Well, maybe I jumped the gun a bit earlier, but it has to be Tokyo's now, right? As Fred said, they were ahead of Istanbul and Madrid in the first round or they would've been eliminated and there wouldn't have been that tie-breaker between Istanbul and Madrid. But I seem to recall reading about Beijing leading in all the earlier rounds only to be defeated by Sydney in the final stages for the 2000 Games. I can't see Istanbul making it this time, though; there are just too many strikes against them. It's sad, too, since they were the early favourites and would've made history with a win.