View Full Version : 2010 UK General Election - Conservative Popular Vote Share

UMBS Go Blue
05-01-2010, 06:52 AM
Here's a high stakes, one-bet only thread on the UK election:

What share of the popular vote will the Conservatives win in the UK election to be held 6 May 2010?

The Conservatives won 32% last time in 2005. Check out their latest polling trends here (http://www.ukpollingreport.co.uk).

This bet will be open for 72 hours. Your vBookie reserves the right to change the odds at any moment. For purposes of this bet, we will refer to the BBC News website for election results.

UMBS Go Blue
05-07-2010, 09:05 PM
According to the BBC, the Conservative national vote share currently stands at 36.1% - right at one of the thresholds for this bet.

There is one seat (a safe Conservative seat) left to vote, Thirsk & Malton, and they do not go to the polls until 27 May. I will leave this bet unsettled until then, because of the potential for Thirsk & Malton to change the national vote share and to allow for any recounts or challenges in other seats.

UMBS Go Blue
05-29-2010, 10:40 AM
36.13% after blowout Tory win in Thirsk & Malton.