I wouldnt see a gold medal for sure. I saw her short program at some USFSA event that season. It was to the same music, almost the same cuts, as Slutskaya's short. Unless she did something drastic with it before the Games it was clearly inferior to Slutskaya's version. So best I could see her scoring in the short with a clean skate would be something around a 63, which is still higher than she managed at worlds the previous year. Then she would need a 130 or very close to it long program to surpass Shizuka, and even if she had improved greatly under IJS in a year I still dont see her scoring that high with only 6 triples. I cant see her skating cleanly and losing to Suguri who didnt even skate cleanly, and when I am sure Kwan would have improved under IJS since the 2005 worlds. So the question comes to placements 2nd to 4th and where she would have slotted in. I am surprised bronze has so many votes since Cohen and Slutskaya ended up virtually tied, making bronze almost impossible. It seems she would either have to finish 2nd or 4th. Bronze wouldnt be a real option. Then again with Kwan in the competition along with Kwan, Irina's gross long program performance with total lack of polish and line, in addition to the glaring mistakes, might have looked more evident and lowered her score further.