    Maofan7 Retired From FSU (Work Commitments)

    8,592
    9,778
    113
    The result of the ladies event was as follows:-

    1st Julia Lipnitskaya - 172.51 - RUS

    2nd Satoko Miyahara - 162.20 - JPN

    3rd Samantha Cesario - 153.84 - USA

    4th Miu Sato - 135.60 - JPN

    5th Kate Charbonneau - 128.66 - CAN
     
    Last edited: Sep 16, 2011
  27. sequinsgalore

    sequinsgalore Member

    75
    11
    8
    Turkkila only attempted 3S and 3T at JGP Baltic Cup, so no they're not consistent enough to be put in her programs.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMybamAYqJU&feature=channel_video_title

    Delivered jumps: 3T+2T, 2S+2T, 2A, 3S, 2A (fall), 1T, 2Lo+2T+2Lo
     
  28. pinky166

    pinky166 Well-Known Member

    12,009
    950
    113
  29. sequinsgalore

    sequinsgalore Member

    75
    11
    8
    I don't think so. It's her very last jump element, and she does it 'tano-style and in a three jump combination. If she was planning on doing a 3Lo, she should do it in the beginning as a solo jump.